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WKU

Western Kentucky 55 at North Texas 28

UNT
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2015 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1UNT 9.2%Garrett Schwettman 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 7 · Q2 6:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:48 · Garrett Schwettman 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior−38.6Home team on offense−7.5Score differential−4.1Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:04: DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +3.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:10: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 56 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:52: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 31 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +1.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 46 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:01: Anthony Wales run for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +2.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:36UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:12UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 9 at UNT 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01UNT 4th & 2 at WKU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:48WKU 4th & 2 at UNT 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:48UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:28WKU 4th & 5 at UNT 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:10UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 48, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 40, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:01UNT 4th & 11 at WKU 43, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:34WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 34, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:12WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:01WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:04UNT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:10WKU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52WKU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00UNT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:01WKU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:44WKU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:23WKU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:34UNT Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:29UNT Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.7%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
4.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
4.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-2
4.7%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 25 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Nate Brooks) to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
5.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
5.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-2
5.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
5.1%
Eric Keena punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0195% → 94%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
5.5%
Nicholas Norris run for 12 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
5.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+18
5.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 18 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
5.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
5.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
5.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 3 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
5.7%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+7
5.7%
Eric Keena punt for 46 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 7 yds to the WKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:0894% → 94%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
5.9%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
5.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
5.8%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Jamal MarshallSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
5.8%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+6
5.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 6 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
5.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+18
5.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 18 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
5.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 18 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
5.9%
DaMarcus Smith run for 15 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
6.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+5
6.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 6
OWN 27
-5
6.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Michael Banogu) to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+12
5.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 12 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
6.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
6.0%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
5.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+2
5.9%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 2 yds to the WKent 36 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7INT
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:3294% → 94%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
6.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
6.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
6.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 9 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
6.1%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
6.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 4 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+18
6.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 18 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
6.2%
Nacarius Fant run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+5
6.2%
Anthony Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-5
6.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
6.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+6
6.4%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Zac Whitfield return for 6 yds to the NoTex 43 Zac Whitfield fumbled, forced by Jared Dangerfield, recovered by NoTex Fred Scott , return for 17 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:577% → 11%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
7.3%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 14 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
7.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
7.4%
DaMarcus Smith run for 8 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
7.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+15
7.3%
DaMarcus Smith run for 15 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
10.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:1691% → 91%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
9.1%
Anthony Wales run for 12 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
8.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
8.7%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
8.8%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
8.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive holding (Jamal Marshall) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
8.7%
Darmontre Warr run for 16 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
8.7%
Darmontre Warr run for 1 yd to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-1
8.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 16Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-15
8.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Nicholas Norris) to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 25
OPP 31
+23
9.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 23 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
9.2%
Garrett Schwettman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
9.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
9.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
8.8%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
8.6%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:4591% → 91%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
9.2%
Anthony Wales run for 32 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
8.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 1 yd to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+4
8.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
9.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
8.8%
Garrett Schwettman 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
DaMarcus Smith pass intercepted Marcus Ward return for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
1 play · 56 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
4.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 56 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
5.6%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
5.5%
DaMarcus Smith run for 12 yds to the NoTex 46 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, forced by Wonderful Terry, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
5.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
5.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 48 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
5.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
5.7%
Eric Keena punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 1:3395% → 97%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
4.7%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
4.6%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+30
4.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 30 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
4.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
4.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+7
4.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Darmontre Warr for 7 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
3.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 31 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 0:523% → 5%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
2.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
2.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 14 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
1.9%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 12 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
5.4%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 46 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
5.6%
Carlos Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 32
-16
5.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the NoTex 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 29
OWN 16
+24
5.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 24 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
5.6%
Blake Macek punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:4995% → 98%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
4.6%
Anthony Wales run for 17 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
4.3%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+17
4.2%
Anthony Wales run for 17 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
4.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 19 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
4.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (Sir Calvin Wallace) to the NoTex 6Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 5
OPP 6
-2
4.2%
Anthony Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 8Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
1.6%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
1.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 15 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
2.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Turner Smiley for 7 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
2.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
2.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
2.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-1
2.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
2.1%
Blake Macek punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:3199% → 100%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
1.5%
Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
1.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 31 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
1.4%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+14
1.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+21
1.4%
Anthony Wales run for 21 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
1.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 6Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
1.3%
Brandon Doughty run for 5 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
1.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to O'Keeron Rutherford for 5 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
1.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+8
1.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
1.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to O'Keeron RutherfordSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+27
1.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 27 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
1.3%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Evan SaynerSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
1.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 12 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
1.3%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 12 DaMarcus Smith fumbled, recovered by WKent Tj McCollumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:57100% → 100%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
0.5%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+14
0.5%
Kylen Towner run for 14 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
0.4%
Anthony Davis run for 7 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+8
0.4%
Darmontre Warr run for 8 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
0.4%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Darmontre Warr for 9 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
0.4%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.4%
Nelson Fishback pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
0.4%
Darmontre Warr run for 3 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+16
0.4%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 16 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
0.4%
Kylen Towner run for 12 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
0.4%
Anthony Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 18
+7
0.4%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 7 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+8
0.4%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Tim Gorski for 8 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 4:490% → 0%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Marcus Smith for 2 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 9 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
0.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith run for 9 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+23
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 23 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 7 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
0.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (3 Yards) to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
0.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
0.2%
Carlos Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Drew Eckels run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
0.2%
Drew Eckels sacked by Calvin Minor for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
0.2%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 10 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Jake Collins punt for 59 yds, downed at the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass incomplete to D'Aundrey BradleySimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+33
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for 33 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+18
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 18 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+24
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 24 yds to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
0.1%
DaMarcus Smith run for no gain to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+5
0.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (Kalvin Robinson) to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
0.2%
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Carlos Harris for 14 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Darmontre Warr run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:10
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 56 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q2 0:00
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 46 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 11:04
DaMarcus Smith pass complete to Tee Goree for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com