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2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadMVSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreMVSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MsVly 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+49.1Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:21: Jhurell Pressley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:26: Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — UNM win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:43: Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK) — MVSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:32: Jason Sanders 28 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MVSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNM 4th & 15 at UNM 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10MVSU 4th & 21 at MVSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08MVSU 4th & 17 at MVSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21MVSU 4th & 28 at MVSU 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at MVSU 10, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40MVSU 4th & 16 at MVSU 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:37MVSU 4th & 8 at UNM 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32UNM 4th & 10 at MVSU 11, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:56MVSU 4th & 22 at MVSU 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:28MVSU 4th & 8 at MVSU 38, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47MVSU 4th & 17 at MVSU 18, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00MVSU 4th & 13 at MVSU 18, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48UNM 4th & 4 at MVSU 10, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:27MVSU 4th & 3 at MVSU 42, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:52UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 46, up 66
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 8:08UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:21UNM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:26UNM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:43UNM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:28UNM Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:47UNM Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:28UNM Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:33UNM Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
99.1%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the NMex 41 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Marquis Bundy) to the NMex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 26
+3
99.1%
Dameon Gamblin run for 3 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 29
+7
99.1%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 7 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Zack Rogers punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MsVly 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Jr. Th Stokes run for no gain to the MsVly 22Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Donnie White) to the MsVly 27Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson run for 3 yds to the MsVly 30Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+10
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson pass complete to Jr. Th Stokes for 10 yds to the MsVly 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.0%
Terrence Barron run for 1 yd to the MsVly 41Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-7
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Nik D'Avanzo and Garrett Hughes for a loss of 7 yards to the MsVly 34Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 16
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Demarius HowardSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 16
OWN 34
-5
99.0%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MsVly 29Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 43 yds, downed at the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
98.7%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down Carlos Wiggins for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
98.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 8 yds to the MsVly 45Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+17
98.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Matt Quarells for 17 yds to the MsVly 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
98.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 28 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Quantavius Peterson run for no gain to the MsVly 25Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 2 yds to the MsVly 27Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
98.7%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Kimmie Carson for a loss of 9 yards to the MsVly 18Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+56
98.8%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 41 yds, downed at the NEWMEXICO 41 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal block (Bijon Parker) to the NMex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:1499% → 99%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+9
98.6%
Jhurell Pressley run for 9 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.6%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
98.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
50
+26
98.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Reece White for 26 yds to the MsVly 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
98.6%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 9 yds to the MsVly 15Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+5
98.6%
Romell Jordan run for 5 yds to the MsVly 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
98.6%
Dameon Gamblin run for 8 yds to the MsVly 2Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 0
OWN 2
0
98.6%
Reno Henderson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Jason Sanders Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -18 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.5%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, false start (Austin Sanders) to the MsVly 20Similar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Terrence BarronSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
98.6%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, false start (Austin Sanders) to the MsVly 15Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-8
98.6%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Maurice Daniels for a loss of 8 yards to the MsVly 7 Quantavius Peterson fumbled, recovered by NMex Nik D'Avanzo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Donnie White for a loss of 8 yards to the MsVly 17Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 18
OWN 17
-5
99.0%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, delay of game (Dontrinell Scott) to the MsVly 12Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 23
OWN 12
0
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Keenan DanielsSimilar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
99.0%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Demarius HowardSimilar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 23
OWN 12
-5
99.0%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, delay of game (Ruben Piraquive) to the MsVly 7Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 28
OWN 7
+4
99.0%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 31 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for 4 yds to the MsVly 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4799% → 100%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 2 yards to the MsVly 36Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+17
99.0%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 17 yds to the MsVly 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 6 yds to the MsVly 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
99.0%
Lamar Jordan run for 2 yds to the MsVly 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
99.0%
Romell Jordan run for 1 yd to the MsVly 10Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
98.9%
Tyrone Owens run for 2 yds to the MsVly 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.5%
Quantavius Peterson run for 3 yds to the MsVly 10Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-5
99.5%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, illegal block (Jacorey Lee) to the MsVly 5Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 5
-4
99.5%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Maurice Daniels and Garrett Hughes for a loss of 4 yards to the MsVly 1Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 16
OWN 1
0
99.5%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Demarius HowardSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 16
OWN 1
+13
99.5%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 44 yds , Carlos Wiggins returns for 13 yds to the MsVly 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:41100% → 99%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 5 yds to the MsVly 27Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+8
99.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 8 yds to the MsVly 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 1 yd to the MsVly 18Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete to Matt Quarells, broken up by Farrean ToneySimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+8
99.5%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, personal foul (Ladrelin Cheatam) to the MsVly 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
99.5%
Jhurell Pressley run for 9 yds to the MsVly 1Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 12FUMBLE
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:290% → 0%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 8 yds to the MsVly 33Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+27
99.6%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 27 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Jr. Th Stokes run for no gain to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.6%
Dontrinell Scott run for 4 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-2
99.6%
Jeremy Dobson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+8
99.6%
Dontrinell Scott pass complete to Jessie Bryant for 8 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
99.6%
Dontrinell Scott run for 9 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+1
99.6%
Jeremy Dobson run for 1 yd to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Booker Chambers run for 5 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-5
99.7%
Booker Chambers run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 20 Booker Chambers fumbled, recovered by NMex Chris LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete to Carlos Wiggins, broken up by Farrean ToneySimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.7%
Austin Apodoca pass complete to Chris Davis for 10 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.7%
Romell Jordan run for 18 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.7%
Romell Jordan run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 8
50
+13
99.7%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 13 yds to the MsVly 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.7%
MISS VALLEY ST Penalty, SUB (5 Yards) to the MsVly 32Similar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 5
OPP 32
+4
99.7%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 4 yds to the MsVly 28Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete to Chris DavisSimilar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+6
99.7%
Richard McQuarley run for 6 yds to the MsVly 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.7%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Chris Davis for 9 yds to the MsVly 13Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 1
OPP 13
-5
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (Austin Apodaca) to the MsVly 18Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the MsVly 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete, broken up by Jameel BestSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete to Reece WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Austin Apodaca pass incomplete to Delane Hart-Johnson, broken up by Tarvandus DonaldsonSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
99.8%
Jason Sanders 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 3 yds to the MsVly 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.8%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 4 yds to the MsVly 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Keenan DanielsSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+10
99.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive holding (Lee Crosby) to the MsVly 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Jr. Th Stokes run for 1 yd to the MsVly 32Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-4
99.8%
Jeremy Dobson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MsVly 28Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-9
99.8%
Quantavius Peterson sacked by Donnie White for a loss of 9 yards to the MsVly 19Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 22
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 26 yds, downed at the MsVly 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.8%
Lamar Jordan run for 12 yds to the MsVly 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
99.8%
Lamar Jordan pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 21 yds to the MsVly 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
99.9%
David Anaya run for 11 yds to the MsVly 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
David Anaya run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Gregory Foster run for 2 yds to the MsVly 27Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jr. Th Stokes run for no gain to the MsVly 27Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Dontrinell Scott pass complete to Keenan Daniels for 9 yds to the MsVly 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Dontrinell Scott pass complete to Keenan Daniels for 3 yds to the MsVly 39Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Jr. Th Stokes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 38Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Dontrinell Scott pass incomplete to Keenan DanielsSimilar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 35 yds , Chris Davis returns for no gain to the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 64 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.9%
Quantavius Peterson run for a loss of 7 yards to the MsVly 18Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Jr. Th Stokes run for no gain to the MsVly 18Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Quantavius Peterson pass incomplete to Keenan Daniels, broken up by Ryan LangfordSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the MsVly 48Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the MsVly 41Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the MsVly 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Daryl Chestnut run for 37 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
100.0%
Jeremy Dobson run for a loss of 8 yards to the MsVly 13Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+1
100.0%
Jeremy Dobson run for 1 yd to the MsVly 14Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+4
100.0%
Dontrinell Scott pass complete to Demarius Howard for 4 yds to the MsVly 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 33 yds, downed at the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
99.9%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Ridge Jones for 21 yds to the MsVly 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Austin Apodoca pass incomplete to Ridge JonesSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the MsVly 32Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+16
99.9%
Austin Apodaca pass complete to Delane Hart-Johnson for 16 yds to the MsVly 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Richard McQuarley run for 2 yds to the MsVly 14Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for 7 yds to the MsVly 7Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 1
OPP 7
-3
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for a loss of 3 yards to the MsVly 10 Diquon Woodhouse fumbled, recovered by NMex Diquon WoodhouseSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 4
OPP 10
-1
99.9%
Diquon Woodhouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 23INT TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
100.0%
Quantavius Peterson run for 5 yds to the MsVly 16Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-3
100.0%
Jr. Th Stokes run for a loss of 3 yards to the MsVly 13Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+5
100.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense (Maurice Daniels) to the MsVly 18Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+11
100.0%
Quantavius Peterson run for 11 yds to the MsVly 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
100.0%
Jr. Th Stokes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MsVly 28Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+32
100.0%
Quantavius Peterson pass intercepted for a TD Travis Green return for 32 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MVSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
100.0%
Tre Price run for 1 yd to the MsVly 17Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Tre Price run for 4 yds to the MsVly 21Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+14
100.0%
Dontrinell Scott pass complete to Demarius Howard for 14 yds to the MsVly 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Demarius Howard run for 4 yds to the MsVly 39Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Tre Price run for 3 yds to the MsVly 42Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Dontrinell Scott pass incomplete to Terrence BarronSimilar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Ruben Piraquive punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Chris Davis at the NMex 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 5 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 5 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for 2 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Daryl Chestnut run for no gain to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 7 yds to the NMex 46Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Richard McQuarley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
50
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 45Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 15
OWN 45
-5
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:26
Tyrone Owens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 2:21
Jhurell Pressley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 8:43
Tyrone Owens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jason Sanders KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com