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ECU

East Carolina 13 at UConn 31

CONN
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2015 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:36 · Worth Gregory punt for 69 yds, downed at the UConn 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense−1.1Pregame prior−12.4Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:44: Arkeel Newsome 2 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +7.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:38: Alec Bloom 23 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +12.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:51: Arkeel Newsome 90 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +10.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:25: Blake Kemp 2 Yd Run (Davis Plowman Kick) — ECU win probability +8.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:29: Bryant Shirreffs 3 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 10:18ECU 4th & 4 at CONN 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04ECU 4th & 6 at CONN 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:22CONN 4th & 4 at ECU 28, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:36ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 25, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:19ECU 4th & 2 at CONN 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.3%−1.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:06CONN 4th & 20 at CONN 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−3.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:40ECU 4th & 1 at CONN 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−4.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:47ECU 4th & 7 at CONN 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:08CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 18, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31ECU 4th & 8 at CONN 33, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:06ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:05CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:15ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:44CONN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:38CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:51CONN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:25ECU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:29CONN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2967% → 65%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
33.5%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the ECaro 14Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
33.7%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the ECaro 21Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+5
34.0%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 5 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
34.2%
James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+16
34.2%
Chris Hairston run for 16 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
34.3%
James Summers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 8 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-10
34.4%
Hairston, Chris rush for 12 yards to the UCONN32, PENALTY EASTCRLINA holding (Harris, Ike) 10 yards to the EASTCRLINA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+2
34.6%
James Summers pass complete to Quay Johnson for 2 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+6
34.9%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
35.1%
Worth Gregory punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5235% → 35%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
35.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 7Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
35.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
35.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 10
OWN 7
-2
35.3%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds , Quay Johnson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43 Quay Johnson fumbled, forced by Brice McAllister, recovered by ECaroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0965% → 64%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
35.3%
Chris Hairston run for 9 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+4
35.1%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
35.4%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
35.5%
James Summers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+7
36.2%
Chris Hairston run for 7 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
36.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 27 yds, downed at the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:4237% → 36%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
36.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+10
37.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
37.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+32
35.5%
DaShawn Benton 32 Yd Interception Return (Davis Plowman PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:4236% → 39%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
35.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 8 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
36.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
36.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
50
0
37.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 10
50
+1
36.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
36.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 15 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
38.0%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
38.2%
Ron Johnson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+2
37.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
38.8%
Bobby Puyol 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3062% → 61%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
37.9%
James Summers run for 6 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+1
37.1%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
37.8%
James Summers run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
38.7%
Worth Gregory punt for 69 yds, downed at the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 5:4438% → 50%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
38.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 1
OWN 15
0
38.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+2
37.9%
Max DeLorenzo run for 2 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
38.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 4 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+16
39.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 16 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
39.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+6
41.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
41.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 29 yds to the UCONN 22 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Travon Simmons) to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
42.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+5
43.0%
Josh Marriner run for 5 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
42.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Josh Marriner) to the ECaro 10Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+8
41.4%
Shirreffs, Bryant pass incomplete to Thomas, Noel, PENALTY EASTCRLINA pass interference (Hawkins, Josh) 8 yards to the EASTCRLINA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCONN.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Rocco ScarfoneSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.4%
Arkeel Newsome 2 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:0853% → 52%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
47.3%
James Summers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
46.5%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
46.2%
James Summers run for 3 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
46.6%
James Summers pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+18
47.2%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 18 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
46.0%
James Summers run for 4 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-3
46.3%
James Summers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 40 James Summers fumbled, forced by Julian Campenni, recovered by ECaro James SummersSimilar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+7
47.0%
James Summers pass complete to Davon Grayson for 7 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-5
48.5%
James Summers sacked by Luke Carrezola for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0551% → 50%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
50.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
51.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-8
52.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Terrell Stanley for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
49.7%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10INT
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:3049% → 50%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.4%
Chris Hairston run for 13 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
50.4%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 41Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
49.5%
James Summers pass complete to Trevon Brown for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+7
48.7%
James Summers pass complete to Bryce Williams for 7 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
47.7%
James Summers pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
47.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
47.7%
James Summers run for 7 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
50.3%
James Summers pass intercepted Jamar Summers return for no gain to the UConn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
52.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:4852% → 50%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.5%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
51.8%
Ron Johnson run for 1 yd to the UConn 29Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-14
51.3%
Shirreffs, Bryant pass complete to Mayala, Hergy for 14 yards to the UCONN43, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (Bloom, Alec) 14 yards to the UCONN15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
50.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
49.9%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1151% → 46%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
49.1%
Chris Hairston run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 44Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
50.3%
James Summers pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+10
51.6%
Chris Hairston run for 10 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
50.3%
James Summers run for 2 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
48.5%
James Summers pass incomplete to Bryce WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
48.8%
Marquez Grayson run for 3 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
51.2%
James Summers pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
54.0%
Worth Gregory punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3156% → 55%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
56.2%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Joe Allely and Demetri McGill for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 7Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
56.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+11
55.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 11 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+1
55.4%
Justin Wain punt for 34 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 1 yd to the ECaro 49 Trevon Brown fumbled, recovered by ECaro Cam WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2948% → 44%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
52.3%
Marquez Grayson run for 8 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+8
51.6%
James Summers run for 8 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
50.8%
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
51.0%
James Summers pass incomplete to Brandon BishopSimilar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
52.8%
James Summers pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Ellis MarderSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 8
OPP 33
-1
55.9%
James Summers sacked by Graham Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:4759% → 79%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
59.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+17
61.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
63.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
64.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
64.9%
Josh Marriner run for 5 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
66.3%
Josh Marriner run for 1 yd to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
78.7%
Alec Bloom 23 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2822% → 19%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
James Summers pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.5%
Marquez Grayson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
79.8%
James Summers sacked by Cameron Stapleton for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 19Similar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 16
OWN 19
-15
81.5%
Worth Gregory punt for 56 yds , Nick Vitale returns for a loss of 15 yards to the UConn 10 Nick Vitale fumbled, recovered by UConn Josh MarrinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
92.5%
Arkeel Newsome 90 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:169% → 9%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+18
90.7%
Blake Kemp pass intercepted Marquise Vann return for 18 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:1594% → 96%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
94.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+15
94.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 15 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
95.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
95.1%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-5
95.5%
Shirreffs, Bryant pass complete to Bloom, Alec for 25 yards to the EASTCRLINA0, PENALTY UCONN ineligible downfield on pass (Vechery, Brendan) 5 yards to the EASTCRLINA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 12
OPP 30
-5
95.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 17
OPP 35
0
95.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:216% → 5%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
93.7%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (J.T. Boyd) to the ECaro 13Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 17
OWN 13
+12
94.0%
Marquez Grayson run for 12 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
93.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
93.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to DaQuan Barnes for 4 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
94.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+6
94.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 6 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
94.9%
Blake Kemp pass intercepted Obi Melifonwu return for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3396% → 97%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
96.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
96.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 6 yds Tommy Myers fumbled, forced by DaShawn Benton, recovered by ECaro DaShaun AmosSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:135% → 14%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
95.1%
Marquez Grayson run for 44 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.4%
Shawn Furlow run for 3 yds to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.5%
Marquez Grayson run for no gain to the UConn 2Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.5%
Blake Kemp 2 Yd Run (Davis Plowman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:4191% → 99%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
90.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
91.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+41
91.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 41 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
92.9%
Ron Johnson run for 3 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+7
93.4%
Ron Johnson run for 7 yds to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
93.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
94.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the ECaro 3Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Bryant Shirreffs 3 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25INT
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:522% → 2%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Trevon Brown for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
97.6%
Marquez Grayson run for 15 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+19
97.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 19 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.5%
Marquez Grayson run for 2 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
97.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+7
98.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
98.1%
Blake Kemp pass intercepted, touchback. Jamar Summers return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.5%
Max DeLorenzo run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
99.6%
Josh Marriner run for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
99.6%
Josh Marriner run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
99.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Dominick Manco) to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+12
99.6%
Justin Wain punt for 46 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 12 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 27 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
98.4%
Shawn Furlow run for 27 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:38
Alec Bloom 23 Yd pass from Bryant Shirreffs (Bobby Puyol Kick)
+12.4
TD · Q3 1:51
Arkeel Newsome 90 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)
+10.9
TD · Q4 9:25
Blake Kemp 2 Yd Run (Davis Plowman Kick)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com