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MEM

Memphis 12 at Temple 31

TEM
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:14 · Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +8.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:36: David Hood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +7.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:28: Jake Elliott 44 yd FG GOOD — MEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Kip Patton run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +18.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:25: Austin Jones 35 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +13.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:19MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:34MEM 4th & 4 at TEM 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.3%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:24MEM 4th & 5 at TEM 28, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:08MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:28MEM 4th & 7 at TEM 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:14TEM 4th & 2 at MEM 37, up 5
    Close callWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%−0.8
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:53TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 37, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10MEM 4th & 8 at TEM 19, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:56TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 44, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.3%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:41MEM 4th & 12 at TEM 22, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−3.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−12.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:35MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:25TEM 4th & 4 at MEM 18, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:18MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 37, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:14MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 27, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 8:14TEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:36TEM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:54TEM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:22TEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1FUMBLE
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
44.0%
WALKER,P.J. pass incomplete to ANDERSON,Robby, PENALTY MEM pass interference (LANIER, C) 15 yards to the TEM40, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
44.0%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
44.0%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-10
44.0%
THOMAS,Jahad rush for 32 yards to the MEM19 (PEGUES, Leonard), PENALTY TEM holding (AHMED,Shahbaz) 10 yards to the TEM39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+18
44.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 18 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby Anderson, broken up by Arthur MauletSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
44.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+9
44.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
44.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 27 Jahad Thomas fumbled, forced by Donald Pennington, recovered by Memph Noah RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
44.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
44.9%
Doroland Dorceus run for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
44.9%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin JonesSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
45.1%
Spencer Smith punt for 38 yds, downed at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3INT
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
45.3%
HOOD,David rush for loss of 2 yards to the TEM27, out-of-bounds (ROBINSON, Noah), PENALTY MEM personal foul (DILLON, Jackson) 15 yards to the TEM44, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+32
45.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 32 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
46.0%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+3
46.0%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
45.8%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Reggis Ball return for no gain to the Memph 17 MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Reggis Ball) to the Memph 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4FG
15 plays · 86 yds · 4:3654% → 55%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
45.7%
Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
45.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 5 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+11
46.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 11 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
45.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Roderick Proctor for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 16Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+19
45.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 19 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.5%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Mose FrazierSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
45.6%
Jarvis Cooper run for 5 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
45.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for 5 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
45.1%
Sam Craft run for 26 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
44.7%
Paxton Lynch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+10
44.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 10 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
44.7%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 7 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 12
-1
44.7%
Jae'lon Oglesby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
45.0%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan CrossSimilar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
45.3%
Jake Elliott 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:2945% → 46%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
45.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
45.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 9 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
45.1%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
45.7%
Jager Gardner run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
46.2%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
46.2%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
46.1%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2956% → 58%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
43.8%
Paxton Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+4
43.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jamarius Henderson for 4 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+9
44.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 9 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
43.4%
Sam Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+6
43.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
43.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Alan Cross for no gain to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
41.6%
Jake Elliott 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1043% → 54%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
42.8%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 20 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by Temp Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+16
42.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 16 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
43.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
44.4%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+34
44.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 34 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
45.5%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
45.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
54.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
51.3%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Roderick ProctorSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
51.4%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Memph 23Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+5
52.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 5 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+7
52.8%
Spencer Smith punt for 47 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:1653% → 64%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
53.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby Anderson, broken up by Chauncey LanierSimilar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
52.8%
P.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+49
52.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 49 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
55.8%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
64.2%
David Hood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:0139% → 46%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
61.5%
Jarvis Cooper run for 1 yd to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+21
61.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 21 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
59.6%
Jarvis Cooper run for 6 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
59.1%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Tevin JonesSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
59.8%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 9 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
57.8%
Jarvis Cooper run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 15
OPP 34
-3
59.7%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 18
OPP 37
+11
62.0%
Sam Craft run for 11 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
53.7%
Jake Elliott 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 36 yds · 1:0959% → 62%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
59.3%
David Hood run for 7 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
60.3%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
59.1%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
60.7%
P.J. Walker run for 16 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
62.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 6 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
63.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Colin ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
63.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 2 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
62.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby Anderson, broken up by Dion WittySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
61.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Memph 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
57.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Tyler Uselton) to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+7
58.1%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Doroland Dorceus for 7 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
58.5%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Alan CrossSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
59.4%
Spencer Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.2%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
61.1%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
60.2%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
60.2%
Averee Robinson punt blocked by Wynton McManis blocked by Wynton McManisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3646% → 42%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
53.6%
Sam Craft run for 4 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-2
53.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
55.4%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
58.0%
Jake Elliott 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:1462% → 64%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
62.2%
WALKER,P.J. pass incomplete to ANDERSON,Robby (PENNINGTON, D), PENALTY MEM roughing passer (DILLON, Jackson) 15 yards to the TEM35, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
62.6%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
64.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
63.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
64.4%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17FG
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:1045% → 44%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
55.1%
Doroland Dorceus run for 6 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
54.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
54.8%
Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
53.7%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the Temp 30 Doroland Dorceus fumbled, forced by Praise Martin-Oguike, recovered by Memph Christopher RobersonSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+1
53.2%
Mose Frazier run for 1 yd to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+9
55.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 9 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
53.2%
Paxton Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
53.2%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-4
55.4%
Paxton Lynch sacked by Sean Chandler for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
55.9%
Jake Elliott 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4757% → 82%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
55.3%
P.J. Walker run for 16 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
60.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 31 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
63.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
63.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Saledeem MajorSimilar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+5
61.2%
WALKER,P.J. sacked for loss of 9 yards to the MEM37 (AVERY, Genard), PENALTY MEM offside (MONTGOMERY, D) 5 yards to the MEM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+8
61.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 8 yds to the Memph 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
63.2%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
81.7%
Kip Patton run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1923% → 20%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
77.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+6
79.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Jae'lon Oglesby for 6 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
77.6%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Jamarius HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
79.6%
Spencer Smith punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 7:5981% → 96%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
80.8%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
80.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 13 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
81.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
81.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+12
81.3%
WALKER,P.J. pass incomplete to BRYANT,Ventell, PENALTY MEM pass interference (NELSON, D) 12 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
83.1%
Jager Gardner run for 7 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
83.2%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
83.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+7
82.4%
P.J. Walker run for 7 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
83.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
83.3%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
82.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
95.6%
Austin Jones 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
92.6%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 7 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-1
92.0%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+3
92.2%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 3 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Paxton Lynch run for no gain to the Memph 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:0596% → 100%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
96.4%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
96.9%
David Hood run for 9 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
96.9%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
97.6%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Saledeem Major for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+8
99.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 8 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for 3 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.4%
Paxton Lynch pass incomplete to Phil MayhueSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.4%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Anthony Miller for 9 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 4 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
99.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
99.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
99.3%
Paxton Lynch pass complete to Mose Frazier for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+4
99.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:54
Kip Patton run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
+18.5
FG · Q4 5:25
Austin Jones 35 yd FG GOOD
+13.2
TD · Q2 8:14
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
+8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com