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LT

Louisiana Tech 42 at Rice 17

RICE
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2015 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · James Farrimond punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−3.1Score differential−0.9Pregame prior−17.7Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:35: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +3.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:40: Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +5.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:59: Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:47: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:17: Hayden Tobola 40 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:53RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:26LT 4th & 8 at RICE 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:26LT 4th & 9 at LT 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:17RICE 4th & 13 at LT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:40RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:17RICE 4th & 16 at LT 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:17LT 4th & 10 at RICE 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:21RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 14, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 2 at LT 42, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:40RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 7, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:15LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:35RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:53LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:40LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:59LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:47LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:56LT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:52RICE Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
27.5%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-6
27.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
27.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
27.5%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:5872% → 72%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
28.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+12
28.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 12 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
28.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+47
27.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 47 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4028% → 32%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.1%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
28.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
28.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 12 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+33
28.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 33 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
28.6%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+16
28.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 16 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
28.6%
Samuel Stewart run for 8 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
31.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 4 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:4270% → 72%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
30.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+4
30.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+21
30.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 21 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
29.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
27.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
28.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-9
28.8%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 25 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Temi Alaka) to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 19
OWN 15
0
28.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Samuel StewartSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 19
OWN 15
+3
28.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
28.3%
James Farrimond punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
27.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-5
27.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal procedure (Trent Taylor) to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
27.9%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-3
28.1%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Derek Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
28.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:0929% → 28%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
28.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 4 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
28.9%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+15
28.7%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Zach (WOODS, Xavier), PENALTY LATECH pass interference (WOODS, Xavier) 15 yards to the RICE30, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
29.3%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
29.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
28.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
28.3%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3472% → 70%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.5%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
28.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
29.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
30.4%
Gerald Shouse punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
30.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+18
30.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 18 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
31.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
31.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 10 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
31.8%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 15
50
+5
30.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
31.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-3
30.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Vernon Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
29.7%
James Farrimond punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:5170% → 79%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
30.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+26
29.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 26 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
28.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
26.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 9 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
26.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 8 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (JT Ibe) to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
26.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 16 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
26.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 2Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
26.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
26.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (JT Ibe) to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
22.0%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
21.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Vernon ButlerSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
21.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 14
OWN 20
0
21.5%
James Farrimond punt for 69 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 1:3777% → 90%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
23.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 15 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+63
22.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 63 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
21.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
10.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
14.6%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
14.5%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1390% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+24
10.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 24 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
9.6%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Alex Lyons for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+15
9.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
9.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
9.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
9.9%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Trent, PENALTY RICE offside (ABERCRUMBIA, Za) 5 yards to the RICE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
3.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:305% → 1%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
5.2%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+5
5.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
4.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 10 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
5.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 2
50
+3
5.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
5.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
5.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+13
5.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 13 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
6.2%
Darik Dillard run for 13 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
6.1%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
6.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-7
5.7%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Bryson Abraham for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 16
OPP 22
+40
1.0%
Hayden Tobola 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
0.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 25 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
0.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
0.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
1.0%
Gerald Shouse punt for 31 yds, downed at the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
0.9%
JACKSON, Driphu pass complete to WALTER, Austin for 7 yards to the RICE19, out-of-bounds, PENALTY RICE illegal shift 5 yards to the RICE7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+4
0.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Austin Walter for 4 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
0.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-5
0.9%
JACKSON, Driphu pass complete to WRIGHT, Zach for 19 yards to the RICE30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY RICE pass interference (WRIGHT, Zach) 5 yards to the RICE6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+8
0.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 8 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
0.9%
James Farrimond punt for 52 yds , Marcus Gaines returns for no gain to the LaTch 34 Marcus Gaines fumbled, recovered by LaTch Trent TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:59100% → 99%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
0.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
0.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
0.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
0.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 56 yds, downed at the Rice 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
0.5%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+6
0.5%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
0.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 5
OWN 7
+1
0.5%
James Farrimond punt for 46 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 1 yd to the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+22
0.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 22 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
0.4%
Jarred Craft run for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
0.4%
Ricky Jones run for 5 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.4%
Ricky Jones run for no gain to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
0.4%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
0.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:040% → 0%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
0.2%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-11
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 4 yds to the Rice 36 RICE Penalty, personal foul (Peter Godber) to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
0.2%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+6
0.2%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 6 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+17
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 17 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 29 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 15 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
0.1%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.1%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
0.1%
Boston Scott run for 15 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
0.1%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+5
0.1%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
0.1%
Boston Scott run for no gain to the Rice 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:59
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q2 3:40
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-5.9
FG · Q3 5:17
Hayden Tobola 40 yd FG GOOD
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com