Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 28 at Western Kentucky 49

WKU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:05 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:21: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +7.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:07: Jake Collins kickoff for 62 yds , Deandre Reaves return for 97 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:20: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +8.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:01: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:33: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +7.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 14:16MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38MRSH 4th & 8 at WKU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:46WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:24MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:04WKU 4th & 13 at MRSH 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:42MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:47WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 43, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:33WKU 4th & 9 at MRSH 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:54WKU 4th & 10 at MRSH 12, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:54MRSH 4th & 12 at WKU 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:18WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 24, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:19MRSH 4th & 5 at WKU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 10 at MRSH 34, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:07MRSH 4th & 10 at WKU 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:16WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 12, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:08MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 3, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:16WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:21WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:07MRSH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:20WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:01MRSH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:33WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:19MRSH Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:07WKU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:05MRSH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4479% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+27
79.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 27 yds to the WESTERNKY 48 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
79.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 13 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
79.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 35 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
79.0%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
79.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-9
79.0%
Chase Litton sacked by Jontavious Morris for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 14:16
4TH & 15
OWN 24
+1
79.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 53 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 1 yd to the WKent 25 Kylen Towner fumbled, forced by Antavis Rowe, recovered by Marsh Matt CincottaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1021% → 21%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
78.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
78.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
78.9%
Nick Smith 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
79.1%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+15
79.1%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (LETMAN, Taj) 15 yards to the WKU44, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
79.2%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+12
79.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 12 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+23
79.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 23 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
79.3%
Brandon Doughty run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 25 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by Marsh Taj LetmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.9%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
79.1%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+2
79.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 57 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
79.0%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-1
79.1%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
78.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
79.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+13
79.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 13 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
79.3%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
79.4%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
79.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
79.1%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds, downed at the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
79.0%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 7Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+2
79.1%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+19
79.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 19 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
78.9%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
79.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
79.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Wonderful TerrySimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
79.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:1879% → 84%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
79.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Antavis Rowe) to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
79.8%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (BAXTER, Keith) 15 yards to the MARSHALL38, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
79.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
79.9%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+8
79.6%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
79.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 8 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-2
79.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+6
79.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
79.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Max Halpin) to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
79.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
79.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
83.9%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
82.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
82.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+14
82.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 14 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
81.8%
FOSTER, Hyleck rush for 8 yards to the 50 yardline (BROWN, Dejon), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (DOWREY, Jordan) 10 yards to the MARSHALL32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
82.1%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Nick Holt return for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
84.4%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Corey Tindal for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 18
OPP 44
+5
84.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
83.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+15
83.3%
Jake Collins punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 9 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Drell Greene) to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.8%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
82.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sandley Jean-Felix) to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+6
83.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 6 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+57
83.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WESTERNKY 28 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:5384% → 93%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
84.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 18 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
84.6%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
84.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+27
84.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 27 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
85.2%
Taywan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
85.2%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+1
85.2%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 10:14
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+11
84.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
85.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4785% → 94%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
84.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 32 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
85.5%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+9
85.5%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
85.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
85.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
85.5%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
94.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:198% → 17%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+31
92.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 31 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
91.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 12 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
91.5%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:2886% → 95%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
86.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+26
86.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 26 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
86.4%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+21
87.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17END OF HALF
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:327% → 5%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
92.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Remi Watson for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+25
93.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 25 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.0%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
93.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
93.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 4 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
93.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
93.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+15
93.4%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ALLEN, Davonte, PENALTY WKU pass interference (JOHNSON, L.) 15 yards to the WKU41, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
93.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 13 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.7%
Chase Litton run for no gain to the WKent 28 Chase Litton fumbled, forced by Nick Holt, recovered by WKent Ge'Monee BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
95.5%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
95.7%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Evan McKelveySimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+4
95.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 4 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
95.2%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
95.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+26
95.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 26 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin Hunt, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Nick Holt return for no gain to the Marsh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0797% → 97%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
96.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
96.5%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-5
96.4%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Ricardo Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
96.5%
Garrett Schwettman 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-8
96.5%
Chase Litton sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 12 Chase Litton fumbled, recovered by WKent Bryan Shorter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2597% → 100%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
96.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
96.9%
Anthony Wales pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
96.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Anthony WalesSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
99.5%
Garrett Schwettman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Remi Watson for 16 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.4%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
99.4%
Remi Watson run for 9 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
99.4%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 16
OWN 48
0
99.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 16
OPP 0
+9
99.3%
Chase Litton run for 9 yds to the WESTERNKY 43 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
99.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (AJ Addison) to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Tyler Williams punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.7%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+13
99.7%
Jake Collins punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WESTERNKY 48 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Derik Overstreet) to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:540% → 2%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 5 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+32
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 4:1298% → 100%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
97.8%
Anthony Wales run for 31 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.8%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-7
98.3%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Corey Tindal for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 39 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by WKent Brandon Doughty , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+5
98.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+11
98.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 11 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 19 yds for a TD, (Brandon Doughty pass to Nacarius Fant for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 3
OWN 11
-5
99.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Taywan Taylor) to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+6
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:030% → 1%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 7
50
+8
99.9%
Remi Watson run for 8 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 12 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Emanuel Byrd, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
BIRDSONG, M. pass incomplete to BYRD, Emanuel, QB hurry by BRYANT, Omarius, PENALTY WKU roughing passer (BRYANT, Omarius) 12 yards to the WKU12, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+9
99.9%
Michael Birdsong run for 9 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.8%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Derik Overstreet for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 17 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 11
OPP 17
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:20
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q2 2:01
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q2 6:07
Jake Collins kickoff for 62 yds , Deandre Reaves return for 97 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com