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UNH

New Hampshire 13 at San José State 43

SJSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2015 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:57 · Christian Breda punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense+32.0Pregame prior+8.1Score differential+28.5Garbage-time factor+8.7Blowout margin+14.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:08: Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez PAT MISSED) — SJSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:09: Tyler Ervin run for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:51: Dalton Crossan run for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK) — UNH win probability +7.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:30: Thomas Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez PAT BLOCKED) — SJSU win probability +5.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:44: Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNH made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:27UNH 4th & 8 at UNH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17SJSU 4th & 12 at UNH 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:15UNH 4th & 9 at UNH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:02UNH 4th & 15 at UNH 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:30UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 28, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:43SJSU 4th & 3 at UNH 41, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−2.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:32UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 49, down 19
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UNH 4th & 4 at SJSU 48, down 19
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:38UNH 4th & 7 at UNH 24, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:04SJSU 4th & 4 at UNH 21, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:57UNH 4th & 1 at UNH 35, down 29
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:28SJSU 4th & 24 at SJSU 31, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:00UNH 4th & 3 at UNH 40, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UNH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:34SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:08SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:09SJSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:51UNH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:30SJSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:44SJSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:15SJSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:44UNH Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2676% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
76.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
76.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
76.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+11
76.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 11 yds to the NHamp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
76.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 11 yds to the NHamp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
76.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 6 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+9
76.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Justin Holmes for 9 yds to the NHamp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
76.0%
Joe Gray pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 11 yds to the NHamp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the NHamp 2Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.7%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
76.0%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Dalton Crossan for 9 yds to the NHamp 43Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
75.9%
Dalton Crossan run for 4 yds to the NHamp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Aaron Lewis-CenalesSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
75.9%
Dalton Crossan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 7
50
-1
75.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Dalton Crossan for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 49Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
76.2%
Christian Breda punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+38
76.4%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 38 yds to the NHamp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
76.9%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the NHamp 41Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-1
76.9%
Thomas Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 42Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-5
76.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Thomas Tucker) to the NHamp 47Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
76.5%
Joe Gray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
76.2%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 24 yds, downed at the NHamp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
76.4%
Sean Goldrich pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
76.4%
Trevon Bryant run for 1 yd to the NHamp 24Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
76.6%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Aaron Lewis-CenalesSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
76.8%
Christian Breda punt for 51 yds, downed at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0677% → 81%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.6%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 5 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
76.7%
Joe Gray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+36
76.4%
Joe Gray pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 36 yds to the NHamp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
80.8%
Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
78.7%
Trevon Bryant run for 5 yds to the NHamp 34Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-1
78.6%
Trevon Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 33Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-9
78.7%
Sean Goldrich sacked by Eugene Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the NHamp 24Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
79.1%
Christian Breda punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:5881% → 87%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
81.2%
Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
81.1%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 11 yds to the SJSt 48 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Hansell Wilson) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+17
81.3%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 17 yds to the NHamp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
81.6%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 15 yds to the NHamp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
87.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 8TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:1014% → 21%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
86.1%
Sean Goldrich run for 9 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+26
78.6%
Dalton Crossan run for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:1682% → 88%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
81.7%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+4
81.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 4 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+4
81.5%
Kenny Potter run for 4 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+42
81.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for 42 yds to the NHamp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the NHamp 36 Thomas Tucker fumbled, forced by Daniel Rowe,Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
82.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 5 yds to the NHamp 31Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+7
82.2%
Thomas Tucker run for 7 yds to the NHamp 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
82.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 7 yds to the NHamp 17Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+4
82.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 4 yds to the NHamp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.2%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 3 yds to the NHamp 28Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
86.1%
Sean Goldrich pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
86.4%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Jared AllisonSimilar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
86.5%
Christian Breda punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
87.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 13 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
88.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
88.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Winston for 7 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
88.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 3 yds to the NHamp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
88.4%
Thomas Tucker run for 7 yds to the NHamp 41Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
88.2%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the NHamp 39Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-2
87.9%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the NHamp 41Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-5
87.6%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jullian Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the NHamp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
87.3%
Dalton Crossan run for 3 yds to the NHamp 49Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
87.0%
Dalton Crossan run for no gain to the NHamp 49Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
87.4%
Sean Goldrich pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Christian Breda punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13MISSED FG
16 plays · 77 yds · 3:1589% → 93%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
89.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+17
89.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Shane Smith for 17 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
89.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Cam Shorey for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+18
89.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 18 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
89.8%
Thomas Tucker run for 4 yds to the NHamp 48Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
91.6%
Thomas Tucker run for 2 yds to the NHamp 46Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+5
91.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 5 yds to the NHamp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
91.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+25
93.7%
Kenny Potter run for 25 yds to the NHamp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
93.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 3 yds to the NHamp 5Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
92.3%
POTTER, Kenny pass complete to WILSON, Hansell for 5 yards to the UNH0, clock 00:13, PENALTY SJ illegal shift 5 yards to the UNH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler WinstonSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
92.6%
Austin Lopez 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
88.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NHamp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.1%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Aaron Lewis-CenalesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
89.4%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Aaron Lewis-CenalesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
89.8%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jordan Powell for 11 yds to the NHamp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
88.9%
Sean Goldrich run for 5 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
88.5%
Sean Goldrich run for 1 yd to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
88.6%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Donald GoodrichSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
89.0%
Christian Breda punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 6:4093% → 99%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
93.1%
Thomas Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 9Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
91.7%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+11
91.4%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 11 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
93.2%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
93.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+9
93.1%
Thomas Tucker run for 9 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
93.5%
Joe Gray pass complete to Tyler Winston for 9 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
93.5%
Thomas Tucker run for 4 yds to the NHamp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
93.6%
Joe Gray pass complete to Billy Freeman for 19 yds to the NHamp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
93.6%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the NHamp 28Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+10
93.6%
Joe Gray run for 10 yds to the NHamp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
93.6%
Tyler Ervin run for 10 yds to the NHamp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
93.6%
Joe Gray run for 5 yds to the NHamp 3 NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, Defensive holding (Cam Shorey) to the NHamp 1Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.1%
Dalton Crossan run for 2 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
99.1%
Sean Goldrich run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 22Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+2
99.1%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Dalton Crossan for 2 yds to the NHamp 24Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Christian Breda punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+45
99.0%
Tyler Ervin run for 45 yds to the NHamp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.1%
Thomas Tucker run for 1 yd to the NHamp 26Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+5
99.1%
Thomas Tucker run for 5 yds to the NHamp 21Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
99.1%
Joe Gray pass incomplete to Thomas TuckerSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
99.7%
Bryce Crawford 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.7%
Dalton Crossan run for 4 yds to the NHamp 30Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
99.6%
Dalton Crossan run for 3 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
99.6%
Dalton Crossan run for 2 yds to the NHamp 35Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Christian Breda punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.7%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+17
99.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 17 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Thomas Tucker run for no gain to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+22
99.8%
Kenny Potter run for 22 yds to the NHamp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.8%
Thomas Tucker run for 1 yd to the NHamp 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds to the NHamp 27Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-15
99.8%
POTTER, Kenny deep out pass complete to CRAWLEY, Tim for 27 yards to the UNH0, clock 13:00, PENALTY SJ crackback (VELICHKO, Nate) 15 yards to the UNH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 21
OPP 42
+27
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Thomas Tucker for 27 yds to the NHamp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 2 yds to the NHamp 13Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+12
99.8%
Tim Crawley run for 12 yds to the NHamp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Thomas Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 21TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 4:260% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 8 yds to the NHamp 24Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Mike Kelly, broken up by Jimmy PruittSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Dalton Crossan for 4 yds to the NHamp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Trevon Bryant run for 5 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+12
99.9%
Neil O'Connor run for 12 yds to the NHamp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Jordan Powell, broken up by Simon ConnetteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
99.9%
Sean Goldrich run for 14 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Aaron Lewis-Cenales for 2 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Aaron Lewis-Cenales, broken up by Cleveland Wallace IIISimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jordan Powell for 9 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.9%
Trevon Bryant run for 13 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jordan Powell for 13 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Trevon Bryant run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Darrion Hancock run for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Darrion Hancock for 4 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+17
99.9%
Kenny Potter run for 17 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Darrion Hancock run for no gain to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Darrion Hancock run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-17
99.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Ryan Farrell for a loss of 17 yards to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 24
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NHamp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
Trevon Bryant run for 3 yds to the NHamp 20Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Chris McCormick pass incomplete to Trevon Bryant, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+13
100.0%
Chris McCormick run for 13 yds to the NHamp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Donald Goodrich run for 7 yds to the NHamp 40Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Chris McCormick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Chris McCormick pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Christian Breda punt for 46 yds, downed at the SJSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
Malik Watson pass complete to Thai Cottrell for 2 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+5
100.0%
Darrion Hancock run for 5 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:51
Dalton Crossan run for 26 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q2 9:30
Thomas Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez PAT BLOCKED)
+5.4
TD · Q1 0:09
Tyler Ervin run for 30 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com