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FIU

Florida International 14 at Massachusetts 24

MASS
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:02 · Logan Laurent 19 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Vontarius West TEAM return for a loss of 20 yards
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense+2.9Pregame prior+6.6Garbage-time factor+0.9Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:28: Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 6 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +7.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:10: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +8.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:20: Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +19.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:20: Austin Taylor kickoff for 59 yds , James Oliphant return for 15 yds to the UMass 21 — MASS win probability +6.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 7:11: Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK) — MASS win probability +15.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 6 at FIU 27, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:23FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:29FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:02MASS 4th & 2 at FIU 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:02FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 2 at FIU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:43FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:28FIU 4th & 16 at MASS 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00MASS 4th & 9 at FIU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:24MASS 4th & 19 at MASS 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%−3.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:19FIU 4th & 5 at MASS 47, down 10
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:53FIU 4th & 6 at MASS 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 38, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:03FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−3.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:11FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 38, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:56MASS 4th & 5 at FIU 15, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:29MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:28MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:10FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:20FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:11MASS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
58.5%
Marken Michel run for 20 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
58.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 16 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
58.5%
Jamal Wilson run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
58.5%
Jamal Wilson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+7
58.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 7 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-5
58.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Shakur Nesmith) to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+5
58.5%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
58.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
58.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Jovan Santos-KnoxSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+8
58.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
58.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:3759% → 61%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
58.7%
Andy Isabella run for 14 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
60.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 57 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
60.0%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
59.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
59.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
59.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 7
50
-7
59.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Peter Angeh for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
60.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5MISSED FG
20 plays · 87 yds · 6:0161% → 63%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
61.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
61.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 1 yd to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+18
61.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 18 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
61.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
61.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
62.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 11 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
62.1%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
62.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+11
61.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 11 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
62.1%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+13
62.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 13 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.1%
Jamal Wilson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
62.1%
Jamal Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-5
62.1%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Harris, S. (MCKINNON, J.), PENALTY UMASS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FIU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
63.3%
Frohnapfel, B. pass incomplete to Sharpe, T. (LEONARD, R.), PENALTY FIU pass interference (LEONARD, R.) 1 yards to the FIU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.7%
Jamal Wilson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
63.7%
Jamal Wilson run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
63.3%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
63.2%
Logan Laurent 19 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Vontarius West TEAM return for a loss of 20 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
62.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
62.2%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
62.9%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 2:02
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
63.4%
Chris Ayers punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:2264% → 64%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
63.6%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+5
63.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shane Huber for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-5
62.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+27
62.8%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 12 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Jephete Matilus) to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
64.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 9 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+3
65.0%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
65.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
65.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
64.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
63.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur Nesmith, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
63.4%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
64.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 14
OWN 29
-2
64.8%
Alex McGough sacked by Jovan Santos-Knox for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
65.1%
Chris Ayers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:4966% → 74%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
65.5%
Frohnapfel, B. pass intercepted by LEONARD, R. at the FIU45, LEONARD, R. return to the UMASS46, PENALTY FIU personal foul (WAKEFIELD, Mike) 15 yards to the FIU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
66.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
66.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeremiah McKinnon) to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+22
66.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 22 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
74.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 6 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
70.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 4
50
+3
70.1%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
69.9%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
69.9%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
69.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 6 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-9
69.3%
Alex McGough sacked by John Robinson-Woodgett for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+3
70.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
71.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
71.9%
Chris Ayers punt for 35 yds, downed at the UMass 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:0073% → 75%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+18
73.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 18 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
73.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Lars Koht) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
74.9%
Blake Frohnapfel run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 37 Blake Frohnapfel fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Imarjaye AlburySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:1428% → 36%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
72.2%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
71.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+15
71.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 15 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
71.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+1
71.6%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+13
72.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
71.1%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:1069% → 73%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
68.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
69.9%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 8 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
70.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shaquille Harris for 12 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
70.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 12 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal WilsonSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
71.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Tyree JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+6
70.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 4
OPP 26
-5
69.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
72.8%
Logan Laurent 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0031% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
69.0%
PENALTY FIU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UMASS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Michael Montero) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
73.1%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
72.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex Gardner, broken up by Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.1%
Chris Ayers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
75.1%
Frohnapfel, B. rush for 1 yard to the UMASS36 (KOHT, Lars), PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the UMASS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+8
74.7%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
74.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Lorenzo Woodley for 8 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-15
75.2%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Jephete Matilus for a loss of 15 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+7
72.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 46 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.2%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+12
75.1%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
74.0%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 1 yard to the FIU49, out-of-bounds (Singh, C.), PENALTY FIU holding (MONTERO, Mike) 10 yards to the FIU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+7
75.4%
Alex McGough run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+4
75.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
74.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
75.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.9%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
78.1%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+13
77.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 13 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
79.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 4 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
79.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
79.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
79.6%
Blake Frohnapfel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+2
78.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 2 yds Sekai Lindsay fumbled, forced by Tyree Johnson, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:3322% → 42%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
78.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
77.7%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
77.3%
McGOUGH, Alex pass complete to McGOUGH, Alex for loss of 9 yards to the FIU40 (Asante, E.), PENALTY UMASS face mask (Edmonds, Z.) 15 yards to the UMASS36, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
77.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
77.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+6
78.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
75.3%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+1
75.3%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+10
76.7%
Alex McGough run for 10 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Trey Dudley-GilesSimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
77.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 7 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Shane Huber) to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:2065% → 64%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
65.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Lorenzo Woodley for 5 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
65.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the UMass 31 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamal Wilson) to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
65.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+10
63.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 10 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
65.8%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+10
65.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 10 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
66.5%
Frohnapfel, B. pass complete to Sharpe, T. for 8 yards to the UMASS46, out-of-bounds (WINT, Anthony), PENALTY UMASS illegal touching (Sharpe, T.) 0 yards to the UMASS38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
64.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0033% → 30%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
67.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
67.4%
Alex McGough run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
66.6%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 5 yards to the FIU29 (Messiah, K.), PENALTY FIU holding 10 yards to the FIU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+3
67.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 17
OWN 17
+6
67.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
68.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Jovan Santos-Knox FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
69.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2173% → 91%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
72.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 4 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
74.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shaquille Harris for 6 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
74.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 30 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
76.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+9
76.0%
Jamal Wilson run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
76.0%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
76.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
90.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
88.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis Turner, broken up by Randall JetteSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
89.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+2
89.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+3
89.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 29 yds · 3:2092% → 97%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
92.1%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+7
92.1%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
91.9%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
92.2%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
92.2%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
95.9%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-2
95.8%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 15 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+7
96.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 7 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:20
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-19.2
TD · Q4 7:11
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Laurent KICK)
+15
TD · Q2 1:10
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com