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UNT

North Texas 7 at Middle Tennessee 41

MTSU
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1MTSU 97.5%Cody Clark 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 31 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Cody Clark 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+27.4Home team on offense+21.5Score differential+14.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:57: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 11 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:59: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:27: DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +3.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:32: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:09: Cody Clark 40 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 6:30UNT 4th & 9 at MTSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:57MTSU 4th & 3 at UNT 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:32UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00MTSU 4th & 8 at UNT 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:09MTSU 4th & 10 at UNT 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:38MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 10, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UNT 4th & 3 at MTSU 38, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:40UNT 4th & 12 at MTSU 36, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25MTSU 4th & 5 at UNT 10, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:59MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:57MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:59MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:27UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:32MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:58MTSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0194% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
94.0%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
94.0%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
94.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 9 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
94.0%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+12
94.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 12 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
94.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 10 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
94.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+8
94.0%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+19
93.5%
Austin Grammer run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:297% → 7%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
93.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 6 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+10
93.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 10 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
93.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
93.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 4 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
93.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
93.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
93.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
93.3%
DaMarcus Smith run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
93.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 1 yd to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
93.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
93.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Tee GoreeSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
92.7%
Trevor Moore 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3393% → 94%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
92.8%
Shane Tucker run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+40
92.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 40 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
93.0%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
93.0%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 15Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+4
92.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+11
93.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 11 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
93.2%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
93.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
93.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Eric Keena punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:1394% → 96%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 6 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
93.5%
Jordan Parker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+46
93.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 46 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
93.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+12
93.8%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to TUCKER, Shane, PENALTY NT roughing passer 12 yards to the NT12, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
93.8%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
93.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Chad DavisSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:324% → 7%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
95.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
95.4%
DaMarcus Smith run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
95.3%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+23
95.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 23 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
95.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
95.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
95.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
95.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
95.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 8 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:5594% → 97%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
93.5%
Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+13
93.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 13 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
93.7%
Jordan Parker run for 14 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
93.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 5 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+19
93.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 19 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
93.8%
Austin Grammer run for 2 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.8%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Eric Keena punt for 50 yds, downed at the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+5
97.4%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Kishawn McClain return for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
96.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
96.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 37 Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Cavellis LuckettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:2298% → 98%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+11
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 11 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.8%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+20
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 20 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
97.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Andy Flusche for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+5
97.7%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to BATTIES, Ed, PENALTY NT offside (ROBERTS, J.) 5 yards to the NT18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
97.5%
Cody Clark 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
96.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 7 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
96.8%
Willy Ivery run for 8 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
96.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-3
96.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+5
96.8%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
+1
96.8%
Eric Keena punt for 37 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:0298% → 100%
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
97.7%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+13
97.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
97.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
97.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Jarrian RobertsSimilar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+23
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 23 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
97.8%
Shane Tucker run for 12 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q3 12:11
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
97.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
99.6%
Cody Clark 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+52
99.6%
Willy Ivery run for 52 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+6
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 13 Willy Ivery fumbled, forced by Chris Hale, recovered by MTnSt D.J. SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.8%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 20
-10
99.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Malik Dilonga for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 13
OWN 10
+1
99.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds , Tre Johnson returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 11 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for 27 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for no gain to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.8%
Jordan Parker run for 8 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 18 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+16
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 16 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+24
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 24 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 42 Desmond Anderson fumbled, forced by James Gray, recovered by NoTex T.J. Tauaalo NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kishawn McClain) to the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Tee Goree for 8 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Tee Goree, broken up by T.T. BarberSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Josh Greer run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 36 Josh Greer fumbled, recovered by NoTex Carlos Harris , return for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Josh Greer run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21MISSED FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 6:51100% → 100%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to COLLIS, C., PENALTY NT offside (ROBERTS, J.) 5 yards to the MT44, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 10 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 7 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for no gain to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 11 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Tristan Walker for 2 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 7 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 2 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Nolan Genovese pass complete to Ty Clemons for 2 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the NoTex 10Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Cody Clark 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for 12 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 5 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for 10 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Carlos Harris) to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:32
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+4
TD · Q2 7:27
DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 13:59
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com