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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 16 at Louisiana Tech 45

LT
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:50 · Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 51Home team on offense+2.1Pregame prior+14.1Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:09: Ed'Marques Batties 4 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Cody Clark Kick) — MTSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:54: Carlos Henderson 55 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +4.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:12: Kenneth Dixon 15 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +7.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:45: Bryson Abraham 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +6.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:25: Kenneth Dixon 35 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +6.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MTSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 3 at MTSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49MTSU 4th & 19 at MTSU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 14 at LT 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:50MTSU 4th & 1 at LT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.9
    70% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:12MTSU 4th & 6 at LT 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:25MTSU 4th & 10 at LT 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−0.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:58LT 4th & 4 at MTSU 17, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:58MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:30LT 4th & 12 at MTSU 46, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 15, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:51LT 4th & 8 at MTSU 39, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:00MTSU 4th & 4 at LT 46, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.7
    23% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:46LT 4th & 21 at MTSU 43, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:52LT 4th & 1 at MTSU 11, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:49LT 4th & 7 at MTSU 7, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:49MTSU 4th & 14 at LT 32, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:51LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:09MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:54LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:12LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:45LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:25LT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:24LT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:13MTSU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
68.9%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
68.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+27
68.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 27 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
68.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for no gain to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
68.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
68.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
68.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
68.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
68.5%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
68.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Derek BarnesSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+13
68.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 51 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:0469% → 71%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
50
0
68.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
50
+40
68.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 40 yds to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
68.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:4231% → 34%
Q1 9:51
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+11
69.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 11 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
69.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+17
69.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 17 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
69.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
69.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
69.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for no gain to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
69.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+21
69.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 21 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
69.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
69.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
66.3%
Ed'Marques Batties 4 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Cody Clark Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1567% → 72%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
67.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 15 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
71.8%
Carlos Henderson 55 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:0529% → 28%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
70.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 17 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
70.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 3 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
69.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
69.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-9
70.8%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 47 Brent Stockstill fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
71.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5172% → 71%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
71.9%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Jeremy Cutrer for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
71.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-5
71.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+7
71.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+14
71.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 30 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 14 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:3830% → 31%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
69.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 4 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+1
69.8%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
70.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+1
71.0%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
69.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 19 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
69.8%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
69.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
70.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
68.7%
Cody Clark 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0069% → 78%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
69.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+28
70.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 28 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
70.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Peter Bailey) to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
78.1%
Kenneth Dixon 15 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10INT TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:1924% → 17%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
76.5%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+33
76.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 33 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
82.7%
Bryson Abraham 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
82.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
83.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 9 yds Derek Barnes fumbled, forced by Adairius Barnes, recovered by LaTch Adairius BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
89.9%
Kenneth Dixon 35 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0016% → 19%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
83.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 16 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Vernon Butler) to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
80.2%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-14
80.2%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 14 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 23
OWN 43
+18
82.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 18 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 5
OPP 39
-5
80.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
81.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5893% → 94%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
92.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+13
92.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
92.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 8 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.7%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+13
92.5%
Ryan Higgins run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
93.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 21 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
93.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 6 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
93.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Kameron McKnightSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
94.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
94.4%
Jonathan Barnes 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
87.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+12
86.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Christian CollisSimilar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
86.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
87.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16INT
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
93.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 9 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+13
93.5%
Desmond Anderson run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
93.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+15
93.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
93.4%
Kamani Thomas run for 13 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
92.8%
STOCKSTILL, B. rush for 11 yards to the LATECH16, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MT clipping (JAMES, Richie) 1 yards to the LATECH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 9
OPP 26
+25
92.8%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Beau Fitte return for 25 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
96.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Daniel Stephens) to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
96.9%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete, PENALTY LATECH holding (ROBINSON, Josh) 10 yards to the LATECH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 20
OWN 46
0
96.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 20
OWN 46
-9
96.9%
Jeff Driskel sacked by T.T. Barber for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 29
OWN 37
+17
96.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 17 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
96.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
96.4%
Kamani Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Christian Collis, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+3
96.6%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+13
97.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 13 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Jarred Craft for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnight, broken up by Dontavious HeardSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
97.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+24
97.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 24 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.4%
Kamani Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 8
50
+4
97.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+3
97.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
98.9%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+8
98.9%
Jeff Driskel run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
98.9%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass complete to MCKNIGHT, K. for 4 yards to the MT28 (CUTRER, Jeremy), PENALTY LATECH holding (ROBINSON, Josh) 6 yards to the MT38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 16
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marlon WattsSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 16
OPP 38
-2
98.9%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 18
OPP 40
-3
98.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 21
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 3 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+1
98.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
98.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaTch 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:3399% → 100%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
99.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
99.3%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense (Steven Rhodes) to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+37
99.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 37 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnight, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Christian CollisSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+30
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 30 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Christian CollisSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+26
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 26 yds to the LATECH 27 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 27 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25FG
16 plays · 48 yds · 7:24100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
50
+3
99.7%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+17
99.7%
Boston Scott run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.7%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+1
99.7%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+7
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alex WoodallSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.8%
Blake Martin run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Blake Martin run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+1
99.8%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Grant ChildressSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.8%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Jonathan Barnes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 13 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Christian Collis, broken up by Trey SpencerSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 14 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 6 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-10
99.9%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Immanuel Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 14
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Sean SmithSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 7 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:12
Kenneth Dixon 15 Yd Run (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+7.2
TD · Q2 7:25
Kenneth Dixon 35 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+6.8
TD · Q2 8:45
Bryson Abraham 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com