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HOU

Houston 42 at Tulane 7

TULN
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2015 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:50 · Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy Veal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:31: Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +6.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:20: Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +4.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:46: Demarcus Ayers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +6.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:22: Devin Powell pass complete to Devon Breaux for 28 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down — TULN win probability +3.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:09: Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK) — HOU win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 13HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 21, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:23HOU 4th & 13 at TULN 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:59TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:43HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:11TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:52TULN 4th & 10 at HOU 46, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    17.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:25HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:13TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:13HOU 4th & 21 at HOU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:11TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:28TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00HOU 4th & 4 at TULN 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:59TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:21TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:44HOU 4th & 15 at HOU 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:10TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:26HOU 4th & 3 at TULN 38, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:50TULN 4th & 17 at HOU 21, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:36HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:31TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:20HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:46HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:09HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
14.5%
Rob Kelley run for 5 yds to the Tulan 23 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+2
14.5%
Rob Kelley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+3
14.5%
Devin Powell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+9
14.5%
Devin Powell pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+6
14.5%
Zachary Block punt for 38 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 6 yds to the Tulan 33 TULANE Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
15.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 49 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
15.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+4
15.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+2
15.2%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+37
15.1%
Zachary Block punt for 49 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 37 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
15.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-14
15.5%
Team run for a loss of 14 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+9
15.7%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
15.8%
Logan Piper punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
16.4%
Devin Powell pass complete to Trey Scott for 6 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
16.5%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
16.3%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Dontrell HilliardSimilar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for no gain to the Houst 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
16.5%
Kenneth Farrow run for 4 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
16.4%
Demarcus Ayers run for no gain to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
16.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 7 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
16.3%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-10
16.3%
[GUN], WARD Jr., Greg rush over right end for 2 yards to the HOU47 (MONROE, Darion;WILSON, Sean), PENALTY HOU holding (FREEMAN, Colton) 10 yards to the HOU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
16.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Kenneth Farrow for no gain to the Houst 35Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+13
16.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Chance Allen for 13 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
16.5%
Logan Piper punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4918% → 17%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
17.8%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by William Jackson IIISimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
17.8%
Devin Powell pass complete to Devin Glenn for 5 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
17.7%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+25
17.0%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 43 , Demarcus Ayers returns for 25 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:0583% → 86%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
16.7%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
16.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-10
16.7%
[GUN], WARD Jr., Greg sideline pass incomplete to FARROW, Kenneth, PENALTY HOU holding (WALL, Carter) 10 yards to the TLN47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+15
17.3%
[GUN], WARD Jr., Greg sideline pass incomplete to ALLEN, Chance, PENALTY TLN roughing passer (MARLEY, Nico) 15 yards to the TLN32, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
16.6%
Kenneth Farrow run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
16.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 29
-5
16.8%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+15
16.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 15 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
16.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 5 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
16.5%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
14.2%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:2115% → 21%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
15.0%
HILLIARD, D. rush over right guard for 2 yards to the TLN27 (DAVIS, Garrett), PENALTY TLN holding (UZDAVINIS, A.) 10 yards to the TLN15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-4
14.9%
Devin Powell pass complete to Sherman Badie for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
14.9%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 24
OWN 0
+20
14.4%
Devin Powell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
15.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-1
15.2%
Rob Kelley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+10
15.1%
Devin Powell pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
15.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
15.7%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
15.7%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Houst 46Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
15.5%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+43
15.2%
Rob Kelley run for 43 yds to the Houst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:0581% → 87%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
18.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Chance Allen) to the Houst 26Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
19.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance AllenSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+4
19.3%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 4 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+10
19.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 10 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+14
18.5%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 14 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
17.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Chance Allen, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+41
17.8%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 41 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
13.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.1%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
14.0%
Rob Kelley run for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
14.0%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
13.9%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Demarcus Ayers at the Houst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
13.8%
Ryan Jackson run for 5 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-10
13.4%
[GUN], JACKSON, Ryan rush over left end for 6 yards to the HOU44 (REDWINE, Corey), PENALTY HOU holding (COOPER, Alex) 10 yards to the HOU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 15
OWN 28
-8
14.1%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Houst 30 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Houst 20Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 23
OWN 20
+2
14.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 21
OWN 22
0
14.3%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Demarcus AyersSimilar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
14.6%
Logan Piper punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
14.0%
Devin Powell pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
14.3%
Devin Powell pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
14.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
14.3%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+13
14.0%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 13 yds to the TULANE 47 HOUSTON Penalty, illegal block (William Jackson III) to the Houst 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:4086% → 94%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
13.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 18 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
13.7%
Ryan Jackson run for 19 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
13.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 13 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
13.0%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 20 yds Greg Ward Jr. fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
12.9%
[GUN], FARROW, Kenneth rush for no gain to the TLN20, fumble by FARROW, Kenneth recovered by TLN THOMAS, Eric at TLN20, PENALTY TLN offside defense 5 yards to the TLN15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+15
6.3%
Demarcus Ayers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:129% → 9%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.1%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
9.0%
Devin Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-3
8.9%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+11
8.8%
Zachary Block punt for 42 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 11 yds to the Houst 32 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevon Stewart) to the Houst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:4493% → 94%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
7.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Hayden Daniels for 14 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
6.9%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 9 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+7
6.6%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Royce LaFrance for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
6.7%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 8 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-3
6.6%
Greg Ward Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
6.5%
Greg Ward Jr. pass intercepted Nico Marley return for 7 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1710% → 11%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
10.3%
Devin Powell pass complete to Devon Breaux for 28 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-18
10.8%
Devin Powell sacked by Trevon Stewart for a loss of 18 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
7.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Ayers for 3 yds to the Houst 28 HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Jackson) to the Houst 14Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 14
-1
7.1%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+5
7.1%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (Corey Redwine) to the Houst 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+15
7.1%
TULANE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tanzel Smart) to the Houst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
7.0%
Ryan Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+2
7.1%
Ryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+17
7.4%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 17 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
6.7%
Kenneth Farrow run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-13
6.7%
Team run for a loss of 13 yards to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+15
7.1%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 15 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
7.3%
Logan Piper punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
7.2%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
7.2%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Kendall ArdoinSimilar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
7.1%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Trey Scott, broken up by Trevon StewartSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 8
OWN 15
+10
7.1%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 10 yds to the Houst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:0795% → 99%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
4.7%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+31
4.6%
Kenneth Farrow run for 31 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
4.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
4.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 10 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
4.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+8
4.4%
Ryan Jackson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
4.5%
Ryan Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.4%
Greg Ward Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:483% → 2%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.2%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
3.1%
Devin Powell pass complete to Charles Jones for 6 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
3.3%
Sherman Badie run for 14 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
3.6%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Lee HightowerSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
3.4%
Rob Kelley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-10
3.3%
[GUN], HILLIARD, D. rush over left end for 11 yards to the HOU40 (WILLIAMS, Kh.), PENALTY TLN holding (UZDAVINIS, A.) 10 yards to the TLN39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 22
OWN 39
+9
1.4%
Devin Powell pass complete to Devon Breaux for 9 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
1.5%
Peter Picerelli punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Demarcus Ayers at the Houst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
1.1%
Kenneth Farrow run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
1.1%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler McCloskeySimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-7
1.1%
Greg Ward Jr. sacked by Ade Aruna for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 15Similar
Q3 2:44
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
1.3%
Logan Piper punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the Tulan 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:121% → 0%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
1.2%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
1.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
1.1%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Devon BreauxSimilar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+73
0.3%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds , Demarcus Ayers returns for 73 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+7
0.3%
Devin Powell pass complete to Larry Dace for 7 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Devin Powell pass incomplete to Larry Dace, broken up by B.J. SingletonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Peter Picerelli punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
0.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Ryan Jackson for 2 yds to the Houst 31Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
0.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 5 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
0.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass complete to Donald Gage for 4 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
0.4%
TULANE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Eldrick Washington) to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
0.4%
Kenneth Farrow run for 7 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
0.4%
Greg Ward Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Ade ArunaSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
0.5%
Logan Piper punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 77 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
0.2%
Rob Kelley run for 1 yd to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+3
0.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+10
0.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 10 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
Sherman Badie run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+51
0.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Devon Breaux for 51 yds to the TULANE 25 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Sherman Badie for 6 yds to the Houst 19Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Rob Kelley run for no gain to the Houst 19Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
0.2%
Jordy Joseph pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 5 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.2%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Houst 14Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
0.2%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-7
0.2%
Jordy Joseph sacked by Trevon Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 21Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 17
OPP 21
0
0.2%
Jordy Joseph pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:46
Demarcus Ayers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
-6.6
TD · Q2 10:31
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 8:20
Greg Ward Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ty Cummings KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com