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CLT

Charlotte 31 at Florida International 48

FIU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:19 · Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+26.4Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:56: Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +6.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Blake Brewer 56 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +3.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:56: Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 36 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +3.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:11: Niko Gonzalez 58 Yd Interception Return (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:09: Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +3.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:09CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:24CLT 4th & 19 at CLT 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:52FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:16CLT 4th & 8 at FIU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:54FIU 4th & 4 at CLT 20, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:22CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:00FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 8 at FIU 39, down 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:56FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 45, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−2.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:36CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:55FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:11CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:02FIU 4th & 2 at CLT 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:02CLT 4th & 4 at FIU 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:02CLT 4th & 6 at FIU 11, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:49CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:56FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:49FIU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:56CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:11FIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:09CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:02FIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:54CLT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:5110% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.7%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
89.7%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 9 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
89.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
89.7%
Lee McNeill sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
89.5%
Arthur Hart punt blocked by Kenyatta Anderson blocked by Kenyatta Anderson Kenyatta Anderson return for no gain for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2011% → 12%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
89.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.4%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+10
89.4%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 10 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
89.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Richard Murphy for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-1
89.3%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+6
89.3%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36 Matt Johnson fumbled, forced by Vontarius West, recovered by Charl T.L. Ford for a 1ST down , return for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
89.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+29
87.8%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 29 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:2588% → 89%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+17
88.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 17 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
88.4%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
88.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
88.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
88.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 8 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-5
88.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
88.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
88.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
88.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
88.4%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
88.5%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
88.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.1%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
88.1%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
88.3%
Lee McNeill sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
88.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:4788% → 90%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.3%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 7
50
+36
88.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 36 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
88.5%
Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 2:3611% → 11%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
89.3%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
89.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Richard Murphy for 9 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
89.0%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Michael WakefieldSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
89.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
89.1%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Richard MurphySimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
89.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Justin Bolus for 13 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
88.9%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
88.9%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
89.2%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
89.5%
Blake Brewer 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7MISSED FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:2290% → 90%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
90.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+4
90.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
90.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
90.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
90.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
90.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 10 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
90.8%
Anthony Jones run for 15 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
90.8%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
90.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 20
0
90.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
90.0%
Austin Taylor 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
89.8%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
89.9%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to T.L. FordSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+19
90.0%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 19 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
89.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
89.6%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kalif Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
89.9%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
89.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
90.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
90.2%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+3
89.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Juwan Caesar for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+37
89.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-5
89.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.6%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Denzell PerineSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
89.7%
Lee McNeill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
90.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:0491% → 97%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton Taylor, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+20
90.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 20 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
90.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
90.5%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, PENALTY CHA pass interference (FLOYD, Desmond) 15 yards to the CHA49, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
91.0%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, PENALTY CHA pass interference (COVINGTON, A.) 15 yards to the CHA34, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
90.9%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
90.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
90.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 5 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
90.2%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
96.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.9%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:491% → 4%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
98.6%
Lee McNeill sacked by Lars Koht for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 31 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lars Koht) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
98.6%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 13 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.5%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Justin Bolus, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-7
98.5%
Lee McNeill sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+9
98.9%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Justin Bolus for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+56
95.7%
Blake Brewer 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.6%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
96.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
96.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Chris Miller) to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Tank NormanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:054% → 8%
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.8%
Austin Duke run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 4
50
+7
95.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
95.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Chris Montgomery for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
95.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+36
92.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 36 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.8%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
92.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 10 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
93.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 2 yds to the Charl 49 to Dennis Turner for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
93.2%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
92.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
92.5%
Chris Ayers punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.3%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
93.1%
Brooks Barden run for 5 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
93.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 15 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
92.8%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+4
93.2%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Andrew Buie for 4 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-7
93.0%
Brooks Barden sacked by Lars Koht for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 15
OWN 41
+4
93.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 42 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
95.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 12 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
95.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
95.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Shawn Abrams, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+2
94.8%
Chris Ayers punt for 28 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for 2 yds to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19INT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:526% → 2%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.2%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
94.2%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
94.2%
Brooks Barden sacked by Jephete Matilus for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+58
98.1%
Niko Gonzalez 58 Yd Interception Return (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
98.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
98.0%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
98.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
98.0%
Matt Johnson run for 7 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
97.9%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
98.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+40
98.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 40 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-10
98.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Juwan Caesar) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 14
OWN 48
-4
98.6%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Anthony Covington return for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:571% → 5%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
98.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.6%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+16
98.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
98.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
98.4%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Richard Murphy for 9 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.4%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
95.4%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 15 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:0797% → 99%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+13
97.1%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
97.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+13
97.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
97.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 11 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.0%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 2Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24TD
19 plays · 87 yds · 6:081% → 3%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
99.2%
Brooks Barden sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 10Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+15
99.2%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to BOSTICK, Trent, PENALTY FIU roughing passer (WAKEFIELD, Mike) 15 yards to the CHA25, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.1%
Brooks Barden run for 6 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
99.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.1%
Garrison Duncan run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+8
99.1%
Garrison Duncan run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
98.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-2
99.0%
Brooks Barden run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+16
99.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 16 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+3
99.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
99.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-5
99.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Nate Davis) to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+6
99.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Brooks Barden run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:2098% → 99%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
98.4%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
98.8%
Lamarq Caldwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+34
98.8%
Trey Anderson run for 34 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.9%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:56
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)
+6.7
TD · Q3 12:56
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 36 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
-3.5
TD · Q3 4:11
Niko Gonzalez 58 Yd Interception Return (Austin Taylor Kick)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com