Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 24 at Middle Tennessee 27

MTSU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:06 · Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 94Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior+5.1Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential−0.7Time remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:15: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 13 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:45: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:06: Ryan Yurachek 15 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick) — MRSH win probability +39.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23 — MRSH win probability +17.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry Pettis — MTSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:45MTSU 4th & 1 at MRSH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23MTSU 4th & 6 at MRSH 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:05MRSH 4th & 12 at MTSU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:00MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06MTSU 4th & 17 at MTSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:16MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:18MRSH 4th & 9 at MTSU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:18MTSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−2.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:39MRSH 4th & 4 at MTSU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−1.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    44.7%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:45MRSH 4th & 24 at MRSH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−5.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:55MTSU 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−13.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 6 at MTSU 39, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−1.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:46MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:11MRSH 4th & 4 at MTSU 20, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%−0.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−6.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:11MTSU 4th & 9 at MRSH 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−1.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:32MRSH 4th & 9 at MTSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−7.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:32MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:34MTSU 4th & 9 at MTSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−15.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:23MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:15MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:45MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:06MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.4%−3.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
59.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 8 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
59.6%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
59.6%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
59.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+3
59.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
59.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
59.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
59.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
59.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 33 yds, downed at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
59.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
59.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
59.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+8
59.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 8 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+6
59.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 52 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 52 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
59.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 19 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
60.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
60.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
60.1%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
59.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
60.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 11 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
60.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
60.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
60.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 12 Desmond Anderson fumbled, forced by Steve Dillon, recovered by Marsh Devontre'a TylerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 4:1841% → 46%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
59.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+5
59.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
59.4%
Chase Litton run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
59.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
59.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
59.2%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+33
59.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 33 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
58.6%
Hyleck Foster pass complete to Justin Hunt for 30 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
58.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
58.6%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ALLEN, Davonte, PENALTY MT pass interference (MINTER, Michael) 1 yards to the MT2, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.6%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
55.5%
Richie James run for 27 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
56.8%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
56.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
56.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
55.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
54.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
54.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
54.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
54.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+24
54.0%
Remi Watson run for 24 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
53.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
53.5%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
53.9%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
54.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:3054% → 54%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
53.6%
Richie James run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+22
53.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 22 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
54.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 12 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
55.1%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
55.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
55.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Gary Thompson) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
55.7%
Desmond Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+24
55.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 24 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
55.7%
Desmond Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 8Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.3%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the Marsh 9 Jordan Parker fumbled, forced by Gary Thompson, recovered by Marsh Ryan BeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
51.5%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 8Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+12
51.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 12 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.1%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Marsh 20Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
51.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 8 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
50.6%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 29 Chase LittonSimilar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
51.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 1:5950% → 61%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
49.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 10 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
51.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+42
51.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 42 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
53.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
53.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Desmond AndersonSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-5
50.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+13
61.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 13 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10INT
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:0044% → 47%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
56.2%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+23
55.9%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Michael Minter) to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
54.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 16 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
53.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Michael Selby) to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+8
54.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-4
53.3%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+12
54.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 12 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
52.6%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
53.0%
Chase Litton pass intercepted T.T. Barber return for no gain to the MTnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0659% → 57%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
59.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 7 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+16
60.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 16 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
61.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-8
62.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Terry Pettis) to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+1
60.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-7
59.1%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
57.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
55.2%
Chase Litton run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
54.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre Reaves, broken up by Trey WaffordSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
55.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre Reaves, broken up by Xavier WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+3
57.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:2959% → 63%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
59.1%
Shane Tucker run for 18 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.0%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+21
61.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 21 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
63.1%
Austin Grammer pass intercepted Antavis Rowe return for 16 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
55.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 1:4245% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
55.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
54.2%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+38
55.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 38 yds to the MIDDLETENN 28 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
51.4%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
51.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
53.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
55.0%
Nick Smith 44 yd FG MISSED MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
59.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 20 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
62.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 12 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
62.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
63.5%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
62.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for no gain to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-2
60.5%
Desmond Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
54.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
53.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 7 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
52.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 6 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-10
51.9%
FOSTER, Hyleck rush for 3 yards to the MT46 (HALE, Chris), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (BYRD, Emanuel) 10 yards to the MARSHALL41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+2
54.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-5
55.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Jordan Dowrey) to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+20
56.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 20 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
52.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
51.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for no gain to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
51.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
54.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:4860% → 80%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+24
59.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 24 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.0%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+28
62.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 28 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
79.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
72.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 9 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
70.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Marsh Chase LittonSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 27
OWN 29
0
73.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre Reaves, broken up by Quay WattSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 27
OWN 29
+3
74.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 24
OWN 32
+26
75.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MIDDLETENN 27 MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tiquan Lang) to the MTnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20FG
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:1179% → 83%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
79.4%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+46
79.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 46 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
80.4%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
79.3%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
83.3%
Cody Clark 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:5520% → 18%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
79.8%
Emanuel Byrd pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Xavier WalkerSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
80.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 9 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
78.9%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
80.6%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
80.7%
Chase Litton run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
81.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
82.5%
Tyler Williams punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
84.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
84.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+5
83.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+15
82.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 39 , Deandre Reaves returns for 15 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0819% → 19%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
81.3%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+5
79.8%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
79.8%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+5
80.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Keion Davis for 5 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
81.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel Byrd, broken up by Quay WattSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
79.2%
Nick Smith 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
80.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Alexandro Antoine) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
85.0%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to JAMES, Richie, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (ROWE, Antavis) 11 yards to the MT24, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
85.3%
Richie James run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
85.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 23 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
87.5%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
87.5%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
86.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
85.7%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
84.8%
Brent Stockstill punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:1118% → 15%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
81.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 20 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
80.0%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 14
OPP 42
+13
79.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 13 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+3
75.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.3%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
78.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
77.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 11 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
77.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
78.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
84.6%
Nick Smith 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 88%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
90.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Antavis RoweSimilar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Antavis RoweSimilar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 35 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3417% → 60%
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
82.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 8 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+23
85.4%
Keion Davis run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
83.0%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Michael MinterSimilar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
81.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+10
82.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
80.5%
Chase Litton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
40.5%
Ryan Yurachek 15 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:3257% → 54%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.8%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
56.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Evan McKelveySimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
53.4%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+7
53.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 34 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29MISSED FG
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:1953% → 59%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
46.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 21 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+17
41.7%
Chase Litton run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Jeremy Cutrer) to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+32
41.3%
Nick Smith 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
58.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 31TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
40.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 32MISSED FG
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 44%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 7 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+1
40.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+8
42.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 8 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
40.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 14Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
40.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-7
41.8%
Chase Litton sacked by Chris Hale for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
0
46.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre Reaves, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
55.7%
Amoreto Curraj 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 33POSSESSION (FOR OT DRIVES)
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
84.6%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+7
84.6%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
84.6%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the Marsh 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
84.6%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 34MISSED FG TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0076% → 83%
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
76.4%
Davonte Allen 19 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Amoreto Curraj Kick)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+31
83.0%
Cody Clark 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 35FG
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-12
84.6%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 12 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 22
OPP 37
+8
75.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 8 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
83.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 36MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 12%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
75.8%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
76.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+8
84.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-5
85.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Ryan Yurachek) to the MTnSt 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
87.6%
Amoreto Curraj 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeremy Cutrer TEAM return for no gain to the MTnSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:06
Ryan Yurachek 15 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick)
-39.9
TD · OT 0:00
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23
-17.9
TD · Q3 4:45
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com