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MRSH

Marshall 34 at Charlotte 10

CLT
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:34 · Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Charl 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense−42.9Pregame prior−19.2Score differential−22.3Garbage-time factor−11.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:30: Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 66 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:27: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:21: Blake Brewer 34 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:59: Nick Smith 32 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +1.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:29: Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +1.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05CLT 4th & 5 at MRSH 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:30CLT 4th & 11 at CLT 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:06MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:06CLT 4th & 4 at MRSH 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.3%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:27CLT 4th & 4 at MRSH 46, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:21CLT 4th & 11 at MRSH 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:21MRSH 4th & 2 at CLT 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:59MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 15, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:04MRSH 4th & 7 at CLT 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:04CLT 4th & 6 at MRSH 37, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:39MRSH 4th & 14 at CLT 19, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:34MRSH 4th & 2 at CLT 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:52CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at CLT 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:01MRSH 4th & 16 at CLT 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:46MRSH 4th & 5 at midfield, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:48CLT 4th & 6 at MRSH 20, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:51MRSH 4th & 5 at CLT 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:13CLT 4th & 11 at MRSH 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:05MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:30MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:27MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:12MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:29CLT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
9.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
9.4%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
9.4%
Lee McNeill sacked by Jarquez Samuel for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
9.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:1490% → 90%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
10.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 43 yds to the CHARLOTTE 16 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
9.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+3
9.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
10.0%
Remi Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
10.1%
Austin Duke run for 9 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
10.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 8 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
10.2%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+13
10.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 13 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
10.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
10.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
10.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-4
10.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Danny Book) to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
10.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, downed at the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 2:4089% → 90%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
10.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
10.9%
Chase Litton run for 2 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+8
11.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
10.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
10.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+8
10.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 8 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
10.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 10 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
10.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+66
10.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 66 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
10.5%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Trent Bostick for 12 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
10.5%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
10.5%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Taj LetmanSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
10.4%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Kalif PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
10.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, downed at the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
10.1%
Remi Watson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
10.0%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
10.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
10.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
10.8%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
10.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 6 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
11.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
10.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
50
0
11.2%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Armonze DanielSimilar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
50
+6
11.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Chris Montgomery for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
11.2%
Lee McNeill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
11.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds, downed at the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:2789% → 93%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
10.6%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to REAVES, Deandre for 17 yards to the MAR20 (PEARSON, Devin), PENALTY MAR illegal block (BINOT, Fedrice) 1 yards to the MAR2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+35
10.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 35 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
10.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
10.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+6
10.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 6 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+3
10.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
10.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+28
10.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 28 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
10.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
6.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
7.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 9 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
8.2%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
8.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Jarquez Samuel) to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
8.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
50
+4
8.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
8.2%
Lee McNeill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
8.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:1093% → 94%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
6.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 10 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
6.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+41
7.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 41 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
6.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel ByrdSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
6.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 12 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
6.6%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+9
6.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 9 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.3%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 3:514% → 3%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
4.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 16 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
4.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
4.5%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 8 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
4.7%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 9 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
4.5%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
4.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
4.9%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
4.7%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Evan McKelveySimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
4.5%
MCNEILL, Lee pass incomplete to FORD II, T.L. (TINDAL, Corey), PENALTY MAR offside (SAMUEL, Jarquez) 5 yards to the MAR29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
4.5%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Chris MontgomerySimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+14
4.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Rodney Allen) to the Marsh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
4.9%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
4.8%
Lee McNeill sacked by Steve Dillon for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
4.5%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
3.0%
Blake Brewer 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 4:2296% → 95%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
3.7%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
3.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
3.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 7 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Covington) to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
3.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
2.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-5
3.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sandley Jean-Felix) to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
3.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+3
3.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
3.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
3.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-5
2.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sandley Jean-Felix) to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
3.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+6
3.6%
Chase Litton run for 6 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
5.5%
Nick Smith 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.2%
Lee McNeill pass complete to T.L. Ford for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-3
2.0%
Lee McNeill sacked by Keith Baxter for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+17
1.9%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Justin Bolus for 17 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-11
1.7%
Lee McNeill sacked by D.J. Hunter for a loss of 11 yards to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 1:5696% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
3.9%
Remi Watson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
3.5%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
3.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 22 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
3.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 20 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
3.6%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
3.6%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
3.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Terrance WinchesterSimilar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
3.5%
Nick Smith 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
3.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 13 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
3.5%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
3.1%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 4 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
3.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
3.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
3.7%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
3.7%
MCNEILL, Lee pass incomplete to DUKE, Austin, PENALTY MAR offside (BEE, Ryan) 5 yards to the MAR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
3.5%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
4.0%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-1
3.6%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
3.5%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Antavis RoweSimilar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
3.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16MISSED FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 4:0998% → 98%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
2.5%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ALLEN, Davonte, PENALTY CHA pass interference (NORMAN, Tank) 15 yards to the MAR24, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
2.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Sebastian Johansson) to the Marsh 19Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+17
2.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 17 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
2.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+17
2.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 17 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
2.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+14
2.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 14 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
2.2%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
2.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-5
2.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Michael Selby) to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+16
2.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 16 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
2.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 14
OPP 19
-5
2.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Fedrice Binot) to the Charl 24Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 19
OPP 24
0
2.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin Hunt, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 19
OPP 24
+5
2.3%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to HUNT, Justin (HOLMES, Ardy), PENALTY CHA offside (BANKS, Brandon) 5 yards to the CHA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 14
OPP 19
0
2.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+36
1.8%
Nick Smith 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
2.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 4 yds Austin Duke fumbled, forced by Blake Keller, recovered by Marsh Keith BaxterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-15
1.4%
LITTON, Chase sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CHA30 (CLAYTON-MOLBY,C;DUNCAN, Zach), PENALTY MAR personal foul 15 yards to the CHA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 25
OPP 39
+8
1.4%
Keion Davis run for 8 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 17
OPP 31
0
1.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Emanuel Byrd, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+15
1.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 15 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+1
1.5%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
1.4%
Lee McNeill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
1.3%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Kyle HoffmanSimilar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
1.3%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Justin Bolus, broken up by Taj LetmanSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
1.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20FG
16 plays · 29 yds · 5:0999% → 100%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
50
0
1.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
50
0
1.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 10
50
+14
1.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 14 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
1.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
1.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 5 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+3
1.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 3 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
1.5%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
1.5%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
1.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 3 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
0.6%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
0.5%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
0.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Najee TuckerSimilar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-15
0.3%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to REAVES, Deandre for 13 yards to the CHA0, clock 13:42, PENALTY MAR illegal use of hands (JEAN-FELIX, S.) 15 yards to the CHA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 23
OPP 28
+7
0.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Remi Watson for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+39
0.4%
Nick Smith 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
0.3%
Lee McNeill pass intercepted Corey Tindal return for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
0.4%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Raylen Elzy for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 5
50
0
0.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Raylen ElzySimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 5
50
+10
0.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 35 yds , Ardy Holmes returns for 10 yds to the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:190% → 1%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 10 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
0.3%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 7
50
+2
0.3%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+14
0.3%
Matt Johnson run for 14 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
0.3%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+4
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-7
0.3%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+3
0.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Austin Duke for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+14
0.3%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Andrew Buie for 14 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3899% → 99%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
0.6%
Keion Davis run for 13 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
0.5%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
0.5%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
0.5%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Raylen Elzy for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-1
0.5%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
0.5%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Raylen Elzy, broken up by Terrance WinchesterSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
0.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
0.8%
Bradan Smith run for 17 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
0.9%
Bradan Smith run for 26 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Antavis Rowe) to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
1.2%
Bradan Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 14
OPP 15
-2
1.0%
Bradan Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 17Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 16
OPP 17
+5
0.7%
Chris Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 11
OPP 12
0
0.7%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
0.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:27
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
-3.4
FG · Q2 0:59
Nick Smith 32 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
FG · Q2 5:21
Blake Brewer 34 yd FG GOOD
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com