Try the model
RICE

Rice 27 at Florida Atlantic 26

FAU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:50 · Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach Wright
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+15.2Pregame prior+1.1Garbage-time factor+3.6Score differential+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 94 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +12.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:23: Greg Joseph 20 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +8.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:50: Trey Rodriguez run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FAU win probability +11.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:21: Driphus Jackson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +26.8 pts (now 37%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:07: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — RICE win probability +39.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 1:30FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:54RICE 4th & 21 at FAU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:30RICE 4th & 9 at FAU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−5.6
    average punt
  4. Q3 8:45FAU 4th & 5 at RICE 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    48.0%−10.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:45RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:14FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:03RICE 4th & 15 at FAU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−10.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:23FAU 4th & 3 at RICE 3, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.0%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−16.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:50RICE 4th & 11 at FAU 32, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    13.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:44FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−2.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:21FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 42, up 5
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:59FAU 4th & 5 at RICE 41, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.2 ptsWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.5%−4.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−12.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:51RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:01FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:30RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:56FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:50FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:21RICE Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:07RICE Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0945% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.1%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
55.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
55.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 9 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
55.1%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
55.1%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
55.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
55.1%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
55.1%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
53.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 32 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:5054% → 58%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.0%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+16
54.0%
Greg Howell run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
54.2%
Trey Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+14
54.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Nate Terry for 14 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
54.5%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
54.5%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+12
54.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 12 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-4
54.4%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+5
53.6%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to WOODS, Kalib, PENALTY RICE offside (GORDON, Preston) 5 yards to the RICE21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+10
54.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 10 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
57.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3144% → 51%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.8%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
55.6%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
55.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
55.5%
Darik Dillard run for 13 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
55.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 7 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+3
54.8%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
54.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+30
54.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 30 yds to the FlAtl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
54.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Nate GermanSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
54.6%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 5 Austin Walter fumbled, forced by Ocie Rose, recovered by Rice Peter GodberSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 5 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
51.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 17 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
52.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
52.1%
Marcus Clark run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
51.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+1
51.2%
Ryan Rickel punt for 47 yds , VJ Banks returns for 1 yd to the Rice 47 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (4 Yards) to the Rice 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
19 plays · 49 yds · 8:0649% → 53%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
50.6%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
50.6%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+7
50.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 7 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
50.2%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+10
50.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 10 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
49.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
51.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
50.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 3 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
50.6%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
50.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
50.0%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
49.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
49.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
49.2%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
49.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-13
49.6%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Brandin Bryant for a loss of 13 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 21
OPP 47
0
47.2%
N/A punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlAtl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
2 plays · 97 yds · 0:4846% → 58%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
45.8%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+94
58.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 94 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:2645% → 48%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.3%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
54.7%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
54.4%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
53.4%
DILLARD, Darik rush for 2 yards to the RICE42 (WARD, Jerrad;ELLIS, Ray), PENALTY FAU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the RICE45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+12
52.7%
Jowan Davis run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
52.1%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
51.7%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+18
52.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Nate German for 18 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
50.8%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
50.8%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
50.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Nate German, broken up by Herb MillerSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
52.5%
Hayden Tobola 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8END OF HALF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
57.9%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Nick Elder for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+2
57.7%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+16
56.8%
Greg Howell run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
58.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Dustin Bowens) to the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9FG
18 plays · 64 yds · 6:1557% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kamrin SolomonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.0%
Greg Howell run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
57.7%
Trey Rodriguez run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
59.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 3 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-10
59.9%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass complete to RODRIGUEZ, Trey for 10 yards to the RICE43 (MCGASKEY, Tabar), PENALTY FAU holding (OZDEMIR, Nate) 10 yards to the FAU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+11
57.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
58.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Clark for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+5
58.3%
HOWELL, Greg rush for 4 yards to the RICE43 (THOMAS, Cole), PENALTY RICE offside (ABERCRUMBIA, Za) 5 yards to the RICE42, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
60.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kamrin Solomon for 16 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
61.1%
Trey Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
61.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+5
60.0%
Jaquez Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
61.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
61.1%
Greg Howell run for 7 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
-2
59.9%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Preston Gordon for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 11Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+27
64.3%
Greg Joseph 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0039% → 36%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
61.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 12 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
60.9%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
61.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke Turner, broken up by Lester ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
62.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+3
64.2%
N/A punt for 52 yds , Jenson Stoshak returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, IB (Ronnie Scott) to the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
63.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 16 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
63.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
63.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Shelton Lewis for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
62.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate Terry, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
61.6%
Dalton Schomp punt blocked by Chandler Watkins blocked by Chandler WatkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12MISSED FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:4844% → 36%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
55.8%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-2
55.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jerrad Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-5
58.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Trey Hendrickson and Trevon Coley for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+38
63.9%
Hayden Tobola 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:4064% → 76%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
63.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Nate TerrySimilar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+40
63.4%
Marcus Clark run for 40 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
67.7%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Ross Winship) to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
68.6%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+15
68.6%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to STOSHAK, Jenson, PENALTY RICE pass interference (BANKS, VJ) 15 yards to the RICE8, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
68.6%
Marcus Clark run for 5 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
68.6%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
67.1%
Greg Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
75.9%
Greg Joseph 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
67.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
69.4%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 27 Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Trevon Coley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:3979% → 90%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
79.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Trey Rodriguez for 9 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+9
78.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the Rice 18 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (Brian Womac) to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
89.5%
Trey Rodriguez run for 9 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 43 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.3%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
85.9%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Connor CellaSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
86.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 11 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for no gain to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
85.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 11 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
85.0%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
84.7%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
83.9%
JACKSON, Driphu pass complete to WRIGHT, Zach for 25 yards to the FAU6, PENALTY RICE holding (ANDERSON, Calvi) 10 yards to the FAU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+8
85.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
84.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+1
85.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 11
OPP 32
0
86.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 91%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Greg Howell run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
92.4%
Greg Howell run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
92.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Marcus ClarkSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
91.4%
Ryan Rickel punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 0:418% → 37%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
92.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
92.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Lester ThomasSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+10
92.4%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Zach, QB hurry by COLEY, Trevon, PENALTY FAU holding (JUSTE, DJ) 10 yards to the RICE19, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+60
92.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 60 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
62.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
81.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
82.1%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to STOSHAK, Jenson, PENALTY RICE holding (MCGASKEY, Tabar) 10 yards to the FAU35, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
82.3%
Trey Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler CameronSimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+4
82.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 4 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
81.6%
Dalton Schomp punt for 41 yds, fair catch by VJ Banks at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 2:4426% → 71%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
73.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 25 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
70.5%
Darik Dillard run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
67.5%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
64.8%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
65.6%
Jowan Davis run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
64.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
64.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
67.0%
DAVIS, Jowan rush for 4 yards to the FAU0, clock 02:18, PENALTY RICE holding (REUE, Andrew) 10 yards to the FAU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
68.9%
Nate German pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
29.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:0846% → 44%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
46.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Henry Bussey for 29 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.6%
Greg Howell run for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
53.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
52.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib WoodsSimilar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-7
44.0%
Jaquez Johnson sacked by Alex Lyons and Preston Gordon for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0982% → 84%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
18.3%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
16.8%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 0:44
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-4
16.5%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:07
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-39.5
TD · Q4 7:21
Driphus Jackson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
-26.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com