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TOW

Towson 20 at East Carolina 28

ECU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:40: Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 30 yds for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK) — TOW win probability +1.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:16: Sam Hurwitz 23 yd FG GOOD — TOW win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:55: Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK) — ECU win probability +4.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:21: Chris Hairston run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK) — ECU win probability +3.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:53: Connor Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK) — TOW win probability +8.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: TOW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TOW made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 6:40ECU 4th & 2 at TOW 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TOW 4th & 2 at TOW 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:16TOW 4th & 6 at ECU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:16ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:17TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:48ECU 4th & 6 at TOW 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:48TOW 4th & 5 at TOW 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01ECU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:38TOW 4th & 16 at ECU 48, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:18TOW 4th & 14 at ECU 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:18ECU 4th & 3 at TOW 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:50ECU 4th & 1 at TOW 37, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−1.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:06TOW 4th & 12 at ECU 38, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:53ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 28, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:01TOW 4th & 7 at ECU 16, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TOW made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:08ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:40TOW Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:46ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:55ECU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:21ECU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:53TOW Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5297% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.6%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
96.6%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+10
96.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 10 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 6 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
96.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Jahmahl PardnerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
96.6%
Blake Kemp run for 5 yds to the Tows 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.6%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 4 yds to the Tows 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
96.6%
Blake Kemp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+45
96.3%
Chris Hairston run for 45 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 2TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 5:284% → 5%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
96.3%
Darius Victor run for 14 yds to the Tows 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.3%
Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 36Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
96.3%
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 37Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+11
96.3%
Ellis Knudson pass complete to Andre Dessenberg for 11 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
96.3%
Darius Victor run for 8 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
96.3%
Ellis Knudson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
96.3%
Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
96.3%
Connor Frazier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
96.3%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
96.3%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Shane Simpson for 13 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.2%
Darius Victor run for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
96.2%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (Fred Santarelli) to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+30
94.8%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 30 yds for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:5495% → 95%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.0%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
95.0%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
95.0%
Chris Hairston run for 8 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
95.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 11 yds to the Tows 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
95.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 2 yds to the Tows 46Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
95.2%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the Tows 43Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
95.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 8 yds to the Tows 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
95.2%
SCOTT, Anthony rush over left end for 12 yards to the TOWSON23 (Mynatt, Jordan), PENALTY ECU holding (JONES, Isaiah) 10 yards to the TOWSON45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+5
95.1%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the Tows 40Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+3
95.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Anthony Scott for 3 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+10
95.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 10 yds to the Tows 27Similar
Q1 6:40
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+3
95.1%
Chris Hairston run for 3 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
95.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 19 yds to the Tows 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.2%
Chris Hairston run for 4 yds to the Tows 1Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.2%
Blake Kemp run for no gain to the Tows 1Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 4FG
19 plays · 76 yds · 6:306% → 8%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
94.5%
Marquel Dickerson run for 2 yds to the Tows 20Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
94.5%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 7 yds to the Tows 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-1
94.4%
Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+4
94.6%
Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.3%
Connor Frazier run for 6 yds to the Tows 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
94.2%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Brian DowlingSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+19
94.1%
Connor Frazier run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Terrell Richardson) to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
93.8%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 15 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
93.6%
Darius Victor run for 10 yds to the ECaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
93.1%
Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 21Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+5
93.2%
Connor Frazier run for 5 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+9
93.4%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Emmanuel Holder for 9 yds to the ECaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
93.1%
Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.1%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Tanner VallelySimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.4%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
91.9%
Sam Hurwitz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
92.2%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+5
92.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+1
91.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 1 yd to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
91.6%
Worth Gregory punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.7%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the Tows 22Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
91.8%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre DessenbergSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
92.0%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete, broken up by Montese OvertonSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+44
92.3%
Jake Ryder punt for 30 yds, downed at the EASTCRLINA 48 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (14 Yards) to the ECaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:2992% → 90%
Q2 6:17
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
92.1%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
91.5%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 9 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
92.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 14 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
92.1%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Ike Harris) to the Tows 43Similar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+7
91.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to DaQuan Barnes for 7 yds to the Tows 36Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
92.1%
Anthony Scott run for 12 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.2%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the Tows 21Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+1
92.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Quay Johnson for 1 yd to the Tows 20Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
92.0%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
90.4%
Connor Torruella 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.0%
Ellis Knudson pass complete to Brian Dowling for 5 yds to the Tows 25Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Ellis Knudson pass incomplete to Tanner VallelySimilar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Ellis Knudson pass incomplete to Connor Frazier, broken up by DaShaun AmosSimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Jake Ryder punt for 53 yds, downed at the ECaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:5490% → 90%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
89.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 19 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
90.6%
Anthony Scott run for 18 yds to the EASTCRLINA 41 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (J.T. Boyd) to the ECaro 36Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
90.1%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 3 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+9
90.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Anthony Scott for 9 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
90.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Brandon Bishop for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 1
50
0
90.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Brian Dowling at the Tows 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 10INT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:169% → 9%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
90.8%
Connor Frazier run for 16 yds to the Tows 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
90.1%
Connor Frazier sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Tows 32Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+26
91.1%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 26 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.4%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Brian DowlingSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
89.7%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 9 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-15
88.8%
Frazier, Connor sideline pass complete to Summers, Christ for 4 yards to the ECU29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TOWSON pass interference 15 yards to the ECU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 16
OPP 48
0
90.7%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg, broken up by Josh HawkinsSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
91.1%
Connor Frazier pass intercepted Josh Hawkins return for no gain to the ECaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 11FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:4212% → 14%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
88.3%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 10 yds to the Tows 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.5%
Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the Tows 46Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+19
88.3%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 19 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
87.0%
Darius Victor run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 20Similar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
87.1%
Darius Victor run for 16 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+10
87.1%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Hawkins) to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.0%
Darius Victor run for no gain to the ECaro 10Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
87.8%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 14Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
88.5%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
87.0%
Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
85.8%
Sam Hurwitz 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:2386% → 93%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
86.1%
Chris Hairston run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
50
+13
87.7%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 13 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
87.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 7 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
88.4%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
87.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to DaQuan BarnesSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+17
86.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 17 yds to the Tows 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
88.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 10 yds to the Tows 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.4%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Isaiah JonesSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
88.4%
Chris Hairston run for 2 yds to the Tows 1Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
90.7%
Connor Frazier run for 11 yds to the Tows 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
90.6%
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 23Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+15
90.6%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Christ Summers for 15 yds to the Tows 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
90.0%
Jacquille Veii run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tows 46 Jacquille Veii fumbled, forced by Pat Green, recovered by ECaro Fred Presley EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Demetri McGill) to the Tows 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
93.3%
Anthony Scott run for 5 yds to the Tows 41Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
93.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Bryce Williams for 4 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
93.1%
Chris Hairston run for no gain to the Tows 37Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
92.6%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Bryce Williams, broken up by Diondr WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
90.0%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 27 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
88.8%
Darius Victor run for 1 yd to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-6
88.0%
Connor Frazier sacked by Johnathon White for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 41Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+3
90.3%
Connor Frazier run for 3 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 12
OPP 38
+7
90.8%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 7 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:4493% → 97%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-8
92.8%
Blake Kemp sacked by Chris Tedder for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+5
92.4%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Chris Hairston for 5 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+17
91.9%
Chris Hairston run for 17 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
93.3%
Chris Hairston run for 15 yds to the Tows 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
93.5%
Chris Hairston run for 5 yds to the Tows 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
93.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 7 yds to the Tows 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
93.8%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Isaiah Jones for 11 yds to the Tows 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
93.8%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the Tows 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
93.8%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the Tows 11Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
97.4%
Chris Hairston run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:284% → 13%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre DessenbergSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.2%
Darius Victor run for 7 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
96.0%
Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the Tows 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
95.9%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Brian Dowling for 9 yds to the Tows 45Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
95.8%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Sam Gallahan for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
95.9%
Darius Victor run for 4 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+12
95.9%
Darius Victor run for 12 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
95.3%
Connor Frazier run for 8 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
95.2%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre Dessenberg, broken up by Corey SeargentSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+24
95.6%
Darius Victor run for 24 yds to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.7%
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.2%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Davon Grayson for 7 yds to the ECaro 32Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
93.4%
HAIRSTON, Chris rush for 1 yard to the ECU33 (Law, Nico;Lewis, Donnell), PENALTY ECU holding (McKINNEY, Q.) 10 yards to the ECU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
92.9%
Blake Kemp pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Blake Kemp pass incomplete to Brandon BishopSimilar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+12
92.3%
Worth Gregory punt for 44 yds , Brian Dowling returns for 12 yds to the Tows 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:2910% → 7%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.2%
Marquel Dickerson run for 5 yds to the Tows 45Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
89.6%
Darius Victor run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
89.0%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Tanner Vallely for 19 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
87.9%
Darius Victor run for 8 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+3
87.7%
Darius Victor run for 3 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
87.7%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
87.7%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-1
89.0%
Marquel Dickerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 7
OPP 16
0
93.3%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Sam Gallahan, broken up by Terrell RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:5097% → 98%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
96.5%
TOWSON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.6%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-6
96.6%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 27Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+16
97.0%
Anthony Scott run for 16 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:53
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Hurwitz KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q3 7:55
Chris Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q4 12:21
Chris Hairston run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Torruella KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com