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WKU

Western Kentucky 49 at Rice 10

RICE
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:22 · James Farrimond punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKent 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Home team on offense−54.9Score differential−42.7Garbage-time factor−21.1Pregame prior−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:48: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 39 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:00: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +7.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:00: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 30 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +10.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:38: Luke Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +13.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:51: D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +11.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:47RICE 4th & 10 at WKU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:08RICE 4th & 6 at WKU 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:00RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:27WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 30, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:44WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 33, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38RICE 4th & 3 at WKU 3, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−8.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 7 at WKU 39, down 25
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−1.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:36WKU 4th & 9 at RICE 49, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 36, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:01RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:04WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:22RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 22, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:46WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 49, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:38RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 15, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:08WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:00WKU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:00WKU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:38RICE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:51WKU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:12WKU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:22WKU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
35.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
35.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
35.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
35.7%
Jake Collins punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:4136% → 37%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
36.0%
Jowan Davis run for 18 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
36.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 37 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.0%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the WKent 5Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
36.0%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
36.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Tj McCollum for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 12:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
36.9%
Hayden Tobola 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3963% → 64%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+65
36.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 65 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
36.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
36.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+14
36.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 14 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
36.7%
Samuel Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+6
36.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 6 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
36.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
36.4%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:3663% → 66%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
37.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
37.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+30
37.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 30 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
36.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 6
50
+10
36.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
36.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 1 yd to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
34.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 39 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
35.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 19 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.9%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
35.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-3
35.6%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 45 Darik Dillard fumbled, recovered by WKent Nick NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
28.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
29.0%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
29.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jowan DavisSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
29.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 11 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
29.6%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
29.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
29.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
29.1%
James Farrimond punt for 56 yds, downed at the WKent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:2173% → 75%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
27.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+9
27.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
27.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+13
27.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 13 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
27.1%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-3
24.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
24.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 14:27
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+4
24.6%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds , Samuel Stewart returns for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:0026% → 28%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
26.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 8 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+30
26.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 15 yds to the RICE 44 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Branden Leston) to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
27.8%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 30 Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by WKent Jontavious MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1177% → 88%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
23.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
23.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
22.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 1
50
+3
22.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
22.5%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (JP Thompson) to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
22.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
12.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 30 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
11.9%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Wonderful Terry return for no gain to the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
13.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
13.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-2
13.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 10
OWN 33
+8
13.8%
Jake Collins punt for 49 yds , VJ Banks returns for 8 yds to the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:3511% → 23%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
10.6%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Dennis Parks for 6 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
10.4%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+5
10.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for 5 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
10.5%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
10.3%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+24
10.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 24 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
10.1%
Darik Dillard run for 11 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
10.2%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 21 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
8.9%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
8.9%
Luke Turner run for 1 yd to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
9.0%
Luke Turner pass incomplete to Darik DillardSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
22.8%
Luke Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4782% → 95%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
17.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+52
18.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 52 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
16.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+8
16.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
16.4%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (VJ Banks) to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT
6 plays · 48 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
6.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 3 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+11
6.5%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Dennis Parks for 11 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
6.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+30
6.3%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Zach Wright for 30 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
6.0%
Tyler Stehling pass intercepted Prince Charles Iworah return for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:3993% → 94%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
6.7%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+9
6.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 9 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
6.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
4.7%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+25
4.9%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Connor Cella for 25 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
5.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-6
5.2%
Tyler Stehling run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 44 Tyler Stehling fumbled, recovered by Rice Tyler StehlingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+10
4.8%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cole Hunt for 10 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-5
5.2%
RICE Penalty, false start (Andrew Reue) to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
5.0%
James Farrimond punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
4.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+8
4.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
4.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
4.1%
Anthony Davis run for 4 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by JT BlasingameSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
4.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (VJ Banks) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
50
+1
3.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
3.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
3.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for no gain to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
4.1%
Jake Collins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
1.9%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Branden LestonSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+14
1.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 14 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
1.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-7
1.9%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Leverick Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+13
1.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Dennis Parks for 13 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
2.0%
James Farrimond punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:3198% → 99%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
1.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Dennis Edwards) to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+3
1.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+13
1.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
1.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
1.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
1.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
1.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, IT (Tyler Higbee) to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+24
1.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 24 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
1.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
0.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Derek Brown) to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:111% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.5%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
0.5%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Williams) to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+5
0.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
0.4%
James Farrimond punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
0.5%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
0.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Devin Scott for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+3
0.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+1
0.5%
Jake Collins punt for 53 yds , Samuel Stewart returns for 1 yd to the Rice 34 RICE Penalty, illegal block (Jorian Clark) to the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
0.2%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
0.2%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by Wonderful TerrySimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 12
-10
0.2%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Tanner Reeves for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 2 Tyler Stehling fumbled, recovered by WKent Tanner Reeves , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Temi Alaka for no gain to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
0.1%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
0.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi Alaka, broken up by Masai WhyteSimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
0.1%
James Farrimond punt for 53 yds, downed at the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
0.2%
Will Bush run for 9 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
0.2%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 15 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 5
50
+1
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-2
0.2%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Jake Collins punt for 39 yds , VJ Banks returns for no gain to the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
0.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
0.1%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 2
OWN 20
-5
0.1%
RICE Penalty, illegal procedure (Connor Cella) to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+12
0.1%
James Farrimond punt for 46 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 12 yds to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 11
50
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:38
Luke Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q2 2:51
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-11
TD · Q2 11:00
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 30 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com