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MRSH

Marshall 33 at Florida Atlantic 17

FAU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.9FAU 6.4%Nick Smith 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 33 - HOME 17 · Q4 9:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:46 · Nick Smith 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense−35.6Pregame prior−2.2Score differential−17.4Garbage-time factor−9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Remi Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:35: Chase Litton pass intercepted for a TD Ocie Rose return for 95 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +6.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:05: Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 22 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:42: Hyleck Foster run for 66 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:47: Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +11.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:39FAU 4th & 6 at MRSH 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−1.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:20MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:31MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:26FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 42, down 13
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:22FAU 4th & 3 at MRSH 3, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:28FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:35MRSH 4th & 10 at midfield, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:16FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:23MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:41FAU 4th & 9 at MRSH 20, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:46MRSH 4th & 5 at FAU 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.6%
    81% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:07FAU 4th & 12 at FAU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:43MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55MRSH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:35FAU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:05MRSH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:42MRSH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:47FAU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1363% → 63%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
36.6%
Devon Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:5137% → 39%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
36.6%
Trey Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
36.7%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+11
36.7%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 11 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
36.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jarquez Samuel) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 5
50
0
36.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
50
+4
37.0%
Jay Warren run for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+9
37.0%
Trey Rodriguez run for 9 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
37.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 10 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
37.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+8
37.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+8
37.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.8%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jay WarrenSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
37.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jay Warren for 4 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
38.5%
Greg Joseph 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:1062% → 61%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
38.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
38.3%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+11
38.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 11 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
37.6%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
37.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-5
38.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Michael Selby) to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
38.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
39.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5440% → 39%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
39.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-2
40.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
39.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+9
39.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 48 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 9 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5961% → 60%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
38.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
38.4%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
38.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
38.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-8
38.6%
Chase Litton sacked by Trey Hendrickson and Brandin Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
39.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlAtl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:2940% → 39%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
39.5%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
39.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
38.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:0562% → 69%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+38
37.7%
Remi Watson run for 38 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
36.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+21
36.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 21 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.6%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:2934% → 33%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
33.6%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
33.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Ralph LeonardSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
33.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Henry Bussey for 12 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
33.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
33.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+3
33.2%
Jason Driskel run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 12:26
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
33.1%
Dalton Schomp punt for 56 yds, downed at the Marsh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 7:3069% → 67%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
30.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 11 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
30.3%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
30.0%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+3
30.0%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
29.7%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+16
29.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 16 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
28.7%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
28.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+17
28.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 17 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
27.8%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
27.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
27.4%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
27.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
26.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for no gain to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
26.0%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
26.2%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+95
32.6%
Chase Litton pass intercepted for a TD Ocie Rose return for 95 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1565% → 77%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
34.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 17 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
32.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
33.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Nick Mathews for 12 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
32.1%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+9
31.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
22.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 22 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11MISSED FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 1:2828% → 29%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
27.8%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+14
29.0%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 14 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
29.7%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+27
30.1%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Kalib Woods for 27 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
31.6%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
31.5%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+11
29.6%
Jason Driskel run for 11 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
31.6%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
28.9%
Greg Joseph 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
22.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0226% → 25%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
25.5%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+2
25.5%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
24.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Henry BusseySimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
24.7%
Dalton Schomp punt for 38 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4079% → 78%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
50
0
21.1%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
50
0
20.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 10
50
0
20.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 10
50
0
22.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cre'von LeBlanc at the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:5924% → 22%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
24.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+5
24.5%
Greg Howell run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
24.4%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 17 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
24.8%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
25.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
25.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Kelly Parfitt) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+5
24.4%
Marcus Clark run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
24.3%
Marcus Clark run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-6
23.8%
Jason Driskel sacked by Ricardo Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
21.5%
Dalton Schomp punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:1881% → 94%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
19.4%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
19.0%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
19.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 5 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
16.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-5
15.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Ryan Yurachek) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+66
5.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 66 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:519% → 24%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.7%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+71
8.6%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 71 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
12.9%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.9%
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1284% → 85%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
15.7%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
14.7%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
14.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
15.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlAtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19INT
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:1919% → 17%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
19.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 10 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
19.6%
Henry Bussey run for 16 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
20.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 5 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
20.8%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
20.4%
Trey Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
21.3%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 7 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+7
21.5%
Jason Driskel pass complete to Tyler Cameron for 7 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
21.4%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
21.4%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Trey RodriguezSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
18.9%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Trey RodriguezSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+11
17.4%
Jason Driskel pass intercepted Rodney Allen return for 11 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:3487% → 94%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.2%
Keion Davis run for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
12.5%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
10.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
9.8%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+24
9.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Young) to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
9.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+11
7.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 11 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
7.7%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
7.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
7.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q4 9:46
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
6.4%
Nick Smith 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:237% → 7%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
7.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
7.4%
Jay Warren run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
50
-2
7.6%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
7.1%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
7.0%
Jason Driskel pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
6.6%
Ryan Rickel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22END OF GAME
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:3595% → 99%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
5.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
5.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
5.2%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
4.5%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+7
4.1%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
3.7%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+1
3.3%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+14
3.0%
Keion Davis run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
2.4%
Keion Davis run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
2.3%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 29
-2
1.7%
Hyleck Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
1.6%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+5
1.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:47
Trey Rodriguez run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 5:42
Hyleck Foster run for 66 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q2 2:05
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 22 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com