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FIU

Florida International 34 at Middle Tennessee 42

MTSU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:14 · Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense+8.8Garbage-time factor+1.6Score differential+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Time remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:14: Desmond Anderson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:05: Kamani Thomas run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:39: Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Alex McGough pass to Jonnu Smith for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +7.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:00: Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:59: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +9.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:42FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:05MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 30, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:14FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 45, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 22 at MTSU 23, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:38FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 4, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:38MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 18, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:15FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 34, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−3.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:53FIU 4th & 10 at MTSU 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:39FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−6.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:59MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 42, up 8
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:16FIU 4th & 13 at MTSU 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:09MTSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:54MTSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:49FIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:42MTSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:14MTSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:05MTSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:39FIU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:00MTSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:59FIU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
70.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 12 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
70.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
70.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
70.3%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
70.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+40
70.1%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Richard Leonard return for 40 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2230% → 31%
Q1 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
69.7%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
69.4%
Austin Taylor 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:2170% → 71%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
69.6%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Sean Smith for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+25
69.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 25 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
69.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+7
70.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
70.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
70.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 10 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
70.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+5
70.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
69.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Jaylen Hunter) to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+9
69.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
70.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.0%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:0530% → 35%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
69.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
69.2%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+9
69.3%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
69.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 11 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Quay Watt) to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
68.7%
Alex Gardner run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
68.7%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Denzell PerineSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:1067% → 70%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
67.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
67.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+7
67.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
68.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+16
68.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
68.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+20
68.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 20 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
68.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
68.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
68.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.8%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.4%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:0532% → 39%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
68.9%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to SMITH, Jonnu, PENALTY MT pass interference (WATT, Quay) 15 yards to the MT45, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
67.6%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
67.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
67.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
67.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 8 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+25
66.8%
Alex Gardner run for 25 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:0765% → 74%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+46
65.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 46 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
68.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+15
73.8%
Kamani Thomas run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
68.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
68.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 8
50
-8
68.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Shaquille Huff for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
70.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
71.8%
Desmond Anderson run for no gain to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
71.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Austin GrammerSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+9
70.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 9 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
70.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 38 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for no gain to the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
69.3%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
68.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Jamarcus HowardSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
67.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 14 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
66.4%
McGOUGH, Alex pass complete to OWENS, Thomas for 32 yards to the MT2 (MINTER, Michael), PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the MT44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+6
68.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 6 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+7
68.5%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Michael Minter return for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2272% → 84%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
72.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
73.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+42
73.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 42 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
84.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
81.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 11 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
80.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
80.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Alex DaleSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
80.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 45
-4
81.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
83.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
82.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 14 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
83.0%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to JAMES, Richie for 7 yards to the MT42 (WEST, Vontarius), PENALTY MT personal foul (PETTIS, Terry) 15 yards to the MT20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+5
82.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Mark BrunoSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 25
-2
82.1%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 23
+2
81.5%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:1519% → 20%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
81.3%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
81.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
80.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
80.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
80.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 27 yds to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
79.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
79.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+5
80.0%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
79.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
79.0%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to DAN-FODIO, Akil, PENALTY MT holding (HOWARD, J.) 2 yards to the MT2, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Akil Dan-Fodio, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
79.0%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Trey WaffordSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
79.7%
Austin Taylor 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
80.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 2 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
80.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
80.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
79.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
80.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+2
80.9%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-10
81.1%
McGOUGH, Alex pass complete to OWENS, Thomas for 12 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the FIU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+6
82.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
82.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5083% → 94%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
82.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Derek BarnesSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
82.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Derek Barnes for 7 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
82.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 8 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
84.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
84.3%
Desmond Anderson run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
84.4%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+9
84.7%
Kamani Thomas run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Richard LeonardSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.0%
Kamani Thomas run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:129% → 9%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
90.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 16 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
89.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Shawn AbramsSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
90.0%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
90.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Akil Dan-FodioSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
91.5%
Austin Taylor 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
93.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
93.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28 Kamani Thomas fumbled, forced by Jeremiah McKinnon, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:4010% → 17%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
89.9%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
89.9%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+8
90.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 8 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
89.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 10 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
89.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.9%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.7%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.9%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Alex McGough pass to Jonnu Smith for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:3989% → 96%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
88.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 29 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
89.4%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
89.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+26
88.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 26 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 2:016% → 16%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
94.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
94.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+8
94.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
94.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 14 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
94.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 11 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 19 yds to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
83.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
89.5%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
89.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
90.1%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+4
89.8%
Desmond Anderson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+13
89.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 29 , Richard Leonard returns for 13 yds to the FlaIn 29 Richard Leonard fumbled, forced by Alex Dale, recovered by FlaInSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:5411% → 8%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
88.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+13
89.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
87.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+11
86.2%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-14
85.8%
Alex McGough sacked by Patrick McNeil and Chris Hale for a loss of 14 yards to the MIDDLETENN 46 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, intentional grounding (Alex McGough) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 24
OWN 46
0
89.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+11
89.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 11 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
92.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-5
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:14
Desmond Anderson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q3 1:05
Kamani Thomas run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q4 6:59
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 10 yds for a TD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com