Try the model
MTSU

Middle Tennessee 28 at Western Kentucky 58

WKU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameTD-0.1WKU 98.4%Brent Stockstill pass complete toRichie James for 34 yds for a TD,(Cody Clark KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 52 · Q3 11:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:00 · Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 34 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense+26.4Score differential+23.3Pregame prior+8.5Blowout margin+12.2Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:01: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +3.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:10: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 28 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +5.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:27: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +9.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:36: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 30 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:21: Nacarius Fant pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 69 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +6.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:35MTSU 4th & 8 at MTSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:01MTSU 4th & 5 at WKU 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:27MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 31, down 28
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:18MTSU 4th & 5 at WKU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−1.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:21MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:08WKU 4th & 2 at MTSU 33, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WKU 4th & 1 at MTSU 13, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:00MTSU 4th & 6 at WKU 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:00WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 42, up 31
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:49MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 10, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:03WKU 4th & 11 at MTSU 17, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:47WKU 4th & 2 at MTSU 12, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:17MTSU 4th & 3 at WKU 36, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:35WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:06WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:01WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 4:33MTSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:10WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:27WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:36MTSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:21WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 1:08WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 11:00MTSU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:51MTSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2570% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+59
69.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 59 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
69.5%
Antwane Grant run for no gain to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Michael Minter) to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
69.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
69.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+7
69.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
69.7%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
69.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
69.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+14
69.8%
Trevor Owens punt for 37 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 14 yds to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:3470% → 72%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
70.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+16
70.3%
Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
71.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 43 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
71.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
71.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
71.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
71.4%
Trevor Owens punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0972% → 75%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
72.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+32
72.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 32 yds to the MTnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
70.1%
Jordan Parker run for 22 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
69.8%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
69.3%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-1
69.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 5
OPP 35
-3
69.7%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
76.6%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Jamarcus Howard return for no gain to the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 2:4523% → 27%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
76.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
76.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+18
76.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 18 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
76.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
76.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
76.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
76.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 17 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
75.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Richie James) to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
76.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 6 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Derik Overstreet) to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
73.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 28 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2375% → 82%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.4%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
75.6%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
75.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
76.0%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+19
76.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Darius Harris) to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
81.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 28 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
81.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Daeshawn Bertram) to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
80.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
80.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
81.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
81.0%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Prince Charles Iworah return for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:0083% → 93%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
82.9%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
83.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
83.3%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
83.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
83.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+8
83.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
83.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds Jared Dangerfield fumbled, forced by Raynard Felton, recovered by WKent Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
83.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+24
83.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 24 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
92.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
92.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
92.0%
Trevor Owens punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
93.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 2
50
+7
92.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
93.4%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+8
93.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 8 yds Antwane Grant fumbled, forced by Alex Dale, recovered by MTnSt T.T. BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:424% → 11%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
95.1%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
95.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+11
95.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
95.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
95.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Jeremiah BrysonSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+9
95.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
95.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+30
89.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 30 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
96.9%
Nacarius Fant pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 69 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Derek Barnes, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 5 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Austin Grammer, broken up by Gavin RockerSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Trevor Owens punt for 24 yds, downed at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:2297% → 98%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+40
97.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 40 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
97.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 2 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 1:0898% → 99%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
98.0%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+8
97.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+11
97.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Devin Scott for 11 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-7
98.0%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Patrick McNeil for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+16
98.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds to the MTnSt 13 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
98.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+31
98.7%
Garrett Schwettman 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 12 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
98.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 10 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
98.3%
Desmond Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
50
+12
98.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 12 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-19
98.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Marcus Ward for a loss of 19 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 29
OWN 43
0
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 29
OWN 43
+23
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 23 yds to the WESTERNKY 34 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+34
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 34 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Jake Collins punt for 53 yds, downed at the MTnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
99.2%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 10
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 10
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Rod DucksworthSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
99.2%
Trevor Owens punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FG
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:46100% → 100%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+6
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.5%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+4
99.5%
Anthony Davis run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 11 Anthony Davis fumbled, forced by Cavellis Luckett, recovered by WKent Devin ScottSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-1
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 6
OPP 12
-5
99.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
99.6%
Garrett Schwettman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Richie James run for no gain to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+21
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 21 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 5
50
+11
99.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Derek Barnes, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+25
99.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 25 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.6%
Desmond Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 9:04100% → 100%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 4 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 4 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
99.8%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+8
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for no gain to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
99.9%
Garrett Schwettman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Austin Grammer for 10 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 14 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 4 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:27
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+9.6
TD · Q2 3:21
Nacarius Fant pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 69 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 3:36
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 30 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com