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UCF

UCF 16 at Temple 30

TEM
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:46 · Caleb Houston punt for 37 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 13 yds to the UCF 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+10.1Garbage-time factor+2.0Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:47: P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +2.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:34: P.J. Walker pass intercepted for a TD Shaquill Griffin return for 81 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +4.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:39: Matthew Wright 41 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +7.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:03: Jahad Thomas run for 22 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +18.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:54: Jahad Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (John Christopher pass for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +6.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UCF made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:40UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:13TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:11TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30UCF 4th & 8 at TEM 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:41UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:30UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:08UCF 4th & 10 at TEM 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:39UCF 4th & 5 at TEM 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−5.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:45TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 45, down 2
    Close callPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:25UCF 4th & 12 at UCF 14, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−5.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UCF 4th & 10 at TEM 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−1.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:57UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:24TEM 4th & 14 at UCF 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:46UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 24, down 6
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UCF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:45TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:47TEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:34UCF Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:03TEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:54TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:1588% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
87.9%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
87.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+22
87.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 22 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
87.9%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+19
87.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 19 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
87.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 9 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
87.9%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the UCF 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
87.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
87.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
87.4%
C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
87.3%
C.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+5
87.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Taylor Oldham for 5 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to C.J. JonesSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+8
87.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 8 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+11
87.3%
Caleb Houston punt for 52 yds , John Christopher returns for 11 yds to the Temp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
87.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 18 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
87.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 5 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
87.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 1 yd to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
87.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
86.9%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 16Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+7
86.9%
Justin Holman run for 7 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
87.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Sean Chandler UCF Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
87.2%
Caleb Houston punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
86.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
86.8%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
86.6%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2214% → 15%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
86.3%
C.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
86.0%
C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
86.0%
C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
85.9%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+16
86.2%
Justin Holman run for 1 yd to the Temp 48 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nate D. Smith) to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
85.6%
C.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
85.6%
C.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
86.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Taylor OldhamSimilar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
84.6%
Matthew Wright 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 4:3784% → 88%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
84.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+10
84.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.4%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+28
84.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 28 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
85.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Shaquill GriffinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+33
85.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 33 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
85.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 7 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
85.4%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (T.J. Mutcherson) to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
85.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the UCF 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by D.J. KillingsSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.5%
Justin Holman run for no gain to the UCF 23 Justin Holman fumbled, recovered by UCF Justin HolmanSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
87.5%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+14
87.7%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to FRANKS, Jordan, PENALTY TEM face mask (REDDICK,Haason) 14 yards to the UCF37, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
87.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (C.J. Jones) to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-3
87.5%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+7
87.6%
Justin Holman pass complete to Nick Patti for 7 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
87.6%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
87.8%
TEAM punt blocked by Adonis Jennings blocked by Adonis JenningsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9INT TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:5289% → 85%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
88.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+81
84.5%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted for a TD Shaquill Griffin return for 81 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
83.0%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-6
83.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 40 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Kip Patton) to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+1
82.7%
Kip Patton run for 1 yd to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
82.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete, broken up by Tony GueradSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+11
82.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds , Blake Tiralosi returns for 11 yds to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
81.1%
C.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
81.2%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-5
81.0%
UCF Penalty, false start (Luke Palmer) to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-5
81.8%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 41Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+8
82.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to C.J. Jones for 8 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 6
OWN 49
-5
82.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (Pat Jasinski) to the UCF 44Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
82.9%
Caleb Houston punt for 32 yds , Robby Anderson returns for no gain to the Temp 20 Robby Anderson fumbled, recovered by UCF T.J. MutchersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3321% → 22%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
78.8%
Justin Holman pass complete to Joseph Puopolo for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+15
79.3%
C.J. Jones run for 15 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
78.8%
C.J. Jones run for 2 yds to the Temp 7Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
78.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Nick PattiSimilar
Q2 1:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
77.7%
Matthew Wright 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
80.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 13 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon Shippen, broken up by T.J. MutchersonSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-7
80.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:2124% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
76.0%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Joseph Puopolo, broken up by Haason ReddickSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
76.4%
Justin Holman run for 8 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
76.0%
Justin Holman run for 2 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to D'erren WilsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
75.7%
Justin Holman pass complete to Aaron Cochran for 7 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+7
75.7%
Justin Holman run for 7 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
74.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete, broken up by Hershey WaltonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
75.0%
C.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
75.6%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Cam Stewart, broken up by Tavon YoungSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
68.4%
Matthew Wright 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
70.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
70.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Michael FeltonSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+7
69.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
72.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-6
69.9%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 29 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by UCF Chequan BurkettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 34%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
62.3%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+10
62.7%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to STEWART, Cam, PENALTY TEM holding (YOUNG,Tavon) 10 yards to the TEM20, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
62.3%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 23Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-2
63.1%
Justin Holman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Justin Holman pass intercepted Sean Chandler return for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
66.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 6 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
66.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
68.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+7
67.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
69.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
67.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCF 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
60.4%
C.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the UCF 17Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-3
60.8%
C.J. Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
62.4%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Cam StewartSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
63.7%
Caleb Houston punt for 45 yds , Sean Chandler returns for no gain to the Temp 41 Sean Chandler fumbled, forced by T.J. Mutcherson, recovered by UCF T.J. MutchersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:0345% → 44%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
55.5%
JONES, C.J. rush for 7 yards to the TEM34 (MATAKEVICH,T.;CHANDLER,Sean), PENALTY UCF holding (BLOOM, Cal) 10 yards to the UCF49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 20
OWN 49
0
57.2%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Taylor OldhamSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 20
OWN 49
-10
57.7%
HOLMAN, Justin pass complete to STEWART, Cam for 24 yards to the TEM27, out-of-bounds (RANDALL,Delvon), PENALTY UCF holding (MILLER, Wyatt) 10 yards to the UCF39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 30
OWN 39
+10
58.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to C.J. Jones for 10 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 20
OWN 49
+10
58.9%
Justin Holman pass complete to C.J. Jones for 10 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+65
55.9%
Caleb Houston punt for 27 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 65 yds to the UCF 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:3767% → 86%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
67.2%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 22Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+22
85.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 22 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.3%
Justin Holman run for 5 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
76.5%
Justin Holman pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 9 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
76.5%
C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
75.0%
Justin Holman pass complete to Cam Stewart for 7 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.8%
Justin Holman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
75.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to D'erren WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
76.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to D'erren WilsonSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
78.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 37 yds, downed at the Temp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
85.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 5 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
85.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
85.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
85.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+21
87.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 21 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
87.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Colin Thompson) to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+1
87.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
86.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby Anderson, broken up by Shaquill GriffinSimilar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
85.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
84.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.6%
C.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
78.7%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Cam StewartSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
80.8%
Justin Holman pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+13
81.8%
Caleb Houston punt for 37 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 13 yds to the UCF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:1290% → 97%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
90.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 14 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, personal foul (Drico Johnson) to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
90.3%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
97.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (John Christopher pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.4%
HOLMAN, Justin pass incomplete to STEWART, Cam (SMITH,Nate L.), PENALTY TEM offside (CHANDLER,Sean) 5 yards to the UCF45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 5
OWN 45
-5
94.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (Jason Rae) to the UCF 40Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.4%
Justin Holman pass intercepted Tyler Matakevich return for no gain to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:2897% → 99%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
97.2%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+16
97.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 16 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
97.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the UCF 24Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+16
98.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 16 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
98.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCF 7Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
98.6%
ARMSTEAD,R. rush for 7 yards to the UCF0, clock 01:04, PENALTY TEM holding (AHMED,Shahbaz) 10 yards to the UCF17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 19Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
-2
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:03
Jahad Thomas run for 22 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+18.5
FG · Q3 11:39
Matthew Wright 41 yd FG GOOD
-7.2
TD · Q4 4:54
Jahad Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (John Christopher pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com