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CONN

UConn 13 at BYU 30

BYU
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2015 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the BYU 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:42: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 30 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +16.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:02: Trevor Samson 26 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +7.3 pts (now 64%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:24: Trevor Samson 25 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +7.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:03: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 21 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +20.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:26: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:17CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:02CONN 4th & 15 at BYU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00CONN 4th & 19 at CONN 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:55BYU 4th & 14 at CONN 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:06CONN 4th & 13 at CONN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:52BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:27BYU 4th & 1 at CONN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−3.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:00CONN 4th & 2 at BYU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−1.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:11CONN 4th & 6 at BYU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−9.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:02BYU 4th & 2 at CONN 8, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.3%−2.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−15.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:51CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−4.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:24BYU 4th & 7 at CONN 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−15.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:59CONN 4th & 6 at BYU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−5.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:47CONN 4th & 20 at CONN 49, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:26BYU 4th & 6 at CONN 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:44BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:42CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:03BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:26BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3135% → 35%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
64.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 32Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
64.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
64.7%
Justin Wain punt for 44 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 1 yd to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:2665% → 65%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.6%
Francis Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
64.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 16 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
64.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
64.9%
Riley Burt run for 5 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
65.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 4 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
65.0%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+13
65.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 13 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
65.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
65.2%
Francis Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 33 Francis Bernard fumbled, recovered by UConn Mikal MyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1336% → 35%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
64.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 26 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Josh MarrinerSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
64.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-5
64.1%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Sae Tautu for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 15
OPP 46
+3
64.7%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 3 yds to the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:1265% → 71%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
65.3%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+34
65.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 34 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
66.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 4 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
65.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nate Carter for 7 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
66.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+9
66.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 9 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
66.5%
BYU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+14
66.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 14 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
66.3%
Algernon Brown run for 5 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
66.4%
Algernon Brown run for 3 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
66.4%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the UConn 7Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+6
66.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 6 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.5%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:3731% → 29%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
68.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 15Similar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
69.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-7
69.6%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Sione Takitaki for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 9Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+7
70.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+6
70.6%
Justin Wain punt for 48 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 6 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
70.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-3
70.7%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
70.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 8 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
71.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
71.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 8 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
71.4%
Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+9
71.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 9 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
72.1%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
72.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-5
71.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
70.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 14
OPP 29
+48
69.8%
Trevor Samson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:4229% → 28%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
71.1%
Ron Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
71.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
72.3%
Justin Wain punt for 37 yds, downed at the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0872% → 71%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
71.5%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
71.6%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
71.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
70.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nick Vitale at the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:4628% → 27%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
71.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
71.9%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Bronson Kaufusi for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
73.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:3873% → 75%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
72.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+21
72.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 21 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
74.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
74.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
74.7%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
74.8%
Algernon Brown run for 10 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.1%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted, touchback. Jhavon Williams return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5126% → 45%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
74.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+21
74.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 21 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
72.9%
Max DeLorenzo run for 2 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
73.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Max DeLorenzo for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+23
71.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Max DeLorenzo for 8 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
54.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 30 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12MISSED FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 1:1663% → 65%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
63.0%
Algernon Brown run for 9 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
64.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+7
62.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 7 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
63.5%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Kenton Adeyemi for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+8
62.9%
Algernon Brown run for 8 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
63.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 7 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+28
64.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 28 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
67.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
67.2%
BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+13
65.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 13 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+38
64.5%
Trevor Samson 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
58.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Max DeLorenzo for 11 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14INT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:1962% → 63%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.0%
Algernon Brown run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+19
65.8%
Algernon Brown run for 34 yds to the UCONN 38 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
64.5%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
64.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+8
62.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 8 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
65.1%
Algernon Brown run for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
64.9%
Francis Bernard run for 3 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
64.3%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+26
62.8%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Jamar Summers return for 26 yds to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15FG
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:5746% → 50%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
54.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+7
54.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
54.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+4
56.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 4 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
53.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
52.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+1
54.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 1 yd to the BYU 21Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+37
50.0%
Bobby Puyol 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:0154% → 64%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
54.0%
Algernon Brown run for 3 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
53.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+14
57.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 24 yds to the UCONN 44 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
56.8%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
56.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+25
55.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 25 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
59.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 6 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+5
59.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
59.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
58.9%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+8
56.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 8 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
63.8%
Trevor Samson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5842% → 39%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
58.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-1
58.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
59.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 11
OWN 8
+5
60.9%
Justin Wain punt for 38 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:2366% → 73%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
65.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 14 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
67.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 5 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
67.6%
Algernon Brown run for 6 yds to the UConn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
67.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 4 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
67.7%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+4
66.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 4 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
67.9%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 13:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
67.7%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
73.4%
Trevor Samson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5531% → 31%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
69.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 9 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
67.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+10
69.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Bronson Kaufusi return for 10 yds to the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
89.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 21 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:4712% → 18%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
87.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 10 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
87.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 25 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
85.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
85.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+12
86.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 12 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
85.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
86.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
87.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
81.7%
Bobby Puyol 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:2790% → 97%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
89.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+15
89.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch Mathews for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
90.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+19
90.4%
Francis Bernard run for 19 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23INT
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:294% → 4%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 8 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
95.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
95.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 20 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
95.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-7
95.8%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Manoa Pikula for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
96.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 15
OPP 46
-5
96.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 20
OWN 49
+4
96.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Michael Shelton return for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:0897% → 99%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
97.2%
Francis Bernard run for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
97.5%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+18
97.8%
Francis Bernard run for 18 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
98.1%
Francis Bernard run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
98.2%
Francis Bernard run for 15 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
98.3%
Nate Carter run for 1 yd to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
98.6%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+1
98.6%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
99.1%
Trevor Samson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:211% → 1%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.3%
BYU Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:03
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 21 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
+20
TD · Q2 1:42
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 30 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
-16.3
FG · Q4 13:24
Trevor Samson 25 yd FG GOOD
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com