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SUU

Southern Utah 9 at Utah State 12

USU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:37 · Tate Lewis punt for 65 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 10 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:04: Keita Calhoun 36 yd FG GOOD — SUU win probability +5.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:56: Malik Brown run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47 — SUU win probability +10.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q4 4:54: Tate Lewis punt for 42 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 88 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +42.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:54: Ammon Olsen pass complete to Jarom Healey for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 34 — SUU win probability +9.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 49 — USU win probability +13.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 13 of 15SUU made the numbers' call on 15 of 17
  1. Q1 15:00USU 4th & 7 at USU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:21USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:04SUU 4th & 4 at SUU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:29USU 4th & 5 at USU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:54SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:59USU 4th & 3 at SUU 13, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:59SUU 4th & 19 at SUU 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  8. Q1 3:34USU 4th & 8 at USU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  9. Q1 2:37SUU 4th & 2 at SUU 37, up 1
    Close callPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 15:00SUU 4th & 4 at SUU 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 13:42USU 4th & 18 at USU 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 12:09SUU 4th & 4 at USU 40, up 1
    Close callPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 9:15USU 4th & 10 at SUU 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 8:35SUU 4th & 6 at SUU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  15. Q2 4:44USU 4th & 4 at SUU 47, down 1
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q2 4:37SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  17. Q2 1:37USU 4th & 6 at USU 23, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  18. Q2 0:04SUU 4th & 12 at USU 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−7.9
    average punt
  19. Q3 15:00SUU 4th & 2 at SUU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%
    average punt
  20. Q3 13:29USU 4th & 6 at USU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  21. Q3 12:26SUU 4th & 12 at SUU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  22. Q3 10:48USU 4th & 6 at USU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  23. Q3 7:18SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−2.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  24. Q3 5:42USU 4th & 18 at SUU 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    42.3%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  25. Q4 15:00SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  26. Q4 14:44USU 4th & 22 at SUU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−4.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  27. Q4 11:04SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−3.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  28. Q4 8:00USU 4th & 12 at USU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−2.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  29. Q4 4:54SUU 4th & 13 at SUU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−4.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  30. Q4 4:54SUU 4th & 17 at SUU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  31. Q4 2:13USU 4th & 17 at USU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−9.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  32. Q4 2:04SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.2%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SUU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:21SUU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
Devonte Robinson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
72.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 13 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
72.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
72.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Zach Van Leeuwen, broken up by Miles KillebrewSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
72.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
72.8%
Aaron Dalton punt blocked by Matt Holley blocked by Matt HolleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:3328% → 28%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
72.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+2
72.5%
Jarom Healey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+27
72.1%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Mike Sharp for 27 yds for a TD, (Keita Calhoun PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
72.1%
Torrey Green Defensive PAT Conversion Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for no gain to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
72.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
72.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
71.9%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Brady MeasomSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
71.9%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete, broken up by LT FiliagaSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.0%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the SoUth 42Similar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
72.0%
Tate Lewis punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
71.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 15 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
71.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.0%
Jarom Healey run for no gain to the SoUth 37Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
71.1%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Justin Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 36Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+2
71.3%
Jarom Healey run for 2 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0771% → 70%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+39
70.5%
Devante Mays run for 39 yds to the SoUth 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
71.2%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the SoUth 34Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+14
71.4%
Devante Mays run for 14 yds to the SoUth 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
71.4%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 21Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
71.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the SoUth 21Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+8
71.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 8 yds to the SoUth 13Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
70.4%
Brock Warren 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
70.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Justin Brown for 16 yds to the SoUth 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
69.8%
Malik Brown run for no gain to the SoUth 41Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
69.9%
Ammon Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-9
70.3%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the SoUth 32Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
71.0%
Tate Lewis punt for 39 yds , Jalen Davis returns for no gain to the UthSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
69.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
69.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
68.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
69.3%
Naia Ursua run for 5 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-3
68.9%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Ricky Ali'ifua for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 31Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-5
69.7%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 26Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+11
69.9%
Jarom Healey run for 11 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
Q1 2:37
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+35
69.6%
Tate Lewis punt for 49 yds , Jalen Davis returns for 35 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted J Thornton return for no gain to the SoUth 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
67.8%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Justin Brown for 7 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
67.2%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-1
67.6%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Mike Sharp for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+13
68.5%
Tate Lewis punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 22 , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 13 yds to the UthSt 48 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
68.2%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
68.1%
Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-6
67.4%
Chuckie Keeton run for 9 yds to the UthSt 29 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 14Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+5
67.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 yds , Brady Measom returns for 5 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
65.4%
Jarom Healey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
65.5%
Jarom Healey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
65.7%
Jarom Healey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
66.6%
Tate Lewis punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:1167% → 66%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
67.4%
HUNT,LaJuan rush for loss of 2 yards to the USU24 (COWSER, J.;NELSON, T.), PENALTY SUU face mask 15 yards to the USU41, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
68.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+13
68.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 13 yds to the SoUth 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
69.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
68.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
68.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by M NeedhamSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
66.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 21 yds, downed at the SoUth 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.0%
Malik Brown run for no gain to the SoUth 20Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
65.3%
Ammon Olsen run for 10 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
64.5%
Malik Brown run for 5 yds to the SoUth 35Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-4
64.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 31Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+3
65.8%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Brady Measom for 3 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+27
65.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 46 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 27 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0667% → 65%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
67.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
66.7%
Chuckie Keeton run for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+6
64.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 6 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
65.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
62.5%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Naia UrsuaSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
62.8%
Malik Brown run for no gain to the SoUth 9Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 10
OWN 9
-1
63.7%
Jarom Healey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 8Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 11
OWN 8
+2
64.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 65 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 10 UTAH ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2764% → 61%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
63.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
63.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
62.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for no gain to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
60.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:2642% → 44%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
58.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 15 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
57.0%
OLSEN, A. pass incomplete to BROWN, J., PENALTY USU pass interference 13 yards to the USU32, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
55.8%
OLSEN, A. pass incomplete to BROWN, J., PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU17, 1ST DOWN SUU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
55.5%
Ammon Olsen sacked by David Moala for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
56.3%
Ammon Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
58.5%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Brady Measom for no gain to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
56.1%
Keita Calhoun 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 14 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.1%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.3%
Jarom Healey run for 7 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
57.1%
Jarom Healey run for 1 yd to the SoUth 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
57.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 10 , Andrew Rodriguez returns for no gain to the UthSt 33 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
57.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Taylor NelsonSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+4
56.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+9
55.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 46 yds , Brady Measom returns for 9 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
53.2%
Malik Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoUth 44Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
55.0%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Brady MeasomSimilar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+3
56.0%
Ammon Olsen run for 3 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
57.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
55.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+8
55.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
56.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 6 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+6
58.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 6 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
57.3%
HUNT,LaJuan rush for 4 yards to the USU43 (KILLEBREW, M.), PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the USU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 25
OWN 24
0
55.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete, broken up by Sione FukofukaSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+10
55.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+9
54.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devante Mays for 9 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
55.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoUth 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.2%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin BrownSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
51.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Jarom Healey for no gain to the SoUth 24Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
52.7%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Mike Sharp for 2 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+2
53.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 40 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
53.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 10 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
55.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 5 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
56.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 5 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
56.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for no gain to the SoUth 44Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
56.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 6 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
56.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the SoUth 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
58.8%
HUNT,LaJuan rush for 4 yards to the SUU29 (KILLEBREW, M.;HOLLEY, M.), PENALTY USU illegal formation 5 yards to the SUU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 15
OPP 38
-2
54.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 40Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+2
54.1%
Chuckie Keeton run for 2 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 15
OPP 38
-3
53.1%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Shad Ennis for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 41Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
50.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:5757% → 55%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
43.2%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Justin Brown for 9 yds to the SoUth 20Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+3
42.0%
Malik Brown run for 3 yds to the SoUth 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
42.9%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
43.2%
Malik Brown run for 3 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
43.3%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 26
-3
45.0%
Tate Lewis punt for 50 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
45.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte Robinson, broken up by Jalyn Harrison for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
46.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+21
49.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SoUth 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
52.6%
KEETON,Chuckie pass complete to ROBERTS,Braelo for 16 yards to the SUU19 (BAKER, L.;HANNEMANN, K.), PENALTY USU personal foul 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 25
50
+4
47.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the SoUth 46Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 21
OPP 46
-1
47.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 22
OPP 47
-10
45.8%
KEETON,Chuckie pass complete to WILLIAMS,Kenne for 12 yards to the SUU35, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the USU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 32
OWN 43
+10
44.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 10 yds to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 22
OPP 47
0
43.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brady Measom at the SoUth 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
37.9%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Naia Ursua for 2 yds to the SoUth 18Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
38.3%
Jarom Healey run for 4 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+11
39.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Brady Measom for 11 yds to the SoUth 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
36.8%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Jarom Healey, broken up by Jordan NielsenSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
37.5%
Jarom Healey run for 6 yds to the SoUth 39Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-5
35.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 34Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
39.1%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+7
40.5%
Tate Lewis punt for 51 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
40.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 17Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+3
40.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Tyler Fox for 3 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
39.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Dax Raymond, broken up by Matt HolleySimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
38.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete, broken up by Chance Bearnson UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+2
36.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 33 yds , Brady Measom returns for 2 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 32PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:0274% → 29%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
26.0%
Malik Brown run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
25.5%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 48Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-5
26.7%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 43Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+3
28.4%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Brady Measom for 3 yds to the SoUth 46Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 13
OWN 46
0
29.3%
Ammon Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 13
OWN 46
+88
71.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 42 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 88 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 33PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0032% → 27%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
67.9%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Jarom Healey for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 34Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-1
69.3%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Kyler Fackrell for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 33Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-5
71.4%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 28Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
71.8%
Ammon Olsen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
72.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 34PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5782% → 85%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
81.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-3
80.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 17
OWN 19
0
84.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+1
84.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds , Brady Measom returns for 1 yd to the SoUth 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 35DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
78.7%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Mike Sharp for 12 yds to the SoUth 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
76.2%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete, broken up by Marwin EvansSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
77.6%
Ammon Olsen pass complete to Justin Brown for 7 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
74.7%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 48Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-1
77.7%
Ammon Olsen sacked by Kyler Fackrell for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 47Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
80.6%
Ammon Olsen pass incomplete to Justin Brown, broken up by Daniel GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 36END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 49Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
94.2%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct ( Yards) to the SoUth 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q4 4:54
Tate Lewis punt for 42 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 88 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
+42.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:40
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 49
+13.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:56
Malik Brown run for 4 yds to the UthSt 47
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com