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NAVY

Navy 28 at UConn 18

CONN
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadNAVY aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreNAVY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:56 · Justin Wain punt for 40 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for no gain to the Navy 29 DeBrandon Sanders fumbled, recovered by Navy Quincy Adams
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Home team on offense−27.8Pregame prior−6.0Score differential−16.5Garbage-time factor−10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:02: Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +6.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:29: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 39 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK) — CONN win probability +11.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 0:02: Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +9.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK) — NAVY win probability +14.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:20: Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 6 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Noel Thomas for Two-Point Conversion) — CONN win probability +12.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 8NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:09CONN 4th & 1 at NAVY 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:37CONN 4th & 5 at NAVY 14, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−3.9
    average punt
  3. Q3 10:51NAVY 4th & 9 at CONN 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    75.8%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  4. Q3 9:20CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 27, down 11
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q4 14:56CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q4 11:09NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 36, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:02CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:20CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:57NAVY 4th & 15 at NAVY 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:48CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 14, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:09NAVY 4th & 1 at CONN 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−1.7
    83% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:36CONN 4th & 10 at NAVY 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:33NAVY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:02NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:29CONN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:02NAVY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56NAVY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:20CONN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:5127% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
27.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 10 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
27.2%
Tyraiq Beals run for 15 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 11 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Bernard Sarra and Will Anthony for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+10
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 10 yds to the Navy 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+5
27.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+38
29.5%
Bobby Puyol 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 6:3671% → 71%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
29.1%
Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
29.0%
Chris Swain run for 3 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
29.1%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
50
+7
29.0%
Quentin Ezell run for 7 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
28.9%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
29.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
29.0%
Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+10
29.0%
Demond Brown run for 10 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
28.8%
Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+6
28.8%
Toneo Gulley run for 6 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
29.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense (Graham Stewart) to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
28.8%
Chris Swain run for 1 yd to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
29.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 66 yds · 6:5630% → 33%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
30.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-2
30.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
29.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
30.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+8
30.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 8 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
31.1%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
31.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 9 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
31.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 10 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
33.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 19 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
33.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Navy 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
33.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 7 yds to the Navy 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-3
33.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 14Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
33.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:3068% → 76%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
31.8%
Keenan Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+12
31.4%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 12 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
31.1%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 2 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
31.2%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 10 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
30.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+7
30.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
30.2%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+19
30.3%
Chris Swain run for 19 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
30.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
23.9%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3324% → 37%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
24.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
25.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
25.4%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
25.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
25.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 12 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
25.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the Navy 39Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
36.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 39 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
16 plays · 77 yds · 3:2767% → 80%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
33.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 17 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
31.6%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 7 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-3
31.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+10
31.7%
Chris Swain run for 10 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
30.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+9
30.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
29.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+4
29.3%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 4 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
29.7%
Dishan Romine run for 3 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.3%
Keenan Reynolds pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
29.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+7
29.7%
Keenan Reynolds run for 7 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
29.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:0977% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.3%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
23.4%
Chris Swain run for 5 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
23.4%
DeBrandon Sanders run for 7 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
22.3%
Quentin Ezell run for 4 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
22.2%
Dishan Romine run for 2 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
22.4%
Keenan Reynolds pass complete to Dishan Romine for 11 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
22.1%
Quentin Ezell run for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
21.2%
Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-1
21.4%
Keenan Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
22.3%
Alex Barta punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
21.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 2Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
21.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UConn 3Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+16
20.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 16 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
21.8%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
22.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
21.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
21.2%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeBrandon Sanders at the Navy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 5:2880% → 96%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
20.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
20.3%
Quentin Ezell run for 9 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
19.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+9
19.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 9 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
18.8%
Keenan Reynolds run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
18.8%
Chris Swain run for 6 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+10
19.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
18.4%
Chris Swain run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+14
18.4%
Dishan Romine run for 14 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
4.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
7.6%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
8.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-4
7.9%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Ted Colburn for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
7.5%
Justin Wain punt for 40 yds , DeBrandon Sanders returns for no gain to the Navy 29 DeBrandon Sanders fumbled, recovered by Navy Quincy AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1496% → 98%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
4.1%
Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
4.1%
Quentin Ezell run for 1 yd to the Navy 32Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+4
4.2%
Keenan Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
2.5%
Gavin Jernigan punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:425% → 18%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
4.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 12 yds to the UConn 44 CONNECTICUT Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 8
OWN 34
0
5.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
4.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
4.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
5.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
5.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 15 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
5.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 26 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
6.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 3 yds to the Navy 13Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+7
6.1%
SHIRREFFS, Byr. pass intercepted by GONZALES, D at the NAVY8, GONZALES, D return to the NAVY39 (SHIRREFFS, Byr.), PENALTY NAVY personal foul 7 yards to the NAVY6, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Quincy AdamsSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 6 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Noel Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
14.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
14.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete, broken up by Josiah PowellSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
13.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
13.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel NewsomeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:2592% → 92%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-15
7.8%
REYNOLDS, K rush for no gain to the UCONN46 (ORMSBY, Cole;MYERS, Mikal), PENALTY NAVY personal foul (WEST, Adam) 15 yards to the NAVY39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 25
OWN 39
+2
8.5%
Quentin Ezell run for 2 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 23
OWN 41
+3
8.5%
Keenan Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+5
7.7%
Keenan Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
8.2%
Alex Barta punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
8.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 11 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-7
8.8%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Kevin McCoy and Micah Thomas for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 17
OWN 14
0
8.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel Thomas, broken up by Quincy AdamsSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
8.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Tyraiq Beals, broken up by Lorentez BarbourSimilar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 17
OWN 14
+10
8.0%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McLean for 10 yds to the UConn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3494% → 96%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
6.0%
Quentin Ezell run for 6 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
6.0%
Keenan Reynolds run for 2 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 3:43
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
6.3%
Keenan Reynolds run for 1 yd to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
4.1%
Chris Swain run for no gain to the UConn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FUMBLE
9 plays · 31 yds · 1:284% → 3%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
3.9%
SHIRREFFS, Byr. pass complete to MAYALA, Hergy for 15 yards to the UCONN30, out-of-bounds (BERTRAND, K), PENALTY UCONN holding (VECHERY, Brend.) 7 yards to the UCONN8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+15
3.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Noel Thomas for 15 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
4.2%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+29
3.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 14 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Kwazel Bertrand) to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
4.9%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Micah Thomas and Michael Raiford for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 49Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+1
4.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 1 yd to the Navy 48Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
4.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Arkeel Newsome, broken up by Brendon ClementsSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 10
OPP 48
-6
3.0%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Kevin McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 46 Bryant Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Navy Bernard Sarra , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Keenan Reynolds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Grebe KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q4 7:20
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tommy Myers for 6 yds for a TD, (Bryant Shirreffs pass to Noel Thomas for Two-Point Conversion)
+12.3
TD · Q2 3:29
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 39 yds for a TD, (Bobby Puyol KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com