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UTEP

UTEP 20 at North Texas 17

UNT
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Alan Luna punt for 37 yds , James Gray returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 31 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (A.J. Smith) to the NoTex 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+12.3Home team on offense+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:23: Tre Johnson 53 Yd Punt Return (Trevor Moore Kick) — UNT win probability +17.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:32: Dashone Smith 65 Yd Interception Return (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +19.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 2:48: Cortney Finney 13 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick) — UNT win probability +22.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:51: Warren Redix 32 Yd pass from Kavika Johnson (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +33.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:33: Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49 — UTEP win probability +14.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UNT 4th & 4 at UTEP 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:32UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:20UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:38UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:46UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:17UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:35UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:25UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39UNT 4th & 14 at UTEP 42, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.0%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%
    30% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:25UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:31UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:23UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 17, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:27UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 6 at UNT 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:45UNT 4th & 13 at UNT 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−4.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:52UTEP 4th & 3 at UNT 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%−3.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:37UNT 4th & 8 at UTEP 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−1.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 10:37UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:23UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:32UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:48UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:51UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
66.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+20
66.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 20 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
66.4%
Andrew McNulty run for 3 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
66.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+3
66.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Tee Goree for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
66.4%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
66.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 13
-3
66.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 6
OWN 10
-1
66.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tk Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
66.4%
Alan Luna punt for 47 yds , Tre Johnson returns for no gain to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:1466% → 66%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
66.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
66.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Da'Carlos RenfroSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-5
66.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Carlos Harris) to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
66.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Jeffrey Wilson, broken up by Lawrence MontegutSimilar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+2
65.8%
Eric Keena punt for 41 yds , Warren Redix returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
65.9%
Darrin Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+4
65.9%
Tk Powell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+13
66.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 13 yds Jaquan White fumbled, forced by Kishawn McClain, recovered by NoTex Fred ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:0667% → 66%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
66.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 5 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
66.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+10
66.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 10 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
66.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
66.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 10 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
66.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 11
OPP 12
-7
66.8%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Alvin Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+8
65.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
66.1%
Trevor Moore 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
67.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
67.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+8
66.9%
Andrew McNulty run for 8 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
67.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 16 yds Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, forced by Sky Logan, recovered by UTEP Trey BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0734% → 33%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
66.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+3
66.4%
Ryan Metz run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+9
66.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
66.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-5
65.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
66.3%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
66.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cedrick LangSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+1
67.3%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds , James Gray returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 31 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (A.J. Smith) to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
65.6%
Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-8
65.4%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Lawrence Montegut for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 23 Andrew McNulty fumbled, recovered by NoTex Micah Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
64.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Da'Carlos RenfroSimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
64.2%
Eric Keena punt for 56 yds, downed at the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0034% → 36%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
65.9%
Tk Powell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+4
65.6%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+21
65.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
50
+2
63.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
63.8%
Tk Powell run for no gain to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-10
64.3%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Chad Polk and Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 42 Kavika Johnson fumbled, recovered by NoTex Jarrian Roberts , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
68.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
68.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Ishmael HarrisonSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
67.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Traun RobersonSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
65.9%
Eric Keena punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Warren Redix at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
66.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Chad Davis) to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
66.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 15 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
64.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-1
65.7%
Ryan Metz sacked by Chad Polk for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+5
66.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
66.7%
Alan Luna punt for 32 yds , Tre Johnson returns for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4066% → 66%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
66.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
66.0%
Eric Keena punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Warren Redix at the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
68.1%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Jaquan White for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
67.8%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah LaufasaSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
68.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 7
OWN 30
-2
70.0%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds , Tre Johnson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:0467% → 66%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
67.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Tee Goree for 9 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
68.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
69.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 16 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
69.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
69.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+6
68.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
67.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
65.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Tee GoreeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
65.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
66.6%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah LaufasaSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
67.5%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Kishawn McClainSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
69.0%
Alan Luna punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoTex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2334% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
65.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 19 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
63.4%
Warren Redix run for 27 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
61.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+7
61.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+12
62.6%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 12 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
61.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.8%
Kavika Johnson 5 Yd Run (Jay Mattox PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
52.5%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 25Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
51.7%
DaMarcus Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
50.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Ishmael HarrisonSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
49.6%
Eric Keena punt for 63 yds, downed at the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT TD
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5149% → 30%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
50.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11 Jeremiah Laufasa fumbled, forced by James Gray, recovered by UTEP Will HernandezSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
51.0%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for 1 yd to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
52.1%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+5
53.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing the kicker (Willy Ivery) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+53
70.4%
Tre Johnson 53 Yd Punt Return (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:0032% → 34%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
65.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44 Kavika Johnson fumbled, forced by Cortney Finney, recovered by NoTex Malik DilongaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21INT TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:4074% → 55%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
73.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
73.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+65
54.5%
Dashone Smith 65 Yd Interception Return (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
50.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
54.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
52.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to DaMarcus Smith, broken up by Roy Robertson-HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
49.6%
Eric Keena punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:2553% → 30%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
46.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+1
47.7%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 11
OWN 16
-13
69.8%
Cortney Finney 13 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:4832% → 33%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
67.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
64.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
66.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 12 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.5%
Warren Redix run for no gain to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
64.7%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
63.2%
Kavika Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
66.7%
Alan Luna punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
71.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Da'Carlos Renfro) to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
73.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
72.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-2
71.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
69.1%
Eric Keena punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 5:0133% → 72%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
67.1%
Alvin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (T.J. Tauaalo) to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
64.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
62.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
62.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+1
61.8%
Darrin Laufasa run for 1 yd to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
62.2%
Kavika Johnson run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+7
64.8%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Jaquan White for 7 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
60.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+32
27.6%
Warren Redix 32 Yd pass from Kavika Johnson (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 30 yds · 4:1440% → 35%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
42.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
41.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for 7 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
44.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
40.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+22
38.5%
DaMarcus Smith run for 32 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 30 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Carlos Harris) to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-20
46.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Thaddeous Thompson) to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
43.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
46.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
45.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
44.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Sky LoganSimilar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
35.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1379% → 90%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
20.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
20.5%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
19.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
19.6%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-2
9.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-2
10.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:51
Warren Redix 32 Yd pass from Kavika Johnson (Jay Mattox Kick)
-33.1
TD · Q3 2:48
Cortney Finney 13 Yd Fumble Return (Trevor Moore Kick)
+22.1
TD · Q3 5:32
Dashone Smith 65 Yd Interception Return (Jay Mattox Kick)
-19
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com