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FIU

Florida International 0 at Marshall 52

MRSH
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:41 · Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+2.0Pregame prior+19.8Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:14: Remi Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:22: Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q1 1:21: Chris Ayers punt for 50 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:03: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:04: Remi Watson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:14FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:22FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:41MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:21FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:46FIU 4th & 7 at MRSH 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:33FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.2%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:04FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18MRSH 4th & 4 at FIU 18, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 48, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:50FIU 4th & 19 at MRSH 44, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 45, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:37FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:14MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:22MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:03MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:04MRSH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:52MRSH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:58MRSH Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
73.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
73.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
-4
73.7%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
73.7%
Chris Ayers punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:3674% → 74%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+33
73.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 33 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
73.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+12
73.6%
Remi Watson run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+3
73.6%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
73.6%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.4%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
74.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 1 yd to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
74.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
74.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for no gain to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+13
74.2%
Chris Ayers punt for 34 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 13 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:1475% → 78%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
74.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
74.8%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+5
74.7%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
74.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+11
74.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
77.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+34
76.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
50
+1
76.3%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
76.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 10
50
-7
76.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Keith Baxter for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 17
OWN 43
0
76.8%
Chris Ayers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
78.4%
Keion Davis run for 11 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
78.4%
Keion Davis run for 12 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 5 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
78.9%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
78.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
78.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0422% → 15%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
78.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
78.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
78.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Keith BaxterSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+69
84.6%
Chris Ayers punt for 50 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:2116% → 16%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
84.3%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
84.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+39
84.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 39 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
83.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 11 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
83.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+29
84.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Rodney Allen return for 29 yds to the Marsh 39 Rodney Allen fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Clinton TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
84.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
85.0%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-1
85.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
85.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:0187% → 94%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
87.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 13 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
87.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
87.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
87.6%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+11
87.4%
Chase Litton run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
87.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
87.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 3:306% → 3%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
93.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
93.5%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
93.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
93.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton Taylor, broken up by Shawn PettySimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-10
94.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 23 Alex McGough fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 23
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 50 yds, downed at the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1796% → 97%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.3%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+7
96.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 7 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+62
97.2%
Remi Watson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.8%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
97.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Shawn Petty and D.J. Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds, downed at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2098% → 99%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 11 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
97.7%
Keion Davis run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+16
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 16 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
97.7%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
97.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+8
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 8 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
98.7%
Nick Smith 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
50
-5
98.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (AJ Addison) to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+3
98.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
98.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
99.2%
Anthony Jones run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
99.2%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+3
99.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
99.1%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Keith BaxterSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+24
99.1%
Anthony Jones run for 24 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-9
99.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 1 yd to the Marsh 34 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 19
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 5:05100% → 100%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
99.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+8
99.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+15
99.6%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to MCMANUS, D. (LUBIN, Emmanuel), PENALTY FIU pass interference (LUBIN, Emmanuel) 15 yards to the MARSHALL37, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 10 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
99.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+21
99.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 21 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
99.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 12 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
99.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+5
99.6%
Chase Litton run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+9
99.6%
Chase Litton run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 10 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.8%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to ABRAMS, Shawn, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (LETMAN, Taj) 4 yards to the FIU42, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Akil Dan-Fodio, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+55
99.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the MARSHALL 15 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
WATSON, Remi rush for 2 yards to the MARSHALL33 (PERINE, Denzell;KOHT, Lars), PENALTY FIU offside (RUSS, Fred) 5 yards to the MARSHALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 12 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 8
50
0
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 8
50
0
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass intercepted Mark Bruno return for no gain to the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+9
99.9%
Trey Anderson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Nick Mathews for 5 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+25
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.9%
Michael Birdsong run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Michael Birdsong run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Shug Oyegunle run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+12
100.0%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 6
50
+3
100.0%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q1 1:21
Chris Ayers punt for 50 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 10:03
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q1 7:22
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com