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CIN

Cincinnati 19 at East Carolina 16

ECU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:27 · Worth Gregory punt for 47 yds, downed at the Cincy 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense+3.1Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Garbage-time factor−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:28: Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +20.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:26: Andrew Gantz 50 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +7.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:36: James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman PAT MISSED) — ECU win probability +20.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:27: Blake Kemp run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28 — ECU win probability +11.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Andrew Gantz 42 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +38.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:17ECU 4th & 3 at CIN 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:55CIN 4th & 16 at ECU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:42ECU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:47ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:12ECU 4th & 27 at CIN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:28ECU 4th & 15 at CIN 33, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    42.6%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:26CIN 4th & 10 at ECU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:36ECU 4th & 2 at CIN 2, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−5.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−19.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:27CIN 4th & 5 at ECU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−19.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:27ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00CIN 4th & 5 at ECU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−14.8
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−26.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:55ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:47CIN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:28CIN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:36ECU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:4332% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 5 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+11
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
31.5%
Blake Kemp run for 8 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+22
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 22 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
31.5%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+10
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 10 yds to the Cincy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.5%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Jj PinckneySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
31.5%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the Cincy 1Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
31.5%
Blake Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 3 Blake Kemp fumbled, recovered by ECaro Blake Kemp , return for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 3Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
33.6%
Davis Plowman 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
33.3%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
33.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Mike BooneSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
33.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 63 yds, downed at the ECaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 3:3634% → 39%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
33.8%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+13
33.7%
Anthony Scott run for 13 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
33.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 18 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
34.0%
Blake Kemp run for 6 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
34.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
50
+13
34.3%
Blake Kemp run for 13 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
36.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 4 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
36.3%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+17
36.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 17 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
36.3%
Chris Hairston run for 6 yds to the Cincy 10Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
39.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 10 yds for a TD CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Davis Plowman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Gunner Kiel run for no gain to the Cincy 25Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
39.3%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mike Boone for 24 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
38.4%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+15
38.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 15 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
38.0%
KIEL, Gunner SH pass complete to BOONE, Mike for loss of 2 yards to the ECU36 (AMOS, DaShaun), PENALTY CIN holding (DOWDY, DJ) 10 yards to the ECU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+3
38.6%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+6
38.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Nate Cole for 6 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-5
38.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
39.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Hosey WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
39.3%
Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
42.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
43.0%
Shawn Furlow run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 20Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+22
42.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 22 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
43.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
43.4%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+8
42.9%
Chris Hairston run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 2
50
0
42.9%
Worth Gregory punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:4955% → 59%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
45.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 9 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+17
44.7%
Gunner Kiel run for 2 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
45.3%
Hosey Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 35 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+16
45.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 16 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
44.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
44.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+11
44.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 11 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
43.5%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+12
43.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 12 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
45.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 3 yds to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
45.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 2 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
41.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
42.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
43.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for no gain to the ECaro 32Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
42.4%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Brandon BishopSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+12
41.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 34 , Shaq Washington returns for 12 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
43.1%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
43.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
42.2%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete, broken up by Johnathon WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 3
OWN 41
-5
43.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
44.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 1:4044% → 47%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
44.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
44.4%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+4
44.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+22
44.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 22 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
46.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 24 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
50.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 26Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 13
OPP 26
-10
50.0%
KEMP, Blake middle pass complete to BROWN, Trevon for 14 yards to the CIN12 (EVANS, Jarred), PENALTY ECU holding (STRUYK, C.J.) 10 yards to the CIN36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 23
OPP 36
-4
48.7%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 27
OPP 40
0
47.9%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 27
OPP 40
0
46.8%
Worth Gregory punt for 38 yds, downed at the Cincy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10INT
15 plays · 71 yds · 3:3149% → 52%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
50.8%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
51.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 9 yds to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+4
50.9%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
50.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 9 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+5
48.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Hosey Williams for 5 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
49.4%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
50.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex ChisumSimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+25
50.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 25 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
46.8%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Nate ColeSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
47.0%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+14
47.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 14 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
46.9%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
46.5%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
48.0%
Gunner Kiel pass intercepted, touchback. DaShawn Benton return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:1051% → 51%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
50.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
51.2%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
51.3%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+9
50.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 9 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
53.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 1 yd to the ECaro 44Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
52.9%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+4
51.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
18 plays · 76 yds · 7:3251% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
49.5%
Hosey Williams run for 9 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+7
47.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
47.8%
Hosey Williams run for 9 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
45.8%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
45.9%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
46.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 5 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
45.8%
Tion Green run for 5 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
44.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 4 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
44.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
44.6%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
-2
44.6%
Tion Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+7
54.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
52.3%
Tion Green run for 2 yds to the ECaro 11Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+7
52.3%
Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
54.0%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.6%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0044% → 39%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
44.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+11
44.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
45.2%
James Summers run for 1 yd to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+11
45.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
47.2%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
47.0%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Zach EdwardsSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-5
44.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ike Harris) to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
42.3%
Blake Kemp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
39.3%
Davis Plowman punt for 19 yds, downed at the Cincy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:4462% → 73%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
38.3%
Hosey Williams run for 11 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
37.9%
Hosey Williams run for 16 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
35.4%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
35.3%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
35.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
34.6%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Mekale McKay, broken up by Corey SeargentSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
34.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+8
35.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 8 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
33.5%
Tion Green run for 1 yd to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-1
33.4%
Tion Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
35.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex Chisum, broken up by Travon SimmonsSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
27.5%
Andrew Gantz 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 4:5034% → 59%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
34.0%
Anthony Scott run for 6 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
34.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
34.7%
Shawn Furlow run for 4 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
37.5%
Blake Kemp run for 7 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
37.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 13 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
39.0%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Davon Grayson, broken up by Jj PinckneySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
41.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
41.6%
Blake Kemp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
41.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 7 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
39.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 3 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah Jones, broken up by Leviticus PayneSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
41.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
38.3%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds to the Cincy 2Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.7%
James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16MISSED FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:0950% → 52%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.2%
Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
50.0%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
48.3%
Tion Green run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
48.7%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
45.5%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
45.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 11 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
44.4%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
43.5%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
41.7%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
41.3%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
43.7%
Hosey Williams run for no gain to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
47.6%
Andrew Gantz 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
58.7%
Blake Kemp run for 1 yd to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+7
58.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to James Summers for 7 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-1
59.3%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Worth Gregory punt for 47 yds, downed at the Cincy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 2:3448% → 94%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
51.6%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex Chisum, broken up by Travon SimmonsSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
52.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 8 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
50.3%
Gunner Kiel run for 4 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
49.8%
KIEL, Gunner deep out pass incomplete to COLE, Nate, PENALTY ECU personal foul (STANLEY, Terrel) 15 yards to the CIN46, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
45.4%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
47.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 6 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+8
44.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 8 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
43.2%
Hosey Williams run for 8 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+2
40.3%
Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
40.8%
Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-1
37.3%
Tion Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+4
39.8%
Tion Green run for 4 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
6.2%
Andrew Gantz 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Andrew Gantz 42 yd FG GOOD
-38.5
TD · Q3 7:28
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
-20.4
TD · Q4 10:36
James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Davis Plowman PAT MISSED)
+20.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com