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CLT

Charlotte 7 at Rice 27

RICE
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:13 · Blake Brewer 33 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+14.3Home team on offense−3.2Score differential−2.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:13: Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 — RICE win probability +4.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:32: Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30 — RICE win probability +5.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:51: Hayden Tobola 19 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +1.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:09: Luke Turner pass complete to Cole Hunt for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +11.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:50: Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +8.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37RICE 4th & 5 at CLT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52CLT 4th & 10 at RICE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:06CLT 4th & 17 at RICE 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:04RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:13CLT 4th & 4 at RICE 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:13RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:32CLT 4th & 6 at RICE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−4.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:51RICE 4th & 2 at CLT 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%−2.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:51CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 20, down 3
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:09CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:50CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:01RICE 4th & 5 at CLT 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:01CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q3 3:09RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:50RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:13RICE Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:16CLT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
75.3%
Brooks Barden run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.3%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Ross WinshipSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
75.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:3975% → 74%
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
75.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 6 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+8
75.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
75.2%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 3
50
+2
75.2%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
75.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Nate GermanSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
75.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Parker SmithSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+23
75.1%
Darik Dillard run for 23 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
75.2%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+11
75.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 11 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
75.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
75.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
74.4%
Hayden Tobola 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
74.0%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
74.0%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to T.L. FordSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
74.2%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
74.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 58 yds, downed at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
73.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Parker Smith for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
73.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
73.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
73.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 6 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+11
73.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 11 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
74.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
50
+2
74.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+10
74.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Parker Smith for 10 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
74.5%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted, touchback. Terrance Winchester return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5MISSED FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 4:0028% → 30%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.4%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
72.3%
Austin Duke run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+16
72.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 16 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
71.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
71.9%
Matt Johnson run for 21 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
71.4%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+15
71.2%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 15 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
71.1%
Andrew Buie run for 8 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+3
71.1%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
71.1%
Austin Duke run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
71.2%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
70.5%
Blake Brewer 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
71.7%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
71.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 3 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+23
70.9%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Matt Johnson at the RICE 35 RICE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
50
0
68.8%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
50
+4
69.1%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+19
69.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to T.L. Ford for 19 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
68.3%
Brooks Barden sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 16
OPP 33
-1
69.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 17
OPP 34
0
70.0%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 17
OPP 34
0
70.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 25 yds, fair catch by VJ Banks at the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
70.6%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+15
70.5%
Austin Walter run for 15 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
70.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Austin Walter for 2 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+8
70.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Parker Smith for 8 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
71.1%
Austin Walter run for 12 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
72.3%
RICE Penalty, Offensive offside (Peter Godber) to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
71.2%
Luke Turner run for 5 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
71.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
71.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Devin PearsonSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
70.1%
James Farrimond punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Matt Johnson at the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 4:2633% → 36%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
67.4%
Austin Duke run for 5 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
67.2%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
66.9%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-5
65.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Thomas La Bianca) to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+4
67.2%
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+16
67.0%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Rice 38 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Derek Brown) to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
65.3%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY RICE pass interference (DOUGLAS, Brando) 15 yards to the RICE32, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
64.7%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 3
OPP 25
-5
64.5%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+8
65.7%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 8 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
61.7%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
61.7%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+5
63.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Trent Bostick for 5 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
63.7%
Blake Brewer 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
68.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
68.5%
RICE Penalty, IP (-5 Yards) to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
68.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke Turner, broken up by Nick CookSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+9
66.9%
Darik Dillard run for 9 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
-2
66.9%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds , Matt Johnson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:0837% → 38%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
63.5%
Andrew Buie run for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
61.6%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
60.7%
Andrew Buie run for 14 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
59.3%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
59.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+2
61.0%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
62.1%
Blake Brewer 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.3%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:0968% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
68.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-1
69.6%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
67.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Parker Smith for 6 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
69.7%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
69.9%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+15
69.3%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Zach, PENALTY CHA pass interference (PEARSON, Devin) 15 yards to the CHA37, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
70.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 34 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
71.2%
Luke Turner run for 1 yd to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
71.2%
Luke Turner run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.2%
Luke Turner run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
72.1%
Hayden Tobola 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
69.9%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
69.9%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+1
70.8%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 1 yd to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
72.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by VJ Banks at the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:0371% → 86%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
71.3%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
73.1%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+15
71.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 15 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
74.1%
Luke Turner run for 10 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
74.1%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+10
74.8%
Luke Turner run for 10 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
74.8%
Luke Turner run for 4 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+2
74.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+14
73.7%
Darik Dillard run for 14 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.8%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Charl 4Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.2%
Luke Turner pass complete to Cole Hunt for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
83.7%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Trent Bostick for 20 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
82.1%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 1 yd to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-4
82.4%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+6
84.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 6 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+22
83.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds , VJ Banks returns for 22 yds to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:3186% → 97%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
85.7%
Austin Walter run for 23 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
86.7%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
86.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+11
85.8%
Darik Dillard run for 11 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
87.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
87.9%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+11
87.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Austin Walter for 11 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
87.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
87.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Parker SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+8
87.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 1 yd to the Charl 13 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Daquan Lucas) to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.3%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.2%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.6%
Arthur Hart run for 2 yds to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:5597% → 99%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
97.0%
Luke Turner run for 16 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
97.0%
Luke Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+8
97.0%
Luke Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Banks) to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.0%
Luke Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 12 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalen Holt) to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Charl 6Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
98.6%
Luke Turner run for 1 yd to the Charl 5Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.4%
Hayden Tobola 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
98.9%
Jalen Holt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
98.9%
Jalen Holt run for 1 yd to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Lee McNeill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 29 yds, downed at the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+29
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 29 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.6%
Luke Turner run for 5 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+7
99.6%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 11 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:570% → 1%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
100.0%
Matt Johnson run for 13 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+56
99.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 56 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
99.8%
Austin Walter run for 9 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:09
Luke Turner pass complete to Cole Hunt for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+11.4
TD · Q4 11:50
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+8.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:32
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com