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TEM

Temple 60 at SMU 40

SMU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2015 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:24 · Alex Starzyk punt for 51 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior−23.3Home team on offense−1.7Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:45: Xavier Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK) — SMU win probability +16.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 3:26: Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +11.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:15: Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 30 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK) — SMU win probability +15.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:04: P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +16.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:02: Tyler Mayes kickoff for 60 yds , Braeden West return for 80 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK) — SMU win probability +19.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:49SMU 4th & 14 at TEM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    24.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24TEM 4th & 14 at TEM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:09SMU 4th & 7 at TEM 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:02TEM 4th & 9 at TEM 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:10SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:03TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 16, up 11
    Close callPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:37TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:11TEM 4th & 6 at SMU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−1.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:23TEM 4th & 14 at SMU 17, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:17SMU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:06TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 45, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:41SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 32, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.1%−4.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:02TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:35SMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:03SMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:24TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:43TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:45SMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:26TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:15SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:04TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:02SMU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:45TEM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:55TEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0624% → 25%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
24.3%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+13
24.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 13 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
24.9%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
25.0%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 12
OPP 40
-2
25.1%
Matt Davis sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
25.3%
Josh Williams punt for 37 yds, downed at the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
2 plays · 95 yds · 0:4375% → 75%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
25.4%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 6Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+94
24.9%
Jager Gardner run for 94 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4625% → 25%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.9%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
25.1%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
25.2%
Matt Davis run for 1 yd to the SMU 34Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
25.2%
Josh Williams punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3375% → 74%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
25.2%
SMU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (3 Yards) to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
25.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+20
25.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Saledeem Major for 20 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
24.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 2 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
24.9%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-6
25.0%
P.J. Walker sacked by Zach Wood and Justin Lawler for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
25.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1526% → 26%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
25.7%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
25.5%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the SMU 25Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
25.5%
Josh Williams punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:0575% → 78%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
25.2%
Jager Gardner run for 8 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
25.1%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the SMU 46Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+15
25.2%
SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
25.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 11 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
25.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 14 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
25.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the SMU 6Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
21.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:2123% → 25%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.7%
Prescott Line run for 8 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
23.1%
Matt Davis run for 11 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
23.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 23 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
23.8%
Matt Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+3
23.7%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+15
23.4%
Davis, Matt pass incomplete to Sutton, Courtland, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference 15 yards to the TEMPLE17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
23.7%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
23.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Braeden WestSimilar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+2
23.5%
Prescott Line run for 2 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
25.0%
Chad Hedlund 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5675% → 76%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.7%
P.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
24.4%
P.J. Walker sacked by Zach Wood for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
24.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
24.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darius Joseph at the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3825% → 24%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
24.5%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 30Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-6
24.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+12
23.6%
Matt Davis run for 12 yds to the SMU 36Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
23.9%
Josh Williams punt for 56 yds, downed at the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5776% → 75%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
24.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-1
24.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 11Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 11
-5
24.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 6Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+10
24.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 10 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
25.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Darius Joseph at the SMU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:1724% → 35%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
23.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 6 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+45
24.3%
Courtland Sutton pass complete to Braeden West for 45 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
25.3%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.5%
Matt Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2769% → 68%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
30.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
30.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
30.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+11
32.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds , Darius Joseph returns for 11 yds to the SMU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:2233% → 45%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+48
32.8%
Matt Davis run for 48 yds to the Temp 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
44.5%
Xavier Jones run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2759% → 72%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
40.9%
P.J. Walker run for 12 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
40.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 6 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
39.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
40.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
40.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 11
50
+25
42.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 25 yds to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
39.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
39.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the SMU 16Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
28.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
32.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1269% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+26
31.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 26 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
29.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
29.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the SMU 41Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-1
30.3%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 42Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+8
32.3%
Tyler Mayes run for 8 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
29.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 23 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
28.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the SMU 4Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
19.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5220% → 40%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
20.2%
Davis, Matt pass incomplete to Sutton, Courtland, PENALTY TEMPLE illegal use of hands 15 yards to the SMU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
21.2%
Matt Davis run for no gain to the SMU 40Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+20
20.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 20 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
22.2%
Matt Davis run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
22.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 1 yd to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+5
21.9%
Matt Davis run for 5 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
23.3%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+16
23.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 16 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
40.2%
Xavier Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1168% → 84%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
32.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 9 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
31.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 3 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
31.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
28.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+46
27.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 46 yds to the SMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0718% → 18%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
18.1%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
18.1%
Matt Davis run for 1 yd to the SMU 13 Matt Davis fumbled, recovered by Temp Matt IoannidisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20FG
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:3484% → 91%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
16.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the SMU 10Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
15.9%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the SMU 9Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-10
16.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+2
17.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 2 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
9.5%
Austin Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:4512% → 28%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
12.0%
Xavier Jones run for 12 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
12.3%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
12.9%
Matt Davis sacked by Avery Ellis for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 37Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+22
11.9%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 22 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
13.8%
Davis, Matt pass incomplete to Sutton, Courtland, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference 15 yards to the TEMPLE26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SMU.Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
14.4%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-10
14.3%
SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+30
27.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 30 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
6.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:3310% → 7%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
10.4%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 21Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+2
10.2%
Matt Davis run for 2 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+15
9.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.2%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Jeremiah GainesSimilar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
8.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 8 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
9.0%
Prescott Line run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
50
0
9.1%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
50
0
9.0%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 10
50
0
7.4%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 10
50
0
7.1%
Josh Williams punt for 49 yds, downed at the Temp 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24SF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5795% → 92%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
4.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
4.8%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Temp 6Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
5.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Saledeem MajorSimilar
Q4 8:16
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
8.1%
Penalty team holding 6 yds to the Temp 0, NO PLAY, Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4776% → 81%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
24.1%
P.J. Walker run for 11 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
19.9%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
20.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
22.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 9 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
19.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, downed at the SMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1625% → 21%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
24.9%
Matt Davis run for 7 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+7
25.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Darius Joseph for 7 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
25.8%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+3
23.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to K.C. Nlemchi for 3 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+5
21.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Prescott Line for 5 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
21.0%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 28TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:3790% → 99%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
9.6%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the SMU 32Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-4
6.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 14
OPP 36
+36
1.4%
P.J. Walker run for 36 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass to John Christopher for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 29INT TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:382% → 0%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
1.7%
Matt Davis run for 6 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+5
1.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 5 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.7%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Xavier CastilleSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
1.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 5 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+41
0.3%
Matt Davis pass intercepted for a TD Sean Chandler return for 41 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Matt Davis run for 5 yds to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Kevin Thomas for no gain to the SMU 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
0.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Prescott Line for 9 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:02
Tyler Mayes kickoff for 60 yds , Braeden West return for 80 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)
+19.1
TD · Q3 6:45
Xavier Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q4 12:04
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com