Try the model
AAMU

Alabama A&M 10 at Cincinnati 52

CIN
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Nippert Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:47 · Nick Carden punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Pregame prior+19.1Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:55: De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 12 yds for a TD, (Cesar Diaz-Ramon KICK) — AAMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:21: Hosey Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +4.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:25: Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +6.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:27: Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 47 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +9.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:58: Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK) — CIN win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4AAMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00AAMU 4th & 8 at AAMU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47AAMU 4th & 17 at CIN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:12CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:47CIN 4th & 2 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:25AAMU 4th & 4 at AAMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21AAMU 4th & 8 at CIN 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:56AAMU 4th & 11 at CIN 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:09CIN 4th & 6 at AAMU 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:03AAMU 4th & 2 at AAMU 26, down 31
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51AAMU 4th & 12 at AAMU 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:49AAMU 4th & 2 at CIN 15, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11AAMU 4th & 3 at CIN 3, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:22AAMU 4th & 2 at AAMU 31, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:22CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 32, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:16AAMU 4th & 10 at CIN 11, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7AAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:14CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55AAMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:21CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:25CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:27CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:58CIN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:55CIN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:56CIN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AAMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
70.8%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
70.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Monte JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
70.8%
Nick Carden punt for 33 yds, downed at the Cincy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:4771% → 72%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
70.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 20 yds to the AlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
70.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 16 yds to the AlaAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
70.8%
Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+2
70.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 2 yds to the AlaAM 14Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
70.8%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
70.8%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Dj Dowdy for no gain to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
70.8%
Hosey Williams run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
71.7%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 6 yds for a TD ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
71.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
71.4%
Byran Brower run for no gain to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
71.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
71.8%
Tion Green run for 9 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-3
72.0%
Gunner Kiel run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 39 Gunner Kiel fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Kadarious DanielsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
71.1%
Damion May sacked by Sione Tongamoa for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 17
OPP 46
0
71.3%
Damion May pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 17
OPP 46
0
71.5%
Damion May run for no gain to the Cincy 46Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
71.7%
Nick Carden punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
72.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 16 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 3 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
72.3%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
72.0%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 7
OWN 39
-5
71.7%
TEAM punt blocked by Dylan Hamilton blocked by Dylan Hamilton CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal touching (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:1729% → 32%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
71.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 13 yds to the Cincy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
70.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to O'Darius Williams for 9 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+4
70.9%
Byran Brower run for 4 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
70.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 2 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
67.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 12 yds for a TD, (Cesar Diaz-Ramon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
69.3%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
69.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Shaq WashingtonSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
69.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 7 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.8%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
69.5%
Gunner Kiel pass incomplete to Dj DowdySimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+8
69.2%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Max Morrison for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 2
50
0
69.4%
Sam Geraci punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlaAM 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-7
68.6%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Mark Wilson for a loss of 7 yards to the AlaAM 5Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 17
OWN 5
+1
68.7%
Byran Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+12
69.1%
Byran Brower run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+9
69.2%
Nick Carden punt for 36 yds , Shaq Washington returns for 9 yds to the Cincy 27 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:5970% → 74%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
69.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 28 yds to the AlaAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
70.1%
Hosey Williams run for no gain to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
70.1%
Hosey Williams run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+12
69.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 12 yds to the AlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
70.0%
Hosey Williams run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
74.1%
Hosey Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
72.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.1%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Monte JonesSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
72.3%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
50
+2
71.1%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
71.2%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
71.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
72.6%
Nick Carden punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2473% → 81%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
73.1%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 16 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
73.6%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Tion Green for 1 yd to the Cincy 37Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+12
73.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Mekale McKay for 12 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
74.2%
Tion Green run for 17 yds to the AlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
74.4%
Tion Green run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+26
74.4%
Mike Boone run for 26 yds to the AlaAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
74.4%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.4%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.9%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:2021% → 19%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
79.1%
Damion May pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 38 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
78.2%
Byran Brower run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-5
78.1%
MAY, Damion rush for no gain to the CIN39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AAMU illegal formation 5 yards to the CIN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 12
OPP 44
-5
78.6%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 49Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+4
80.8%
Byran Brower run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+2
80.9%
Damion May run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
81.0%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds, downed at the Cincy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:1082% → 93%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
81.7%
WILLIAMS, Hosey rush for 1 yard to the CIN4 (BROWER, Bryan;LANIER, Anthony), PENALTY AAMU offside (CALMES, G.) 5 yards to the CIN8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+4
81.7%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+4
81.9%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
82.0%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the Cincy 22Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 4
OWN 22
-10
82.0%
KIEL, Gunner pass incomplete to HOLTON, Johnny, PENALTY CIN holding (RAY, Idarius) 10 yards to the CIN12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+8
81.8%
Hosey Williams run for 8 yds to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+25
81.5%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Chris Moore for 25 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
83.9%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Alex Chisum for 8 yds to the AlaAM 47Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+47
93.4%
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 47 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
91.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass intercepted Andre Jones return for 1 yd to the AlaAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:1194% → 98%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
93.5%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-10
93.5%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the AlaAM 33 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Leahy) to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 18
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+35
93.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 35 yds to the AlaAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
93.6%
Mike Boone run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
98.3%
Byran Brower run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+1
98.3%
Byran Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:4498% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.3%
Tion Green run for 3 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Johnny HoltonSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+16
98.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Shaq Washington for 16 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
98.4%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+20
98.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Max Morrison for 5 yds to the AlaAM 37 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, illegal use of hands (Anthony Lanier) to the AlaAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.4%
Tion Green run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 20Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
98.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 2 yds to the AlaAM 18Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
98.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Mekale McKaySimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
98.9%
Andrew Gantz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.9%
Byran Brower run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
98.9%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+3
99.1%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 3 yds to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Nick Carden punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:3299% → 100%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Chris MooreSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.1%
Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+5
99.1%
MOORE, Hayden pass incomplete to COLE, Nate (BROWN, Justin), QB hurry by BROWER, Bryan, PENALTY AAMU pass interference (BROWN, Justin) 5 yards to the CIN39, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.1%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
99.1%
Hosey Williams run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+12
99.0%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Nate Cole for 12 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.1%
Hosey Williams run for 14 yds to the AlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Alex Chisum for 28 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.4%
Tevin McKenzie run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
99.4%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-3
99.4%
De'Angelo Ballard run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 25 De'Angelo Ballard fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Jaylon DorseySimilar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlaAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 22TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.6%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
99.6%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Max MorrisonSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
99.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Shaq Washington for 6 yds to the AlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tshumbi Johnson for 3 yds to the AlaAM 31 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the AlaAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.6%
Tion Green run for 8 yds to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+7
99.6%
Tion Green run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.6%
Tion Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 2Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Tion Green run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 69 yds · 3:380% → 0%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 9 yds to the AlaAM 37Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Byran Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Octayvius MilesSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to DeVon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+39
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 39 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.7%
Byran Brower run for 9 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-1
99.6%
Byran Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+7
99.5%
Byran Brower run for 7 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 1 yd to the Cincy 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the Cincy 5 ALABAMA A&M Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 2 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzie, broken up by Davon WitherspoonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 24FUMBLE
6 plays · 74 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
Tion Green run for 4 yds to the Cincy 7Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+25
99.9%
Tion Green run for 25 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Tion Green run for 11 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tyler CogswellSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Mike Boone run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Mike Boone run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 23 Mike Boone fumbled, forced by Anthony Lanier, recovered by AlaAM Demarco DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
99.9%
Damion May sacked by Norman Oglesby for a loss of 7 yards to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Byran Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+14
99.9%
Damion May pass complete to Marceles Clash for 14 yds to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Shaq Washington at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Luke Wright pass incomplete to Tshumbi JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Luke Wright pass incomplete to Tshumbi Johnson, broken up by Jalon DouglassSimilar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 27FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Juaquin Davis run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+14
100.0%
MAY, Damion pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, O., PENALTY CIN pass interference (STEPHENS, L.) 14 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
50
+1
100.0%
Damion May run for 1 yd to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Damion May pass complete to Jaylon Dorsey for 9 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
Juaquin Davis run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+15
100.0%
MAY, Damion pass incomplete to HEATH, Ledarion, PENALTY CIN pass interference (PINCKNEY, JJ) 15 yards to the CIN22, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.9%
Marceles Clash run for 11 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Damion May pass incomplete to O'Darius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Juaquin Davis run for no gain to the Cincy 11Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Damion May pass incomplete to Marceles ClashSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
100.0%
Cesar Diaz-Ramon 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 28END OF GAME
10 plays · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Hosey Williams run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Hosey Williams run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Hosey Williams run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Tion Green run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
100.0%
Tion Green run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Luke Wright sacked by Antonio Carey for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
Tion Green run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+12
100.0%
Tion Green run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:27
Gunner Kiel pass complete to Johnny Holton for 47 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q2 9:25
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 0:58
Mike Boone run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com