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TULN

Tulane 14 at Navy 31

NAVY
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:13 · Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+30.0Home team on offense+1.3Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:43: Dontrell Hilliard run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +5.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Trevor Simms kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — TULN win probability +3.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 5:23: Quentin Ezell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +8.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:38: Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:26: Jordy Joseph pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +1.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:32NAVY 4th & 1 at TULN 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:32NAVY 4th & 1 at TULN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48TULN 4th & 9 at NAVY 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NAVY 4th & 13 at NAVY 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13NAVY 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:14NAVY 4th & 8 at TULN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:14TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:21NAVY 4th & 9 at NAVY 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TULN 4th & 13 at NAVY 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00NAVY 4th & 18 at NAVY 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:47TULN 4th & 1 at NAVY 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:53NAVY 4th & 6 at TULN 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:48NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:23NAVY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:38NAVY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:46NAVY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:26TULN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
91.5%
LEE, Tanner pass complete to VEAL, Teddy for 2 yards to the TULANE12 (BARBOUR, L), PENALTY TULANE holding (HICKS, Andrew) 5 yards to the TULANE5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+1
91.5%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+4
91.5%
Rob Kelley run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+8
91.5%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 18
+8
91.5%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 42 , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:4491% → 91%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
91.0%
Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+5
91.0%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
90.9%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
90.9%
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
91.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
91.0%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+6
91.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
91.0%
Demond Brown run for 8 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-15
91.0%
SANDERS, D rush for loss of 1 yard to the TULANE10 (FRANKLIN, J.), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (TAMBURELLO, Ben) 15 yards to the TULANE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+6
90.9%
Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+10
90.9%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 10 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+4
90.9%
Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
91.0%
DeBrandon Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.1%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Kendall Ardoin, broken up by Amos MasonSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+19
90.2%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 19 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
90.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
89.8%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon Breaux, broken up by Josiah PowellSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+21
89.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Quincy Adams) to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
89.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-5
89.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Teddy Veal) to the Navy 34Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
89.5%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+3
89.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 3 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 4
OPP 32
-5
90.0%
TULANE Penalty, delay of game (Tanner Lee) to the Navy 37Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
90.1%
Peter Picerelli punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Calvin Cass Jr. at the Navy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1389% → 89%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
89.2%
Shawn White run for 9 yds to the Navy 15Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
89.3%
Shawn White run for 2 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.3%
Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-12
89.2%
Keenan Reynolds sacked by Nico Marley for a loss of 12 yards to the Navy 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 5
+9
88.8%
Dishan Romine run for 9 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
88.6%
Alex Barta punt for 36 yds , Darion Monroe returns for no gain to the Tulan 14 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:2712% → 17%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
88.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Dontrell Hilliard) to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+4
88.8%
Rob Kelley run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+26
88.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 26 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.7%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
87.7%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Rickey Preston for 1 yd to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+15
88.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
82.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:2985% → 84%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
85.1%
Keenan Reynolds sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 16 NAVY Penalty, intentional grounding (Keenan Reynolds) to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
84.9%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 18Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+23
84.5%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Thomas Wilson for 23 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
85.7%
Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
85.8%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Craig Scott for 5 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
85.7%
Dishan Romine run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 1
50
+6
84.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+41
85.2%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 41 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
85.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
85.4%
Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
85.0%
Shawn White run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 8Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
84.4%
Austin Grebe 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.5%
Tanner Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
83.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+1
84.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+1
84.6%
Zachary Block punt for 32 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for 1 yd to the Navy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2084% → 82%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
84.0%
Demond Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 36Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 13
OWN 36
-6
83.3%
Keenan Reynolds sacked by Calvin Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 30Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 19
OWN 30
+10
82.4%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 10 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
82.0%
Alex Barta punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 2:1517% → 15%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
82.8%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+23
83.0%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 23 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
81.3%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Trey Scott for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 4
50
+10
80.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
80.9%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Larry Dace for 5 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
80.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Rickey Preston for 7 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
80.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 7 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 21
-10
81.3%
LEE, Tanner pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY TULANE holding (UZDAVINIS, A.) 10 yards to the NAVY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
82.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
83.6%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Rickey Preston, broken up by Brendon ClementsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
84.9%
Trevor Simms 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
82.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Corey Redwine) to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
83.1%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-3
83.2%
Chris Swain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-7
81.5%
Keenan Reynolds sacked by Corey Redwine for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
80.6%
Alex Barta punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
80.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 11 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
80.3%
Josh Rounds run for 9 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
78.6%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 2 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
78.9%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Devon Breaux, broken up by Brendon ClementsSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
79.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Rickey Preston for 11 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
78.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+1
78.2%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the Navy 37Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
78.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Sherman Badie for 3 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
79.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Navy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:0280% → 90%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
80.3%
Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-1
81.4%
Chris Swain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 37Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+9
79.8%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Thomas Wilson for 9 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
81.8%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
82.0%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+36
82.0%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to DeBrandon Sanders for 36 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
90.0%
Quentin Ezell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13FUMBLE
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:2312% → 13%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+12
87.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 12 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
87.4%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+1
86.9%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
87.1%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 8 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
86.5%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
86.2%
Tanner Lee pass incomplete to Trey ScottSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+19
86.8%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Devon Breaux for 19 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
85.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Navy 17Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+6
85.4%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 6 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
86.1%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Navy 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
86.1%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Navy 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
87.1%
Tanner Lee run for no gain to the Navy 1 Tanner Lee fumbled, forced by Daniel Gonzales, recovered by Navy Will AnthonySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
89.3%
Chris Swain run for 11 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
89.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Navy 17Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
89.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 20Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+6
88.9%
Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
89.6%
Quentin Ezell run for no gain to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.4%
Keenan Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
90.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 1
50
+3
90.0%
Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
90.5%
Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
90.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
90.1%
Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
89.2%
Alex Barta punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
91.5%
Tanner Lee pass complete to Charles Jones for 4 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
91.5%
Tanner Lee pass intercepted Lorentez Barbour return for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16TD
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:5592% → 98%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
92.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
92.2%
Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
92.2%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 12 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
92.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
92.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+3
91.8%
Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.3%
Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Thomas WilsonSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.2%
Chris Swain run for 2 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-7
98.0%
Tanner Lee sacked by Kevin McCoy for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 23 Tanner Lee fumbled, recovered by Navy D.J. Palmore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3798% → 100%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
98.3%
Shawn White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+24
99.5%
Tago Smith pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) TULANE Penalty, RU ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 2:201% → 2%
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
99.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Josh Rounds for 12 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.5%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Jarvis PoluSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-10
99.5%
JOSEPH, Jordy pass complete to ROUNDS, Josh for 1 yard to the TULANE32 (REAVER, Sean;MERCHANT, E), PENALTY TULANE holding (UZDAVINIS, A.) 10 yards to the TULANE21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+27
99.5%
Josh Rounds run for 27 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 14 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.4%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+18
99.5%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Larry Dace for 18 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-3
99.3%
Jordy Joseph sacked by Tyler Sayles for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 22Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+9
99.5%
Sherman Badie run for 9 yds to the Navy 13Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
97.9%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:23
Quentin Ezell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)
+8
TD · Q4 3:38
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 10:43
Dontrell Hilliard run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com