Try the model
UNT

North Texas 13 at Louisiana Tech 56

LT
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:34 · Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q1 4:18: TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards TEAM fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by LaTch Bryson Abraham , return for 26 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:01: Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:25: Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:57: Kenneth Dixon run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:53: Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:42UNT 4th & 12 at UNT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:18UNT 4th & 18 at LT 39, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:01UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:38LT 4th & 10 at UNT 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:38UNT 4th & 5 at LT 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:36LT 4th & 9 at LT 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:06LT 4th & 14 at UNT 36, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:25UNT 4th & 10 at midfield, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:57UNT 4th & 10 at LT 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:53UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 49, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:53UNT 4th & 7 at LT 45, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:56UNT 4th & 5 at LT 5, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:28UNT 4th & 6 at LT 14, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:01LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:01LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:25LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:57LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:53LT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:41LT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:56UNT Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:28UNT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:34LT Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
96.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
96.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
96.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 15 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
96.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+11
96.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 11 yds Marcus Gaines fumbled, forced by Fred Scott, recovered by NoTex Matthew DashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for 13 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
95.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+4
95.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 4 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
95.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
95.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+6
95.9%
Eric Keena punt for 43 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 6 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:3396% → 96%
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+55
95.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 55 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
95.6%
Boston Scott run for 9 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+5
95.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FUMBLE TD
10 plays · -5 yds · 3:435% → 4%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
95.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 24 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
95.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+13
95.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 13 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
95.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 8 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-2
95.3%
A.J. Ezzard run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 3
OPP 24
-15
95.3%
SMITH, DaMarcus rush for no gain to the LATECH24 (FARRIS, Russell), PENALTY NT personal foul (KIRBY, Kaydon) 15 yards to the LATECH39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 18
OPP 39
+26
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards TEAM fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by LaTch Bryson Abraham , return for 26 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:334% → 4%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-3
95.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 18 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, forced by Jaylon Ferguson, recovered by LaTch Beau FitteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:3696% → 97%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
96.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
97.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+13
97.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Chris Loving for 13 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
97.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
97.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Blake Macek punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8MISSED FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
96.9%
DIXON, Kenneth rush for 1 yard to the LATECH21 (GRAY, James), PENALTY LATECH holding (DUGAS, O'Shea) 9 yards to the LATECH11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 19
OWN 11
0
96.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+54
96.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 54 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
97.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 12 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Matthew DashSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth Dixon, broken up by Fred ScottSimilar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
97.1%
Jonathan Barnes 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
98.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28 Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, forced by Vontarrius Dora,Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
98.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 11 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
98.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 29 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
98.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 6 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
97.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:38
3RD & 4
OPP 26
-1
98.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 14:38
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
98.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
97.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
97.5%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 2
OWN 35
-15
97.5%
DIXON, Kenneth rush for no gain to the LATECH35 (MINOR, Calvin), PENALTY LATECH personal foul (DUGAS, O'Shea) 15 yards to the LATECH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+8
97.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 8 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+37
97.3%
Gerald Shouse punt for 46 yds , Tre Johnson returns for 37 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
97.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 7 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+9
96.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 9 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
96.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for a loss of 10 yards Jeffrey Wilson fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by LaTch Vontarrius DoraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:4198% → 99%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+14
97.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 14 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
97.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 17 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
97.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-8
97.8%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass complete to TURNER, Paul for 7 yards to the NT27 (DILONGA, Malik), PENALTY LATECH personal foul (ROBINSON, Josh) 8 yards to the NT42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+6
97.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
97.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:06
4TH & 14
OPP 36
+16
97.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 16 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
97.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 12 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.5%
Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 8 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.3%
DaMarcus Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
50
0
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Willy IverySimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
50
0
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 10
50
0
99.5%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 10
50
0
99.5%
Eric Keena punt, downed at the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:07100% → 100%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
99.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 10 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 6 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+18
99.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 18 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted, touchback. Zac Whitfield return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+30
99.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 30 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+17
99.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 17 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
98.9%
DaMarcus Smith sacked by Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 0
0
99.2%
SMITH, DaMarcus pass incomplete, QB hurry by FERGUSON, J., PENALTY LATECH offside defense off-setting, PENALTY NT intentional grounding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+20
99.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 20 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
98.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass intercepted Kentrell Brice return for 11 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 17 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+24
99.6%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Jareid Combs) to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:57
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Blake Macek punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:17100% → 100%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 4 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
99.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+52
99.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 52 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.7%
Carlos Henderson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
99.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+11
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jarrod Lynn for 1 yd to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 3 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Vontarrius DoraSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
99.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Willy IverySimilar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+11
99.8%
Blake Macek punt for 29 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 11 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Chad DavisSimilar
Q3 1:22
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+17
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 17 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+35
99.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 35 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 5 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 7 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Chris LovingSimilar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+36
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 36 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
99.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 9 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for 2 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Grant Childress for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the LaTch 32 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoTex Roderick YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 6 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+8
100.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by Aaron RobersonSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+14
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
100.0%
Blake Martin run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for 11 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+5
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Willy Ivery for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+14
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 14 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-14
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith sacked by Jordan Bradford for a loss of 14 yards to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 24
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 6 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:25
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 3:01
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+0.9
FUMBLE · Q1 4:18
TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards TEAM fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by LaTch Bryson Abraham , return for 26 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com