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CONN

UConn 13 at Cincinnati 37

CIN
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Sam Geraci punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:23: Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +2.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:27: Gunner Kiel pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +1.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 13:07: Bobby Puyol 27 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +1.8 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:36: Gunner Kiel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +3.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:53: Andrew Gantz 38 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +3.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00CIN 4th & 8 at CIN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:53CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:17CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:07CONN 4th & 10 at CIN 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:30CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:16CIN 4th & 7 at CONN 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:21CIN 4th & 4 at CONN 5, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:20CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:53CIN 4th & 12 at CONN 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−5.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:26CIN 4th & 1 at CONN 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−1.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:56CIN 4th & 9 at CONN 10, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:48CONN 4th & 13 at CIN 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:08CIN 4th & 2 at CONN 9, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−3.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:08CONN 4th & 8 at CIN 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−2.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:53CIN 4th & 1 at CONN 1, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:23CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:53CIN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:27CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:36CIN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:53CIN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Gunner Kiel run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
86.1%
Hosey Williams run for 1 yd to the Cincy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Gunner Kiel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:2514% → 17%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
85.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
85.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
85.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 19 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
85.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 13 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
85.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Cincy 8Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+5
85.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
85.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 4Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:2483% → 84%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
83.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 2 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
83.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 5 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+14
83.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 14 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
83.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Tion Green for 4 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
83.5%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
83.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 3 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+17
83.6%
Tion Green run for 17 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
84.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 29 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tommy Myers, broken up by Alex PaceSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
83.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
83.7%
Justin Wain punt for 46 yds, downed at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1183% → 86%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
83.1%
Mike Boone run for 30 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
83.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 15 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
83.9%
Chris Moore run for 4 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+26
85.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Ron Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+16
84.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 16 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
84.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
84.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+15
84.6%
SHIRREFFS, Byr. pass incomplete to BEALS, Tyraiq, PENALTY CIN roughing passer (WILSON, Mark) 15 yards to the CIN39, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
84.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 12 yds to the Cincy 27 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, forced by Zach Edwards, recovered by Cincy Eric WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for no gain to the Cincy 27Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
84.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 17 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
85.1%
Hosey Williams run for 1 yd to the Cincy 45Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
85.1%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
84.9%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex ChisumSimilar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 5
OWN 49
-39
84.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 39 yards to the Cincy 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy Sam GeraciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:1317% → 18%
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
82.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the Cincy 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
82.7%
SHIRREFFS, Byr. rush for 4 yards to the CIN2 (EDWARDS, Zach), PENALTY UCONN holding (HOPKINS, Tommy) 10 yards to the CIN16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+5
83.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 5 yds to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
83.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 1 yd to the Cincy 10Similar
Q2 13:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
82.2%
Bobby Puyol 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:3182% → 87%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+20
82.3%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 20 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
83.2%
Hosey Williams run for 12 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
83.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 19 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
83.5%
Tion Green run for 9 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
83.5%
Tion Green run for 1 yd to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
83.5%
Tion Green run for 4 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.5%
Tion Green run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.4%
Gunner Kiel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 11 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
86.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-5
85.5%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Bryce Jenkinson for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 35 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by UConn Bryant Shirreffs , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
86.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
86.5%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:5587% → 89%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+33
87.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 33 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.6%
Tion Green run for no gain to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
87.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mike Boone for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
87.3%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Johnny Holton, broken up by Jhavon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+25
86.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 25 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
87.7%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
87.7%
Mike Boone run for 8 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-2
87.4%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
89.0%
Andrew Gantz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0111% → 11%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
88.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
88.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
88.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 6 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
89.0%
Justin Wain punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
89.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 10 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
90.2%
Mike Boone run for 34 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
90.3%
GREEN, Tion rush for 5 yards to the UCONN15 (WALSH, Matt), PENALTY CIN holding (MURRAY, Delonte) 10 yards to the UCONN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+2
90.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 18
OPP 28
-15
90.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the UConn 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy Gunner KielSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 33
OPP 43
0
89.7%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 33
OPP 43
0
89.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2711% → 9%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
89.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+5
89.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
90.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 4 yds to the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
88.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec Bloom, broken up by Zach EdwardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
88.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
88.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
89.3%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, downed at the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0090% → 91%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 22Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+29
90.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to DJ Dowdy for 29 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
90.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-4
90.5%
Gunner Kiel sacked by Folorunso Fatuksai for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 45 Gunner Kiel fumbled, recovered by UConn Luke Carrezola , return for 0 yards CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Tyrell Gilbert return for no gain to the Cincy 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:0890% → 94%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
90.2%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+9
90.3%
Tion Green run for 9 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
90.4%
Tion Green run for 11 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
90.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Nate Cole for 21 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
90.9%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 15
50
+4
90.8%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+17
90.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Nate Cole for 17 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
90.9%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+6
90.9%
Gunner Kiel run for 6 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
90.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 2 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-10
90.9%
GREEN, Tion rush for 2 yards to the UCONN15 (ADAMS, Andrew;FATUKASI, Foley), PENALTY CIN holding (EHINGER, Parker) 10 yards to the UCONN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 18
OPP 27
+6
90.8%
Tion Green run for 6 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
90.6%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
94.2%
Andrew Gantz 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (Kevin Brown) to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec Bloom, broken up by Mike TysonSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
93.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
93.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Alex Thomas CONNECTICUT Penalty, IS ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+46
93.8%
Justin Wain punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the CINCINNATI 39 CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Cincy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20MISSED FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 6:3095% → 96%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
94.6%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
94.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 5 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
94.6%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
94.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mike Boone for 4 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+20
94.9%
Mike Boone run for 20 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
95.0%
Tion Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
94.9%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+10
94.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mike Boone for 10 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+3
94.5%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
95.0%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
95.0%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+10
94.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 10 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
95.0%
Tion Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
95.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Alex ChisumSimilar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+3
94.9%
Tion Green run for 3 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
95.6%
Andrew Gantz 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 6:085% → 7%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+10
95.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 10 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
50
+12
95.0%
SHIRREFFS, Byr. pass incomplete to McLEAN, Aaron, PENALTY CIN pass interference (STEPHENS, L.) 12 yards to the CIN38, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
95.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the Cincy 38 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding (Tommy Hopkins) to the Cincy 48Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+3
95.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+22
95.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Tyrell Gilbert) to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
94.4%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Silverberry Mouhon for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 24Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+16
94.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 16 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
94.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 13Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
93.4%
Bobby Puyol 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3896% → 99%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+22
96.4%
Hosey Williams run for 22 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
96.4%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+1
96.4%
Hosey Williams run for 1 yd to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+3
96.3%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
99.0%
Andrew Gantz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 67 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
97.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 5 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, roughing passer (Kimoni Fitz) to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.0%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.0%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Noel Thomas for 11 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.8%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+16
96.6%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 16 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
96.2%
Tim Boyle run for 1 yd to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
96.2%
BOYLE, Tim pass incomplete to DeLORENZO, Max, PENALTY CIN pass interference (EVANS, Jarred) 3 yards to the CIN20, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
96.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 10 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.2%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
96.2%
Tim Boyle pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 7 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.5%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
96.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Brendan Vechery) to the Cincy 8Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.9%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 5:1599% → 100%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.0%
Gunner Kiel run for no gain to the Cincy 8Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+84
99.4%
Hosey Williams run for 84 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.4%
Hosey Williams run for 1 yd to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
99.5%
Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Hosey Williams run for no gain to the UConn 1Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Hosey Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Tim Boyle pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Tim Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
99.9%
Chad Banschbach run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:36
Gunner Kiel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
+3.9
FG · Q3 6:53
Andrew Gantz 38 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
TD · Q1 9:23
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com