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BYU

BYU 16 at Missouri 20

MIZ
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:13 · Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense+10.4Pregame prior−0.6Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score differential+0.9Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:21: Algernon Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +14.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:03: Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) BYU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — MIZ win probability +25.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:03: Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +13.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:19: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED) — BYU win probability +23.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:02: Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 19 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST down — MIZ win probability +9.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:00BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:47BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:56MIZ 4th & 5 at BYU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:44MIZ 4th & 12 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:29BYU 4th & 5 at MIZ 5, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    49.9%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:54MIZ 4th & 13 at BYU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:13MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 29, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:03BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−2.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 6:21BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:03MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:03MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:19BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    28.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
44.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
44.4%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
44.4%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-4
44.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds , Michael Shelton returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 22 Michael Shelton fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
44.7%
Algernon Brown run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
44.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
44.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+4
44.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds , Ian Simon returns for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FUMBLE
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:5445% → 46%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
45.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+25
45.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 25 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
45.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 6 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
45.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
45.3%
Tyler Hunt run for 3 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
45.4%
Tyler Hunt run for 5 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
45.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
45.3%
Tyler Hunt run for 3 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
46.8%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Moore, J'Mon for 9 yards to the BYU0, clock 08:49, PENALTY MIZ pass interference (Moore, J'Mon) 15 yards to the BYU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
0
46.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
0
46.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+3
46.2%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the BYU 21 Ish Witter fumbled, forced by Bronson Kaufusi, recovered by BYU Bronson Kaufusi MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
46.0%
Adam Hine run for 3 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
46.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
46.0%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
46.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds , Ian Simon returns for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:2247% → 50%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
46.6%
Ray Wingo run for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+15
46.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Cam Hilton for 15 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
47.3%
Ish Witter run for 18 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
47.5%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
47.8%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+13
47.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Cam Hilton for 13 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
47.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+10
49.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 10 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
49.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 10Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
49.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
49.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 0:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
50.4%
Andrew Baggett 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:5250% → 49%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
49.9%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to KURTZ,Nick (Penton, Aarion), PENALTY BYU illegal formation 5 yards to the BYU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 13
-6
50.0%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to KURTZ,Nick, PENALTY BYU holding (KOROMA,Tejan) 6 yards to the BYU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 21
OWN 7
+13
50.4%
Algernon Brown run for 13 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+13
50.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 13 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
49.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 11 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
49.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
49.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
50.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
50.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
50.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 9 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+18
50.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 18 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
51.1%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+17
50.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 17 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
52.3%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 12
50
0
51.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to DeSean BlairSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 12
50
0
50.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 12
50
0
50.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3348% → 53%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
51.8%
Adam Hine run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+32
51.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 32 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
49.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
49.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+35
50.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 35 yds to the Misso 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
48.9%
Algernon Brown run for 4 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.9%
Adam Hine run for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
49.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
46.9%
Trevor Samson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FG
22 plays · 65 yds · 6:2951% → 56%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
51.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
51.1%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+8
50.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 8 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
51.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
51.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
51.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 5 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
52.8%
Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
52.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 7 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
52.8%
Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd to the Misso 49Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
53.9%
Drew Lock run for 3 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
55.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 20 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
56.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Nate BrownSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
56.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+11
55.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 11 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
56.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
56.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Cam HiltonSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 15
OPP 19
+2
53.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
55.6%
Andrew Baggett 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:0041% → 42%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
59.3%
Algernon Brown run for 6 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
58.0%
Algernon Brown run for 5 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
57.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 22 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11FUMBLE
13 plays · 57 yds · 0:0045% → 48%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
55.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
54.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Remington Peck for 11 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
52.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 9 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
51.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
51.7%
Francis Bernard run for 3 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
51.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
51.9%
Adam Hine run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
52.3%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to JUERGENS,Mitch, PENALTY MIZ pass interference (Wilson, Thomas) 15 yards to the MIZ23, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
50.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 8 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
50.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 15
-3
51.7%
Adam Hine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 17 Adam Hine fumbled, recovered by Misso Kentrell BrothersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0058% → 59%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
57.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+18
57.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 18 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
58.7%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Micah Hannemann return for 29 yds to the Misso 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:2847% → 63%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
53.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 14 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
51.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
51.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 4 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+2
52.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+5
55.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (Walter Brady) to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
51.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 4 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+1
51.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 1 yd to the Misso 11Similar
Q3 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
36.7%
Algernon Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14TD
18 plays · 79 yds · 8:0942% → 70%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
41.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Cam Hilton for 8 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
44.0%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
41.1%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
42.2%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (Travis Tuiloma) to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 5
OWN 37
0
44.8%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
44.5%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+34
43.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 49 yds to the MISSOURI 12 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cam Hilton) to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
48.4%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+2
48.4%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
46.0%
Lock, Drew pass intercepted by NACUA,Kai at the BYU0, NACUA,Kai return to the BYU0, touchback, PENALTY BYU pass interference (DAVIS,Michael) 15 yards to the BYU9, 1ST DOWN MIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
48.4%
Tyler Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 14 Tyler Hunt fumbled, forced by Bronson Kaufusi, recovered by Misso Drew LockSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
47.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Wesley Leftwich for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
42.5%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Hansbrough, R. for loss of 6 yards to the BYU18 (LEUTA-DOUYERE,J), PENALTY BYU personal foul (El-Bakri,Brayde) 6 yards to the BYU6, 1ST DOWN MIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
45.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
45.3%
Tyler Hunt run for 4 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
45.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) BYU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
63.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Marcell Frazier for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 16 Tanner Mangum fumbled, recovered by Misso Michael Scherer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4672% → 86%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
72.1%
Russell Hansbrough run for 6 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-15
72.4%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Brown, Nate for 10 yards to the BYU0, clock 12:21, PENALTY MIZ pass interference (Moore, J'Mon) 15 yards to the BYU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 19
OPP 25
0
70.7%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 19
OPP 25
+23
68.5%
Drew Lock run for 23 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
72.4%
Tyler Hunt run for no gain to the BYU 2Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
72.4%
Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.0%
Tyler Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:3514% → 42%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
85.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 9 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+18
84.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 18 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
83.4%
Adam Hine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+15
84.9%
MANGUM,Tanner pass incomplete to KURTZ,Nick (Cheadle, Logan), PENALTY MIZ pass interference (Cheadle, Logan) 15 yards to the MIZ31, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
81.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Remington Peck for 19 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
81.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Remington PeckSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
81.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
83.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Kenya Dennis for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kenya Dennis) to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
81.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
58.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
75.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
76.0%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+2
74.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
73.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
70.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Remington Peck for 11 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
70.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Remington PeckSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 10
OWN 26
-5
72.5%
BYU Penalty, false start (Ryker Mathews) to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
73.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch Mathews, broken up by Anthony SherrilsSimilar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
74.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 54 yds, downed at the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:1183% → 93%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
83.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Nate Brown for 19 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
85.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+23
87.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 23 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
89.6%
Russell Hansbrough run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
88.3%
Russell Hansbrough run for 7 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+5
91.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for 5 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+16
92.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 16 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
93.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
93.4%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:03
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) BYU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+25.2
TD · Q4 7:19
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson PAT MISSED)
-23
TD · Q3 6:21
Algernon Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com