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LT

Louisiana Tech 17 at UTEP 15

UTEP
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:45 · Gerald Shouse punt for 24 yds, downed at the UTEP 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior−41.6Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:30: Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 16 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-18 Yards) to the UTEP 0, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +11.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:32: Carlos Henderson 54 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +7.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:49: Jay Mattox 27 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +9.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:17: Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Laufasa — UTEP win probability +15.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 11LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:47LT 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:47UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:45LT 4th & 8 at LT 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:17LT 4th & 3 at LT 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:30LT 4th & 8 at LT 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:39UTEP 4th & 1 at LT 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−1.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49UTEP 4th & 9 at LT 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:32UTEP 4th & 8 at LT 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:51UTEP 4th & 16 at LT 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:05LT 4th & 8 at LT 5, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−3.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:49UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 8, down 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−15.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49LT 4th & 9 at UTEP 48, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:42UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 10, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−2.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:17UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 49, down 2
    Close callPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:12LT 4th & 9 at LT 13, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−5.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:38UTEP 4th & 12 at LT 14, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−20.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−30.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:57LT 4th & 8 at LT 22, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−12.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:44UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:30UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:43LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:32LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 5:1393% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 11 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 8 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
7.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
7.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+19
7.3%
Boston Scott run for 19 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+22
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 22 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
7.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
7.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
7.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
9.0%
Jonathan Barnes 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
9.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
9.1%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
9.0%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
8.9%
Alan Luna punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
9.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 38Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+7
9.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
9.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+1
9.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Boston Scott for 1 yd to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
9.5%
Gerald Shouse punt for 24 yds, downed at the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
10.2%
Ryan Metz run for 5 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+18
10.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 18 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
10.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
10.6%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
10.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
10.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-15
10.5%
METZ, Ryan deep pass incomplete to WHITE, Jaquan, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (WHITE, Jaquan) 15 yards to the LATECH40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 18
OPP 40
-1
10.2%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:4988% → 87%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
12.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+25
12.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 25 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
11.6%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
11.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+3
12.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
12.8%
Gerald Shouse punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 6:3813% → 23%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
12.9%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-4
12.9%
Tk Powell run for 6 yds to the UTEP 19 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Will Hernandez) to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 14
OWN 9
0
12.7%
Tk Powell run for no gain to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+14
12.4%
Tk Powell run for 14 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
13.0%
Ryan Metz run for 7 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+8
13.4%
Tk Powell run for 8 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+36
13.4%
Tk Powell run for 36 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
14.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
14.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
13.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
14.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
23.1%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 11 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
20.6%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
20.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnightSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
21.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
21.8%
Gerald Shouse punt for 68 yds, downed at the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 4:5022% → 35%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+37
22.1%
Tk Powell run for 37 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
24.0%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-1
23.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+7
23.2%
Ryan Metz run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
22.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 2 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
24.1%
Tk Powell run for 5 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
24.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+6
23.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 6 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
24.1%
Tk Powell run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+3
29.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+1
31.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Ford for 1 yd to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
34.5%
Jay Mattox 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:0665% → 81%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
35.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 18 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
34.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+25
33.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 25 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
30.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 19 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
29.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
18.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 16 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-18 Yards) to the UTEP 0, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.3%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cole Freytag for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
25.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
25.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cedrick Lang, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
25.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 9 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
26.7%
Tk Powell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
27.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
26.4%
Tk Powell run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
25.6%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by C.J. ClevelandSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
24.5%
Alan Luna punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:0276% → 85%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
24.4%
Carlos Henderson run for 19 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
23.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
22.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
14.8%
Carlos Henderson 54 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
16.8%
METZ, Ryan sideline pass incomplete to REDIX, Warren, PENALTY LATECH targeting (FERGUSON, J.) 15 yards to the UTEP40, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
18.1%
Tk Powell run for 1 yd to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
17.7%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+10
17.0%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 10 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.1%
Kavika Johnson run for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
18.7%
Tk Powell run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
18.3%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
16.7%
Alan Luna punt for 40 yds, downed at the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14SF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:4883% → 80%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
16.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 3Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 14
OWN 3
-3
20.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
21.8%
Ryan Metz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
23.0%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
22.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+5
23.9%
Tk Powell run for 5 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
24.3%
Tk Powell run for 6 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
24.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for no gain to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
24.1%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 11
OPP 40
-5
22.3%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Chris Thomas) to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 16
OPP 45
0
21.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cole FordSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
20.1%
Alan Luna punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaTch 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2679% → 76%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
21.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
21.4%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
22.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
24.0%
Gerald Shouse punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:1128% → 37%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
27.7%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Tyler Batson for 25 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
29.4%
Tk Powell run for no gain to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
29.4%
Warren Redix run for 6 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
27.5%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+27
36.6%
Jay Mattox 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
28.6%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+12
26.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
26.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
26.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
26.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Roy Robertson-HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
29.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 36 yds, downed at the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0036% → 33%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
36.0%
POWELL, TK rush over right guard for 21 yards to the UTEP33 (BRICE, Kentrell), PENALTY UTEP holding 6 yards to the UTEP6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 16
OWN 6
0
35.5%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 16
OWN 6
+4
35.3%
Tk Powell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
33.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
32.5%
Alan Luna punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
28.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 46 Kenneth Dixon fumbled, recovered by UTEP Gino BresolinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 37%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.1%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah LaufasaSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
40.5%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
41.3%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
37.2%
Alan Luna punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
32.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
33.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
34.7%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
36.2%
Gerald Shouse punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Warren Redix at the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23MISSED FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:0344% → 37%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
44.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
45.1%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
44.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
46.3%
Warren Redix run for 20 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Xavier Woods) to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
49.4%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 14
OPP 16
0
48.1%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Autrey Golden for no gain to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+2
39.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
37.2%
Jay Mattox 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4176% → 81%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
23.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
24.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+3
19.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 0:57
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
19.3%
Gerald Shouse punt for 61 yds, downed at the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
26.6%
Ryan Metz run for 6 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
27.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+20
25.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 20 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
30.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
28.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
26.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+39
24.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 39 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-24.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:17
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Laufasa
+15.1
TD · Q2 0:43
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 16 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-18 Yards) to the UTEP 0, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com