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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 24 at Florida Atlantic 17

FAU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:10 · Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds, downed at the MTnSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior−12.1Home team on offense−1.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:36: Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 46 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +4.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:54: Brent Stockstill run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:02: Greg Joseph 45 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +5.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:59: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 62 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +17.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:12: Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down — FAU win probability +10.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:21MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:27FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:39MTSU 4th & 7 at FAU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:10MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:36MTSU 4th & 9 at FAU 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:00FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:01MTSU 4th & 3 at FAU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−2.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 1 at FAU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−2.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:02FAU 4th & 10 at MTSU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:59FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−2.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:42MTSU 4th & 1 at FAU 44, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    69.4%−4.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 12, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:11MTSU 4th & 7 at FAU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:13FAU 4th & 3 at MTSU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−3.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−15.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:31MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:51FAU 4th & 1 at MTSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−4.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−14.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:45FAU 4th & 11 at MTSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−2.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:59FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:43MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:36FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54MTSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:59MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
33.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 8 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
33.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
33.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
33.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (Steven Rhodes) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
33.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
33.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+18
35.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 18 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
35.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 36 Desmond Anderson fumbled, forced by Ocie Rose, recovered by FlAtl Ocie RoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:0736% → 38%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
35.7%
Trey Rodriguez run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
35.8%
Trey Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
38.1%
Nate Terry 20 Yd pass from Jaquez Johnson (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:1663% → 64%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
37.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
37.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
37.5%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
37.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
37.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Freedom WhitfieldSimilar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+2
37.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
36.2%
Richie James 69 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Cody Clark Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
36.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass intercepted Jamarcus Howard return for 17 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
35.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Cre'von LeBlancSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
36.1%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
36.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
36.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jenson Stoshak at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.0%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
37.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Ralph Leonard for 8 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
37.1%
Jason Driskel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 29 Jason Driskel fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jason DriskelSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
37.0%
Greg Howell run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
36.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Cavellis LuckettSimilar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:2163% → 63%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
37.0%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+8
36.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 8 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
36.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+19
36.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Sean Smith for 19 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
36.3%
Richie James run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
36.3%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for no gain to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
36.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
37.3%
Cody Clark 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3937% → 37%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
37.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
37.8%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
37.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
37.2%
Dalton Schomp punt for 59 yds, downed at the MTnSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
37.9%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-5
38.0%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 1 Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Brent StockstillSimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 12
OWN 1
0
38.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & 12
OWN 1
0
39.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds, downed at the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:1541% → 45%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
40.6%
Henry Bussey run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-10
40.7%
WARREN, Jay rush for no gain to the MT36 (WAFFORD, Trey), PENALTY FAU holding (MARSAILLE, Miki) 10 yards to the MT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+46
44.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 46 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
43.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
42.3%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
41.9%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to BATTIES, Ed (YOUNG, Jalen), PENALTY FAU offside (OGBONDA, S.) 5 yards to the FAU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
41.6%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
41.8%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
41.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
42.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
43.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 37 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
46.0%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 5
-1
45.9%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 4
+5
45.0%
Jaquez Johnson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 9
-4
44.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+8
44.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 48 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 8 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:4856% → 66%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
44.1%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
43.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+20
44.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 20 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
43.0%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+4
43.0%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
43.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 3 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
43.0%
Richie James run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 3 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Sean Smith) to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
34.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
39.2%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
39.3%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
38.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
38.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16END OF HALF
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:4465% → 63%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
35.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
35.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
36.6%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+27
37.4%
Shane Tucker run for 27 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17INT
12 plays · 50 yds · 0:0062% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
37.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
37.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
38.9%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to JAMES, Richie, PENALTY FAU pass interference (YOUNG, Jalen) 9 yards to the MT34, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
37.1%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
36.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+25
37.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 25 yds to the FLAATLANTC 38 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
35.4%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
34.4%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
35.4%
Richie James run for no gain to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
37.1%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+45
34.4%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Sharrod Neasman return for 45 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5244% → 49%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
43.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-3
43.6%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+20
40.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 20 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
44.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
44.8%
Marcus Clark run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 26
-2
43.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
49.0%
Greg Joseph 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0355% → 74%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.2%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
45.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 11 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
44.0%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+62
26.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 62 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
30.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
30.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 17 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
33.2%
Greg Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
31.9%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
30.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
29.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
27.0%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
27.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 9 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
26.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 23 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
24.3%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+8
24.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
24.0%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
25.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 41 yds, downed at the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2727% → 25%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
26.8%
Greg Howell run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
26.7%
Jeremy Gaskins run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 12
0
26.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Jamarcus HowardSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
25.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
21.4%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+8
21.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
20.6%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
20.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
21.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+4
22.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 4 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 75 yds · 0:0026% → 29%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
26.0%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
26.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+15
24.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+80
25.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 65 yds to the FLAATLANTC 5 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jenson Stoshak) to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
33.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q4 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
33.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Henry BusseySimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
30.9%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to STOSHAK, Jenson (WALKER, Xavier), PENALTY MT roughing passer (RHODES, Steven) 5 yards to the MT5, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
33.2%
Henry Bussey run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
33.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
31.2%
Greg Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
28.6%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 13 Jaquez Johnson fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jaquez Johnson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:1380% → 87%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
19.8%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
19.5%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.4%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
18.7%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
19.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
17.5%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
17.4%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-1
17.5%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+38
13.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 49 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 38 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 2:2723% → 13%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
23.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
25.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Nate Terry for 15 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
27.6%
Greg Howell run for no gain to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
26.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+9
23.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
23.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-8
27.6%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Cavellis Luckett and Steven Rhodes for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 18
OPP 26
+7
18.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
15.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin Solomon, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
12.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0794% → 95%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
5.7%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
5.5%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-3
5.5%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:59
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 62 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
-17.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:12
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST down
+10.3
TD · Q2 1:54
Brent Stockstill run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com