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UTEP

UTEP 12 at Florida International 52

FIU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:23 · Alan Luna punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior+33.3Score differential+0.1Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:13: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +1.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:05: Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +3.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:52: Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah McKinnon return for 31 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 7:53: Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +1.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:41: Anthony Jones run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 12:23UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:13UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 28, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:03FIU 4th & 7 at UTEP 31, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 28
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:53UTEP 4th & 2 at FIU 2, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:41UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 37, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45FIU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 39
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:52FIU 4th & 17 at UTEP 21, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:52UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:19FIU 4th & 12 at UTEP 32, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:17FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 35, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:51UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:15UTEP 4th & 25 at FIU 46, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:19UTEP 4th & 1 at FIU 43, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:50UTEP 4th & 2 at FIU 17, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:13FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:52FIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:12FIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:41FIU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:41UTEP Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:19FIU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3785% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
84.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 19 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
84.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+36
84.5%
Alex Gardner run for 36 yds to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
84.5%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.5%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
84.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+1
84.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+4
84.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
84.2%
Autrey Golden run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+3
84.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
84.2%
Alan Luna punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2484% → 86%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
84.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
84.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
84.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 21 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
84.3%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
84.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+43
86.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.5%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
85.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 7 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
85.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Darrin LaufasaSimilar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+37
85.6%
Alan Luna punt for 56 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 37 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:5887% → 90%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
86.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
86.6%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
86.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Jimmy Musgrave for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 43 Alex McGough fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 19
OPP 43
+3
86.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 16
OPP 40
+9
86.3%
Alex McGough run for 9 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+17
86.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 17 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
86.6%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1310% → 5%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
90.1%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for no gain to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
90.2%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Autrey Golden for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+31
94.7%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah McKinnon return for 31 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.7%
Autrey Golden run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
94.3%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.3%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.4%
Alan Luna punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:4196% → 95%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
95.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 24 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
95.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthon Samuel for 13 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
95.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 11 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:194% → 6%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Darrin LaufasaSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.6%
Warren Redix run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+58
96.3%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 58 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
96.0%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
96.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.8%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.0%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Autrey Golden for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
94.5%
Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:1297% → 98%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
96.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 26 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
96.6%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+5
96.5%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
98.1%
Anthony Jones run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
98.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 15
-1
98.2%
Kavika Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+19
98.2%
Kavika Johnson run for 19 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.1%
Kavika Johnson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
98.1%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Anthony WintSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+18
98.1%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for 18 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 3
50
0
98.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 3
50
0
99.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaquan White at the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 5
OWN 11
+3
99.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 2
OWN 14
0
99.2%
Kavika Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:191% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
98.9%
Warren Redix run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 5 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
98.9%
Warren Redix run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
99.4%
Kavika Johnson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
99.4%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Michael Wakefield and Fermin Silva for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 45 Kavika Johnson fumbled, recovered by UTEP Eric Lee , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+5
99.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 11
50
-5
99.4%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Hayden Plinke) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+9
99.5%
Warren Redix run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+9
99.4%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.4%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+9
99.3%
Warren Redix run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.4%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Cole Freytag for 23 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+27
99.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 27 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+15
99.5%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to SMITH, Jonnu, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (HARRISON, I.) 15 yards to the UTEP49, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
99.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 35 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Edens Sineace) to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 15
OPP 19
-2
99.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Roy Robertson-Harris and Sky Logan for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 17
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+38
99.7%
Austin Taylor 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
99.7%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+7
99.7%
Warren Redix run for 7 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Alan Luna punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+19
99.7%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Shawn Abrams for 19 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 12 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.8%
Trey Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
99.7%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+4
99.7%
Trey Anderson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
99.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Mark Bruno for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 20 Kavika Johnson fumbled, recovered by UTEP Chris Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Cole FreytagSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Anthon SamuelSimilar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+10
99.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds , Jaquan White returns for 10 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Warren Redix run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 58 yds, downed at the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
99.9%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Tyler Batson for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Laufasa, broken up by Mark BrunoSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Warren Redix run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-18
99.9%
Kavika Johnson sacked by Xavier Hines for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaIn 41 UTEP Penalty, intentional grounding (Kavika Johnson) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 25
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Tyree JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 25
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Alan Luna punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+79
99.9%
Shug Oyegunle 79 Yd pass from Trey Anderson (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 5:290% → 0%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
100.0%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
Kavika Johnson pass complete to Warren Redix for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 8
50
+7
100.0%
Warren Redix run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
100.0%
Warren Redix run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+6
100.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Kavika Johnson pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:52
Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD Jeremiah McKinnon return for 31 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q1 1:05
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+3.8
TD · Q1 6:13
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com