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SAV

Savannah State 13 at Colorado State 65

CSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Sonny Lubick Field at Hughes Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadSAV aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreSAV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:02 · David Handler run for 8 yds to the SavSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:35: Wyatt Bryan 31 Yd Field Goal — CSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:18: Deionte Gaines 18 Yd Run (Wyatt Bryan Kick) — CSU win probability +6.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:54: Rashard Higgins 12 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick) — CSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:01: Xavier Williams 35 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick) — CSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:15: Richard Williams II 63 Yd Run (John Barron Kick) — CSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SAV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3SAV made the numbers' call on 10 of 15
  1. Q1 14:13SAV 4th & 8 at SAV 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31SAV 4th & 15 at SAV 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33SAV 4th & 6 at SAV 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35CSU 4th & 2 at SAV 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.3%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:29SAV 4th & 10 at SAV 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00SAV 4th & 18 at SAV 2, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−4.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:54SAV 4th & 22 at SAV 13, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:20CSU 4th & 4 at SAV 39, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:08SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 47, down 31
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:28SAV 4th & 16 at SAV 29, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00CSU 4th & 4 at SAV 24, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:38SAV 4th & 1 at SAV 44, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:38SAV 4th & 12 at CSU 36, down 44
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:21SAV 4th & 21 at SAV 3, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:55SAV 4th & 13 at CSU 27, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:30SAV 4th & 10 at CSU 33, down 48
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:33SAV 4th & 11 at CSU 11, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:19SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 28, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SAV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:13CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:35CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:18CSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:54CSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:01CSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:15SAV Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:48CSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:14CSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:37CSU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SAVDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -20 yds · 0:4727% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
73.0%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the SavSt 2 Tino Smith fumbled, recovered by SavSt Tino SmithSimilar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 28
OWN 2
0
73.1%
Kevin Davis 0 Yd Fumble Return (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
73.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 7 yds to the SavSt 42Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Arshon SpauldingSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Tino Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
4TH & 3
OWN 42
-5
73.1%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SavSt 37Similar
Q1 14:13
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+12
73.1%
John Barron punt for 40 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 12 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:4373% → 74%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
73.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 17 yds to the SavSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.3%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
73.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 14 yds to the SavSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
73.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Deionte Gaines for 25 yds to the SavSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.1%
Kivon Cartwright 9 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
73.9%
Richard Williams II run for 3 yds to the SavSt 24Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
73.9%
Tino Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-8
73.9%
Tino Smith sacked by Kiel Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the SavSt 16Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 15
OPP 0
0
73.9%
BARRON,John punt 39 yards to the CS45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SSU IB off-setting, PENALTY CS roughing the kicker off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
74.0%
John Barron punt for 29 yds, downed at the SavSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
75.0%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the SavSt 40 Jasen Oden Jr. fumbled, forced by Isiah Bennett, recovered by SavSt Brandon BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.5%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Arshon SpauldingSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
74.5%
Tino Smith run for 4 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
74.5%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Ker-Sean WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+3
74.6%
John Barron punt for 47 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 3 yds to the ColSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5675% → 78%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
75.3%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard HigginsSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
75.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
75.2%
Nick Stevens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
75.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 19 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
75.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
75.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 1 yd to the SavSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.7%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+27
75.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 27 yds to the SavSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
75.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Joe Hansley for 7 yds to the SavSt 14Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 3
OPP 14
0
75.7%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Rashard Higgins, broken up by Stefen BanksSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
75.6%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 13Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
78.4%
Wyatt Bryan 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
78.2%
Richard Williams II run for 2 yds to the SavSt 17Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+12
78.2%
Tino Smith pass complete to Nicholas Carrera for 12 yds to the SavSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
78.1%
Nicholas Bentley run for 4 yds to the SavSt 33Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
78.0%
Nicholas Bentley run for 3 yds to the SavSt 36Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-7
78.1%
Tino Smith sacked by Martavius Foster for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 29Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
78.4%
John Barron punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 64 yds · 0:0081% → 82%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
80.9%
Coleman Key pass complete to Joe Hansley for 15 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
81.0%
KEY, Coleman pass incomplete to HIGGINS, Rashard, PENALTY SSU pass interference (BAILEY,Brandon) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN CS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
50
+24
81.4%
Coleman Key pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 24 yds to the SavSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
81.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 6 yds to the SavSt 20Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+11
81.5%
Coleman Key pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 11 yds to the SavSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
81.5%
Coleman Key sacked by Stefen Banks for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 16 Coleman Key fumbled, recovered by SavSt Connor Christian , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+29
80.6%
Tino Smith pass intercepted DeAndre Elliott return for 29 yds to the SavSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11TD
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
87.4%
Deionte Gaines 18 Yd Run (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:1714% → 14%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
85.7%
Richard Williams II run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-3
86.2%
Tino Smith sacked by Martavius Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the SavSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 6
-4
86.3%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 2Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 2
0
86.3%
John Barron punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SavSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:3189% → 93%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
88.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Kivon Cartwright for 23 yds to the SavSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.1%
Rashard Higgins 12 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
92.9%
David Handler sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the SavSt 11 David Handler fumbled, recovered by SavSt David Handler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+2
93.3%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 2 yds to the SavSt 13Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
93.4%
David Handler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+7
93.4%
John Barron punt for 39 yds , Joe Hansley returns for 7 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
93.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the SavSt 43Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
93.3%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the SavSt 39Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
93.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Nu'uvali Fa'apito for no gain to the SavSt 39Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
93.0%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:339% → 5%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
90.6%
David Handler run for 2 yds to the SavSt 41Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
89.6%
David Handler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
90.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SavSt 46Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
89.6%
David Handler run for 1 yd to the SavSt 47Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+15
95.5%
John Barron punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Joe Hansley at the COLOST 23 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:0096% → 97%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Nolan Peralta for 5 yds Nolan Peralta fumbled, forced by Leonardo Myers,Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+23
95.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 23 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
97.0%
Xavier Williams 35 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 18TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 2:403% → 3%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
96.7%
Richard Williams II run for 2 yds to the SavSt 11Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+10
96.7%
David Handler pass complete to Ker-Sean Wilson for 10 yds to the SavSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.6%
David Handler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.7%
Richard Williams II run for 1 yd to the SavSt 22 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+7
96.7%
HANDLER,David pass incomplete to CARRERA,Nicholas, PENALTY CS holding 7 yards to the SSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
96.3%
David Handler pass complete to Ker-Sean Wilson for 3 yds to the SavSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
96.6%
David Handler pass complete to Nicholas Carrera for 5 yds to the SavSt 37Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+63
97.5%
Richard Williams II 63 Yd Run (John Barron Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:2798% → 98%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
97.6%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 10 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.7%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 14 yds to the SavSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.7%
ODEN, Jasen rush for 3 yards to the SSU38 (MOBLEY,Jovanta), PENALTY SSU illegal procedure 5 yards to the SSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+2
97.7%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 2 yds to the SavSt 34Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+25
97.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 25 yds to the SavSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.7%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 4 yds to the SavSt 5Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.7%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 1 yd to the SavSt 4Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Jasen Oden Jr. 4 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
David Handler pass incomplete to Arshon SpauldingSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
David Handler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-6
98.8%
David Handler sacked by Joe Kawulok for a loss of 6 yards to the SavSt 29Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+12
98.9%
John Barron run for 12 yds to the SavSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
98.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 6 yds to the SavSt 35Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
98.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 5 yds to the SavSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Joe HansleySimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-6
98.5%
Nick Stevens sacked by Jovanta Mobley for a loss of 6 yards to the SavSt 36Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+12
98.4%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the SavSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
98.7%
Wyatt Bryan 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Jasen Oden Jr. for 12 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
98.8%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 28 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.8%
Jasen Oden Jr. run for 3 yds to the SavSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+20
98.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Rashard Higgins for 10 yds to the SavSt 22 for a 1ST down SAVANNAH ST Penalty, roughing passer (10 Yards) to the SavSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Joe Hansley 12 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 29 yds · 3:361% → 0%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.0%
Tino Smith run for 9 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Tino Smith run for no gain to the SavSt 44Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Richard Williams II run for no gain to the SavSt 44Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+11
99.6%
Richard Williams II run for 11 yds to the COLOST 45 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.6%
Richard Williams II run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 48 Richard Williams II fumbled, forced by Joe Kawulok, recovered by SavSt Richard Williams IISimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 13
OPP 48
-1
99.6%
Richard Williams II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 49Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 14
OPP 49
+15
99.7%
SMITH,Tino pass incomplete to HARRIS,Jeremiah, PENALTY CS pass interference (HODGES, Preston) 15 yards to the CS34, 1ST DOWN SSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
99.6%
Nicholas Bentley run for 9 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-15
99.5%
SMITH,Tino rush for no gain to the CS25 (PIERRE-LOUIS, Kevin), PENALTY SSU personal foul 15 yards to the CS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+7
99.6%
Tino Smith pass complete to Richard Williams II for 7 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-3
99.6%
Tino Smith sacked by SteveO Michel for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 36Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
99.6%
John Barron punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.6%
Coleman Key pass complete to Xavier Williams for 14 yds to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
99.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
99.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 6 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.6%
Coleman Key pass complete to Nu'uvali Fa'apito for 5 yds to the SavSt 46Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Coleman Key pass intercepted Salvador Vazquez return for no gain to the SavSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 13Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 13
-2
99.8%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 11Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 13
OWN 11
-8
99.8%
David Handler sacked by Martavius Foster for a loss of 8 yards to the SavSt 3Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 21
OWN 3
+26
99.8%
John Barron punt for 34 yds , Deionte Gaines returns for 26 yds to the SavSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.7%
Deron Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 13Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Olabisi Johnson 13 Yd pass from Coleman Key (Wyatt Bryan Kick)Similar
Q3 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
-10
99.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the ColSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 27FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:360% → 0%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
Richard Williams II run for 2 yds to the SavSt 47Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Nicholas Bentley run for 8 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Nicholas Bentley run for 1 yd to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-4
99.8%
Rashad Saxton run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+24
99.9%
Tino Smith run for 24 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
Nicholas Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Tino Smith run for 2 yds to the ColSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-4
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 27Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+44
99.9%
John Barron 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 2 yds to the SavSt 41Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the SavSt 40Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Coleman Key pass complete to Elroy Masters Jr. for 10 yds to the SavSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
Coleman Key run for a loss of 4 yards to the SavSt 31 Coleman Key fumbled, recovered by SavSt Jovanta MobleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 29FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:360% → 0%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Richard Williams II run for 1 yd to the SavSt 32Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Deric Wright for 5 yds to the SavSt 37Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Derek Kirkland for 11 yds to the SavSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Tino Smith pass complete to Cameron White for 9 yds to the ColSt 43Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+10
99.9%
SMITH,Tino pass incomplete to WHITE,Cameron, PENALTY CS holding (JOHNSON, Shun) 10 yards to the CS33, 1ST DOWN SSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for no gain to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Miles KellySimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Tino Smith run for no gain to the ColSt 33Similar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+32
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Jeremiah Harris for 32 yds to the ColSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.9%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 4Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
99.9%
Richard Williams II run for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 11Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Tino Smith pass incomplete to Arshon SpauldingSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
100.0%
John Barron 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Joshua Berry run for no gain to the SavSt 20Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Tino Smith pass complete to Derek Kirkland for 6 yds to the SavSt 26Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Tino Smith run for 2 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
100.0%
John Barron punt for 56 yds, downed at the ColSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 32TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 19 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 9 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 3 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 13 yds to the SavSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Deron Thompson run for 5 yds to the SavSt 35Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-2
100.0%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
David Handler run for 8 yds to the SavSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:18
Deionte Gaines 18 Yd Run (Wyatt Bryan Kick)
+6.7
TD · Q2 12:54
Rashard Higgins 12 Yd pass from Nick Stevens (Wyatt Bryan Kick)
+4.4
FG · Q1 5:35
Wyatt Bryan 31 Yd Field Goal
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com