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FAU

Florida Atlantic 17 at UTEP 27

UTEP
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:49 · Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Cre'von LeBlanc
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior−11.1Home team on offense−2.1Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score differential−1.1Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:54: Greg Howell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +10.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:28: Jaquan White 17 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +10.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:56: Trey Rodriguez 38 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick) — FAU win probability +9.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:31: Tyler Batson 30 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +18.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:08: Jay Mattox 35 Yd Field Goal — UTEP win probability +11.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 9FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17UTEP 4th & 2 at FAU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18UTEP 4th & 6 at FAU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45FAU 4th & 4 at UTEP 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:45UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:07FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 15, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:49UTEP 4th & 10 at FAU 36, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:28FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:08UTEP 4th & 7 at FAU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−14.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:49FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:32UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.5%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:01UTEP 4th & 12 at FAU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−4.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:59UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:54FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:28UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:56FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:31UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.5%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
29.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 13 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
29.5%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+8
29.5%
Jay Warren run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
29.5%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-1
29.5%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
31.1%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-1
31.1%
LaQuintus Dowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+3
31.1%
Mack Leftwich run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
30.9%
Mack Leftwich punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 91 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
31.8%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+10
31.7%
JOHNSON, Jaquez deep pass intercepted by USHER, Nick at the FAU28, USHER, Nick return to the FAU28, PENALTY UTEP holding (BEVERLY, Kalon) 10 yards to the FAU21, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
31.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 10 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
31.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
31.4%
HOWELL, Greg rush over left guard for 4 yards to the FAU41 (USHER, Nick;JONES, Alvin), PENALTY UTEP offside defense (BEVERLY, Kalon) 5 yards to the FAU42, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
31.4%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+55
31.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 55 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
31.1%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
31.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds Jaquez Johnson fumbled, recovered by UTEP Dashone SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0534% → 37%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
33.4%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+76
37.4%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Tyler Batson for 76 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
37.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
37.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
37.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tony Thomas for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
38.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:1940% → 42%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
39.8%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+13
39.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 13 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
40.0%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
40.0%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
39.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
40.1%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Jake StoshakSimilar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-6
40.1%
Mack Leftwich sacked by Nick Internicola for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 37 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 37
+10
41.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 10 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
42.4%
Jay Mattox 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3358% → 61%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+59
41.7%
Trey Rodriguez run for 59 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
39.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
39.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+3
40.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
38.6%
Greg Joseph 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
39.5%
Darrin Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
39.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
38.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 12 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
40.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+8
39.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 8 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+6
39.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 6 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
39.4%
Alan Luna punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
41.8%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 7
-1
42.0%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+9
42.8%
Jaquez Johnson run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
43.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 76 yds , Jaquan White returns for no gain to the UTEP 3 Jaquan White fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jenson StoshakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.5%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2636% → 50%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
37.0%
LaQuintus Dowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+37
35.2%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Tyler Batson for 37 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
39.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
39.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
49.7%
Jaquan White 17 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2357% → 67%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
43.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 12 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
42.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
42.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+38
32.9%
Trey Rodriguez 38 Yd Run (Greg Joseph Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:0737% → 35%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Azeez Al-ShaairSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
36.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
36.3%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
37.1%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+28
35.9%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cole Freytag for 28 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
39.3%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
39.2%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
38.1%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jeremiah Laufasa, broken up by Nick InternicolaSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
35.3%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Cre'von LeBlancSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1867% → 66%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
33.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 61 yds to the UTEP 3 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-54 Yards) to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 3
OWN 43
-6
31.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
34.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
37.4%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Sterling Napier for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
37.3%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+19
36.1%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 4 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
40.0%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Hayden Plinke) to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+5
37.4%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
38.5%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
37.4%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
36.0%
Alan Luna punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
36.9%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
36.2%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
37.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+2
39.0%
Dalton Schomp punt for 53 yds , Daniel Siller returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 4:4638% → 62%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
37.7%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Warren Redix for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+18
37.5%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 18 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
40.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
40.6%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jaquan White for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
50
+4
40.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
41.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
43.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
43.1%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+30
62.0%
Tyler Batson 30 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18INT
14 plays · 67 yds · 0:0043% → 50%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.0%
Henry Bussey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
58.2%
JOHNSON, Jaquez deep pass incomplete to BUSSEY, Henry, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (HARRISON, I.) 10 yards to the FAU36, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
55.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Kelly Parfitt) to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+8
56.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 8 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
54.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
54.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
52.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
53.8%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+9
54.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 9 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+33
52.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 33 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
50.2%
Marcus Clark run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
50.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass intercepted Nik Needham return for 27 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:4163% → 65%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
63.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+15
63.2%
LEFTWICH, Mack deep pass incomplete to GOLDEN, Autrey, PENALTY FAU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Raekw) 15 yards to the UTEP46, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.9%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+30
62.2%
Alan Luna punt for 30 yds , Cre'von LeBlanc returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 20 Cre'von LeBlanc fumbled, recovered by UTEP LaQuintus DowellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
65.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
64.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4969% → 80%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
69.3%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
69.3%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
67.7%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Cedrick Lang, broken up by Jalen YoungSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
79.5%
Jay Mattox 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:1926% → 20%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
74.5%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Silas Firstley for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+2
75.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
79.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+56
80.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 56 yds , Daniel Siller returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 7:3183% → 93%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
82.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 12 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
84.5%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
83.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
82.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.7%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
84.3%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Cole Freytag) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
82.8%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+25
82.1%
Mack Leftwich pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 10 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Azeez Al-Shaair) to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
84.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
85.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+8
84.6%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
85.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
85.2%
Mack Leftwich pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+1
83.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
92.5%
Jay Mattox 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:226% → 5%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+22
94.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 22 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
93.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 16 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+10
92.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 10 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
94.6%
Greg Joseph 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4495% → 96%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
94.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
95.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:31
Tyler Batson 30 Yd pass from Mack Leftwich (Jay Mattox Kick)
+18.9
FG · Q4 13:08
Jay Mattox 35 Yd Field Goal
+11.8
TD · Q2 6:54
Greg Howell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com