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UL

Louisiana 14 at Louisiana Tech 43

LT
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.2LT 89.1%Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 22 · Q2 0:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:17 · Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+17.5Home team on offense+14.8Score differential+5.5Garbage-time factor+4.5Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:36: Jeff Driskel run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +3.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:00: Jonathan Barnes 50 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +2.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:17: Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +1.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Jalen Nixon pass intercepted for a TD Bryson Abraham return for 50 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +6.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:23: Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +1.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:39UL 4th & 14 at LT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:09UL 4th & 5 at UL 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:09LT 4th & 16 at LT 47, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:04UL 4th & 7 at UL 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:00LT 4th & 3 at UL 33, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:47UL 4th & 2 at UL 45, down 12
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17LT 4th & 11 at UL 24, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:26UL 4th & 5 at UL 43, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:09LT 4th & 25 at LT 31, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:11UL 4th & 6 at LT 49, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:58LT 4th & 4 at LT 11, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:30UL 4th & 7 at UL 30, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 7 at UL 43, up 22
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:09UL 4th & 10 at LT 29, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:22LT 4th & 8 at LT 46, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:06UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:39LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:36LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00LT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:23UL Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:09LT Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5418% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
82.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
82.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
82.3%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
82.3%
Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
81.2%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 49 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2781% → 81%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
81.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
81.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
81.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+13
81.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
81.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+1
81.6%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
81.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 19 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
81.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
81.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
80.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.3%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-10
80.3%
Nixon, Jalen rush for no gain to the ULL24, out-of-bounds (BRICE, Kentrell), PENALTY ULL holding (Quave, M.) 10 yards to the ULL14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+15
80.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Kentrell Brice) to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.3%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
80.3%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 1 yd to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+18
80.5%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 18 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
80.0%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 8
50
+6
79.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+5
79.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
79.9%
Jalen Nixon sacked by Vernon Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 16
OPP 45
0
80.1%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal Robinson, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+2
80.3%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
80.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 5:1078% → 82%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
78.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+5
78.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
78.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
78.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+10
77.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 10 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
78.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
78.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
78.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+18
77.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 18 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
78.8%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to DIXON, Kenneth, PENALTY ULL pass interference (Walker, Tracy) 15 yards to the ULL25, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
79.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
82.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5SF
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2719% → 18%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
80.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-5
80.2%
Nixon, Jalen rush for 3 yards to the ULL26 (BROWN, Aaron), PENALTY ULL illegal formation 5 yards to the ULL18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
80.7%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 7
OPP 0
+2
79.2%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
82.4%
Steven Coutts punt blocked by Paul Turner for a SAFETY blocked by Paul Turner for a SAFETY Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
81.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 18 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marcus Gaines, broken up by Travis CrawfordSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
82.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth Dixon, broken up by Tre'maine LightfootSimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-6
81.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-6 Yards) to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 16
OWN 47
0
81.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Jevante WatsonSimilar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
80.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
81.7%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
81.8%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 3 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 7
OWN 15
0
82.2%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
82.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3883% → 84%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
82.5%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to TURNER, Paul, PENALTY ULL pass interference (Brown, Savion) 15 yards to the ULL40, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
82.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
82.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
82.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
84.4%
Jonathan Barnes 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:1316% → 15%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.0%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
84.2%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 9 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
83.7%
Jalen Nixon run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.6%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for no gain to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
83.7%
Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+6
83.7%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 6 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 3:47
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:2385% → 89%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
84.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
84.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
84.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+23
84.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 23 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
85.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 14 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
85.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-1
85.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
87.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnight, broken up by Dominick JonesSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
89.1%
Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1713% → 6%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
87.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+50
94.3%
Jalen Nixon pass intercepted for a TD Bryson Abraham return for 50 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:3499% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+72
98.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 72 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.9%
Jalen Nixon run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Jalen Nixon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Steven Coutts punt for 41 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 16 Trent Taylor fumbled, recovered by LaTch Trent TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Travis CrawfordSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+19
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 19 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.1%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Trent (Crawford, T.), PENALTY ULL pass interference (Crawford, T.) 11 yards to the LATECH46, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 6
50
-15
99.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (O'Shea Dugas) to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 21
OWN 35
-4
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 25
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 25
OWN 0
0
99.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 25
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:131% → 1%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.3%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 8 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
99.2%
Torrey Pierce run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-5
99.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
99.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
99.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+3
99.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 2
OWN 13
-2
99.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 11Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 11
-9
99.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 53 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
99.6%
Torrey Pierce run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.6%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 3 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
99.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 21 Kenneth Dixon fumbled, forced by Kevin Fouquier, recovered by LaLaf TJ PoseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:520% → 2%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
99.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 14 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:2399% → 99%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 9 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
98.8%
DRISKEL, Jeff rush for 47 yards to the ULL0, clock 00:22, PENALTY LATECH holding (DANIELSEN, Jens) 0 yards to the ULL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+1
98.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Travis CrawfordSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-2
98.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+18
98.8%
Jalen Nixon run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
98.7%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Al Riles for 11 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
98.7%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
50
+13
98.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.7%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
98.7%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gary Haynes for 10 yds Gary Haynes fumbled, forced by Beau Fitte, recovered by LaTch Beau FitteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:5899% → 100%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.1%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-1
99.1%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+24
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 24 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+11
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 11 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.1%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to GAINES, Marcus, PENALTY ULL pass interference (Brazil, Jeryl) 15 yards to the ULL14, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
99.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 8 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
50
+21
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gary Haynes for 21 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gary HaynesSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Gary HaynesSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Jalen Nixon pass incomplete to Al Riles UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 3
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
Brooks Haack run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Devin Scott for 14 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 3
50
+2
99.9%
Brooks Haack run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 5 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Brooks Haack pass intercepted Aaron Roberson return for no gain to the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
100.0%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
Jalen Nixon pass intercepted for a TD Bryson Abraham return for 50 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 12:36
Jeff Driskel run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+3
FG · Q2 7:00
Jonathan Barnes 50 yd FG GOOD
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com