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CONN

UConn 7 at Tulane 3

TULN
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:58 · Zachary Block punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−2.8Pregame prior−6.6Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:54: Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST down — TULN win probability +5.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:02: Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Rob Kelley — TULN win probability +6.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:28: Tanner Lee pass incomplete — TULN win probability +8.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:32: Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 37 — CONN win probability +8.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:42: Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman Badie — TULN win probability +9.8 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 11 of 13CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 13
  1. Q1 13:35TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49CONN 4th & 7 at TULN 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:43TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:36CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:35TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:08CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:28TULN 4th & 10 at CONN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:31CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:24CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:40TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:48CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:22TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:31CONN 4th & 1 at TULN 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−3.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−11.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:33CONN 4th & 1 at TULN 16, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−3.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−14.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:24CONN 4th & 14 at TULN 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:26TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:14CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 49, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%−1.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:09TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:06CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−3.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:05TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.6%−5.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:18TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 4:35CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 30, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.2 ptsPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−5.2
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:02TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.3
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:46CONN 4th & 1 at TULN 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−2.5
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:15TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:28CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5939% → 39%
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
39.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
39.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 7 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.3%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
39.3%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:2961% → 59%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
39.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 10 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
39.7%
Josh Marriner run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+12
40.0%
Max DeLorenzo run for 12 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
39.8%
Josh Marriner run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
39.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+6
40.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
40.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
40.6%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:3441% → 41%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
41.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Larry Dace for 5 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
41.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+16
41.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 16 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
41.9%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
42.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
41.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Rickey PrestonSimilar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
41.4%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4959% → 57%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
41.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
42.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
42.8%
Justin Wain punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4843% → 39%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
42.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 3 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
43.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
42.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 7 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+67
39.0%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted for a TD Jamar Summers return for 67 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:2738% → 36%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.9%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
37.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Charles Jones) to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
37.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
37.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 0:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
36.4%
Zachary Block punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0263% → 63%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
36.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
36.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
36.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+14
37.0%
Justin Wain punt for 41 yds , Darion Monroe returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 5:0838% → 42%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
37.7%
Sherman Badie run for 5 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
38.4%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+13
37.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 13 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
38.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
39.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+6
39.7%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
38.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Larry Dace for 4 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
39.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 5 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-5
39.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
38.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
41.8%
Andrew DiRocco 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5160% → 60%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
40.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+10
39.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 10 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
41.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+11
40.2%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds , Darion Monroe returns for 11 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5741% → 40%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
40.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
40.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
40.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
39.5%
Zachary Block punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:0460% → 60%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
40.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+4
41.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+15
40.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
37.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
37.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
36.4%
Max DeLorenzo run for no gain to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
36.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
38.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
39.6%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1938% → 37%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
38.3%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
37.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
36.6%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:3164% → 63%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
36.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 7 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+10
36.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 10 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
35.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
36.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+2
36.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Darion Monroe return for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5461% → 58%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
39.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-4
38.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
40.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Josh Marriner for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
41.6%
Justin Wain punt for 30 yds, downed at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0943% → 42%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
43.1%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
44.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
43.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
41.7%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:1261% → 63%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
39.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 33 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
36.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 10 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
36.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+10
37.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 10 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
36.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Josh Marriner for 8 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
36.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
39.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
34.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
34.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
35.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
37.2%
Bobby Puyol 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Parry NickersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · -8 yds · 2:5441% → 36%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
41.1%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
39.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+15
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Larry Dace for 15 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
39.3%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
38.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Kendall ArdoinSimilar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 14
OWN 26
-17
36.8%
Tanner Lee sacked by Luke Carrezola for a loss of 17 yards to the Tulan 9 Tanner Lee fumbled, forced by Luke Carrezola, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 31
OWN 9
0
35.6%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds , Nick Vitale returns for no gain to the Tulan 43 Nick Vitale fumbled, recovered by UConn Nick VitaleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4769% → 64%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
31.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
31.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-7
31.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Sean Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
36.0%
Justin Wain punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4539% → 36%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
38.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-1
41.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 28Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-8
37.8%
Tanner Lee sacked by Kenton Adeyemi for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 20 Tanner Lee fumbled, forced by Kenton Adeyemi, recovered by Tulan Tanner Lee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
35.7%
Zachary Block punt for 37 yds, downed at the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0769% → 68%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-2
31.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+8
33.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
32.1%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:4538% → 35%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
38.0%
Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
38.4%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
38.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Josh RoundsSimilar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
36.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
35.0%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4970% → 68%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
29.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-13
28.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 48 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
31.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+9
32.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
31.8%
Justin Wain punt for 31 yds, downed at the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4438% → 33%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
38.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Rob KelleySimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
37.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
37.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+2
34.9%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
37.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
37.4%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
33.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
32.8%
Zachary Block punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3873% → 76%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
27.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
26.6%
Josh Marriner run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+9
27.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
24.0%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2632% → 28%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.4%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
31.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
29.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
28.3%
Zachary Block punt for 33 yds, downed at the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:4680% → 94%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
17.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Richard Levy) to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+13
18.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
14.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
9.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-2
8.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+3
7.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+38
5.6%
Justin Wain punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Darion Monroe at the Tulan 10 TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (5 Yards) to the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:4216% → 12%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
15.5%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
14.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
12.7%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 10
OWN 5
+22
11.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 22 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman BadieSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
12.3%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
11.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:42
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Sherman Badie
+9.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:28
Tanner Lee pass incomplete
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com