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TLSA

Tulsa 45 at Tulane 34

TULN
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadTLSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreTLSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:01 · Zachary Block punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense+4.1Pregame prior−3.9Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:00: Dontrell Hilliard 66 Yd pass from Jordy Joseph (Andrew DiRocco Kick) — TULN win probability +16.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:05: Keyarris Garrett 30 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +15.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 6:45: Zack Langer 1 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +30.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 6:31: Craig Suits 28 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +29.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Kolton Shindelar 89 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick) — TLSA win probability +26.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:17TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21TLSA 4th & 9 at TLSA 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59TULN 4th & 1 at TLSA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:03TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:19TULN 4th & 2 at TLSA 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%−0.8
    84% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:08TLSA 4th & 2 at TLSA 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:01TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:11TLSA 4th & 4 at TULN 24, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−10.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:19TULN 4th & 15 at TLSA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−4.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−11.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:31TLSA 4th & 23 at TULN 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:42TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−2.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TLSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:29TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:59TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:00TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:48TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:00TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:05TLSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:40TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:45TLSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:31TLSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:12TLSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1561% → 62%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
38.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 19 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
39.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+11
39.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 11 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
39.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
39.1%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+17
39.2%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 17 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
39.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
38.5%
Justin Hobbs 20 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3539% → 38%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
38.8%
Rob Kelley run for 1 yd to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
38.8%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-1
38.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Josh Rounds for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
38.4%
Andrew DiRocco punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulsa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5262% → 61%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
38.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
38.6%
Zack Langer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
38.8%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+4
38.9%
Dalton Parks punt for 34 yds for a 1ST down , Darion Monroe returns for 4 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:5139% → 42%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
39.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 6 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+5
39.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
39.4%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
39.7%
Jordy Joseph run for no gain to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
39.4%
Rob Kelley run for no gain to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+28
42.1%
Charles Jones 28 Yd pass from Jordy Joseph (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4058% → 58%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.6%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 30Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
41.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 31Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
41.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 3 yds to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
42.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 55 yds , Darion Monroe returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 6:5842% → 52%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
42.3%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
42.4%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+19
42.1%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 19 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
43.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+11
44.6%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 11 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
45.0%
Jordy Joseph run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 38Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
45.4%
Jordy Joseph run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
46.1%
Devin Glenn run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
46.3%
Rob Kelley run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
46.5%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 13Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+8
46.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Trey Scott for 8 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
47.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.5%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
51.9%
Teddy Veal 3 Yd pass from Jordy Joseph (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:0249% → 59%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.8%
Dane Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+20
51.4%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
50
+3
49.5%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+12
49.7%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 12 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
40.7%
Joshua Atkinson 35 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 6:1845% → 52%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
45.5%
Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.6%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Charles Jones for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
46.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+17
46.9%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Rickey Preston for 17 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
48.9%
Jordy Joseph run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
49.0%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+14
48.6%
Jordy Joseph run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
49.8%
Josh Rounds run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
50.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
49.1%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
52.3%
Andrew DiRocco 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:4950% → 50%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
50.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+2
49.3%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
50.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
49.7%
Dane Evans pass intercepted Darion Monroe return for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
65.7%
Dontrell Hilliard 66 Yd pass from Jordy Joseph (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:1237% → 34%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
62.9%
Dane Evans sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
63.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+16
66.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to D'Angelo Brewer for 16 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
65.5%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to D'Angelo BrewerSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+8
66.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Chad President for 8 yds to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+15
66.1%
Dalton Parks punt for 45 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 15 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
68.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:5966% → 70%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
65.9%
Jordy Joseph run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+7
66.0%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
66.6%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
67.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Trey Scott for 7 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
68.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+14
70.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
70.7%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
70.8%
Jordy Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
69.9%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Josh RoundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 4:2231% → 48%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
69.1%
Chad President pass incomplete to Conner FloydSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
69.8%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
71.1%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 10 yds to the Tulsa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
69.6%
Conner Floyd run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 8Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 15
OWN 8
+33
71.0%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 33 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.4%
Zack Langer run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
69.1%
Zack Langer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
69.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Mandel Dixon for 8 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
68.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
69.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 11 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
68.0%
Zack Langer run for 5 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-1
67.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+30
51.8%
Keyarris Garrett 30 Yd pass from Dane Evans (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2960% → 56%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
60.3%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Jordy Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
58.1%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Trey ScottSimilar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
56.4%
Zachary Block punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:2445% → 53%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
55.0%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
52.9%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
50
+1
51.7%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
51.9%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-5
53.6%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+24
57.4%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 24 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
51.6%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Bishop LouieSimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
53.2%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+6
55.1%
Dane Evans run for 6 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+40
47.4%
Redford Jones 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 2:2657% → 61%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
56.5%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
55.4%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Sherman Badie for 16 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
58.9%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
59.3%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+6
58.6%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
61.0%
Jordy Joseph run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
61.3%
Jordy Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
61.3%
TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
60.0%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
56.7%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
60.9%
Andrew DiRocco 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:2938% → 34%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
61.6%
Ramadi Warren run for 18 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
57.8%
Ramadi Warren run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
60.0%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Joshua AtkinsonSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+26
61.8%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 26 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
56.7%
Ramadi Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
57.1%
Dane Evans pass incomplete to Keyarris GarrettSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 11
OPP 28
-7
60.5%
Dane Evans sacked by Daren Williams and Royce LaFrance for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 18
OPP 35
-5
66.0%
TULSA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 23
OPP 40
0
65.6%
Dalton Parks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2967% → 68%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
67.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+7
67.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
69.1%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
70.6%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Andrew HicksSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
68.6%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Rickey PrestonSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
67.7%
Zachary Block punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Conner Floyd at the Tulsa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -23 yds · 1:5037% → 31%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
62.8%
D'Angelo Brewer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-21
62.7%
Chad President sacked by Daren Williams and Jarrod Franklin for a loss of 21 yards to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 29
OWN 21
-4
68.1%
Zack Langer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 33
OWN 17
0
69.3%
Dalton Parks punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:3474% → 91%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
73.8%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Rob Kelley for 26 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
76.9%
Jordy Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
91.1%
Andrew Hicks 34 Yd pass from Jordy Joseph (Andrew DiRocco Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5510% → 42%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.3%
TULSA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+37
90.6%
Dane Evans pass complete to Keyarris Garrett for 37 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
88.3%
Zack Langer run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+39
88.5%
Dane Evans pass complete to Joshua Atkinson for 39 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.5%
Zack Langer 1 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
36.3%
Craig Suits 28 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24INT TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:1935% → 6%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
35.1%
TULANE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+11
34.6%
Jordy Joseph run for 11 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
36.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
34.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
32.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+16
32.3%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 16 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
35.6%
Rob Kelley run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
34.9%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+35
32.6%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Trey Scott for 35 yds to the Tulsa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
40.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
38.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Rob Kelley for no gain to the Tulsa 16Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+89
5.8%
Kolton Shindelar 89 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:004% → 3%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
4.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Josh Rounds for 16 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
4.7%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Josh Rounds for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
4.0%
Jordy Joseph run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
50
+9
4.1%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 1
OPP 41
0
3.5%
Jordy Joseph pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-1
3.4%
Jordy Joseph sacked by Kolton Shindelar for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:45
Zack Langer 1 Yd Run (Redford Jones Kick)
-30
TD · Q4 6:31
Craig Suits 28 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick)
-29.6
TD · Q4 1:12
Kolton Shindelar 89 Yd Interception Return (Redford Jones Kick)
-26.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com