Try the model
TEM

Temple 23 at South Florida 44

USF
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Raymond James Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USF
modelUSF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:42 · Austin Jones 45 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense+17.5Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Pregame prior−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +8.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:16: Marlon Mack 57 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick) — USF win probability +10.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:17: Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK) — USF win probability +9.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:15: Emilio Nadelman 47 yd FG GOOD — USF win probability +8.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:48: P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +12.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:05TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:09TEM 4th & 7 at USF 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    55.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49TEM 4th & 4 at USF 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:25USF 4th & 16 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:46TEM 4th & 7 at USF 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:37TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:23TEM 4th & 12 at TEM 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:15USF 4th & 14 at TEM 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:15USF 4th & 8 at USF 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−1.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:30TEM 4th & 6 at USF 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:17USF 4th & 6 at TEM 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:42TEM 4th & 7 at USF 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:06USF 4th & 13 at USF 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:38TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:40USF 4th & 3 at TEM 19, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−4.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:11USF 4th & 8 at USF 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:52TEM 4th & 10 at USF 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:12TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 37, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:26TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:06USF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:16USF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:17USF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:48TEM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:38USF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1MISSED FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 7:0658% → 57%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
41.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
41.7%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+11
41.8%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
41.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
42.0%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 5 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+4
42.4%
Jarred Alwan run for 4 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
42.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+13
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 13 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
42.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-9
42.5%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 19
50
+12
43.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 12 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+10
43.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 10 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
42.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
42.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 4
OPP 22
0
42.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
43.3%
Austin Jones 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:1544% → 44%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.6%
Marlon Mack run for no gain to the SFla 22Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
43.7%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 26Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+22
43.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 22 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
44.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 18 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
45.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-1
45.7%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-8
45.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to D'Ernest Johnson for 2 yds to the Temp 30 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
44.7%
Quinton Flowers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
44.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 3:5355% → 61%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
44.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+11
44.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
44.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 22 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+35
43.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 35 yds to the SFla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
43.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SFla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
43.2%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the SFla 3Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 2 yds to the SFla 1Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
47.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 68 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
45.5%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Deatrick Nichols return for 18 yds to the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
54.1%
Quinton Flowers run for 5 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2849% → 50%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
50.8%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+9
51.0%
David Hood run for 9 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
50.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
50.9%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
51.2%
Jager Gardner run for 6 yds to the SFla 13Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-3
51.7%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 16Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
52.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
50.5%
Austin Jones 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:0251% → 63%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
51.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 5 yds to the SFla 31 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFla 21Similar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+18
51.3%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Chris Barr for 18 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
52.6%
Quinton Flowers run for 4 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+57
63.2%
Marlon Mack 57 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1937% → 35%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
62.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-2
63.5%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
64.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
65.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for no gain to the SFla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:1165% → 75%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+42
64.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 42 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
65.8%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 20Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+20
75.0%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3727% → 23%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
73.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 8 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+1
73.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 4:46
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
74.2%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Temp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
74.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 21 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
74.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+4
76.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
77.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 12
OWN 38
+18
77.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds , Tajee Fullwood returns for 18 yds to the SFla 40 Tajee Fullwood fumbled, recovered by SFla Evan Wilson , return for no gain to the SFla 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12FG
12 plays · 30 yds · 1:5079% → 90%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
79.1%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 49Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
79.2%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
79.9%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Praise Martin-Oguike for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 45Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+18
79.8%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 18 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
80.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 11 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
80.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Darius Tice for 2 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
80.7%
Quinton Flowers sacked by Nate D. Smith and Haason Reddick for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 13
OPP 29
-1
81.2%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+47
90.1%
Emilio Nadelman 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
91.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Samuel Benjamin for 9 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.2%
Darius Tice run for no gain to the SFla 26 Darius Tice fumbled, recovered by Temp Praise Martin-OguikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:4615% → 26%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
85.0%
P.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
85.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
86.3%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the SFla 14Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
86.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
73.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:2277% → 77%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
77.3%
Marlon Mack run for 14 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
78.7%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
79.1%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the SFla 46Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
78.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 41Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
78.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
77.4%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 48 yds , Sean Chandler returns for no gain to the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FG
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:4122% → 25%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
77.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+29
78.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 29 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
76.6%
P.J. Walker run for 38 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
74.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the SFla 15Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-3
75.3%
P.J. Walker sacked by Eric Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 18Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
78.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
75.5%
Austin Jones 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 4:5677% → 88%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Ryeshene Bronson for 7 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
78.1%
Marlon Mack run for 14 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.1%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Chris BarrSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
78.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 1 yd to the SFla 47Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+9
78.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 9 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
80.3%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
80.6%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
80.4%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
81.2%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+15
81.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 15 yds to the Temp 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
82.2%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-3
82.4%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
82.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Marlon MackSimilar
Q3 3:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+12
81.7%
Quinton Flowers run for 12 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
88.1%
Emilio Nadelman 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0214% → 12%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
86.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 30 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
85.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 31Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
85.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+9
87.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Samuel Benjamin for 9 yds to the SFla 22Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-5
87.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 27Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
88.1%
Austin Jones 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5492% → 92%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.2%
Marlon Mack run for 5 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
92.3%
Marlon Mack run for 4 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+11
92.1%
Marlon Mack run for 11 yds to the SFla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.8%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Ryeshene BronsonSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
93.1%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+2
92.9%
Quinton Flowers run for 2 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 13
OWN 45
+26
92.4%
Mattias Ciabatti punt 26 yds blocked by Samuel BenjaminSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:259% → 8%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
91.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
91.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Samuel BenjaminSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
91.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 60 yds, downed at the SFla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 3:3594% → 97%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
93.5%
Quinton Flowers run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 8Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+12
93.6%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 12 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+13
93.7%
Marlon Mack run for 13 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
94.2%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 4 yds to the SFla 37Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+12
94.4%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Pope for 12 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.7%
Marlon Mack run for 3 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+22
94.9%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for 22 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
95.4%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
95.5%
Quinton Flowers pass incomplete to Rodney AdamsSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+3
95.5%
Quinton Flowers run for 3 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
96.5%
Emilio Nadelman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 2:234% → 5%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
95.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 14 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Samuel BenjaminSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
95.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
95.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 12 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
95.2%
P.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
95.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+17
96.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 17 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
95.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the SFla 25Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+15
95.5%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SFla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
95.5%
P.J. Walker sacked by James Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 17Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
95.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
96.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+34
94.9%
Austin Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:4496% → 98%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.4%
Marlon Mack run for 6 yds to the SFla 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
96.6%
Marlon Mack run for 9 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
97.2%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 5 yds to the SFla 45Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-3
97.7%
Marlon Mack run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 42Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Rodney Adams for no gain to the SFla 42Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+16
98.1%
Mattias Ciabatti punt for 33 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 16 yds to the SOUFLA 42 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SFla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:153% → 3%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
97.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
97.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 26TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:0898% → 100%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.3%
Marlon Mack run for 8 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+48
99.8%
Marlon Mack run for 48 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 7 yds to the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
99.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+14
99.8%
D'Ernest Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 37 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:48
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 9:16
Marlon Mack 57 Yd Run (Emilio Nadelman Kick)
+10.6
TD · Q2 6:17
Quinton Flowers pass complete to Marlon Mack for 20 yds for a TD, (Emilio Nadelman KICK)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com