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M-OH

Miami (OH) 14 at Western Kentucky 56

WKU
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:08 · Christian Koch punt for 50 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 15 yds to the WKent 39 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Daeshawn Bertram) to the WKent 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior+40.3Home team on offense+1.7Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:08: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 59 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +0.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:23: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:59: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:31: Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +2.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:50: Nicholas Norris run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5M-OH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:08M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:08M-OH 4th & 11 at M-OH 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15WKU 4th & 20 at M-OH 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:52M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 38, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:45M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:50M-OH 4th & 14 at M-OH 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:40WKU 4th & 1 at M-OH 4, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:08M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 37, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:45WKU 4th & 19 at WKU 17, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:28WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 35, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:08WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:08WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:23WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:59WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:31M-OH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:50WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:00WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:10WKU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:10WKU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:28M-OH Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:5293% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
92.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 11 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 13 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
92.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+19
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 19 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 16 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+13
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
92.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
92.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.9%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
91.9%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Christian Koch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 59 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.3%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
92.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
92.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Shisso for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.3%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+15
92.4%
Christian Koch punt for 50 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 15 yds to the WKent 39 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Daeshawn Bertram) to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
92.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+6
92.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+21
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-12
92.5%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Paul Moses for a loss of 12 yards to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 22
OPP 48
+2
92.4%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Jake Collins punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:418% → 8%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
92.3%
Billy Bahl run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
92.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
92.0%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
92.1%
Christian Koch punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 3:1692% → 95%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
92.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+11
92.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
92.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-5
92.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Taywan Taylor) to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+19
92.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 19 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+43
92.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 43 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
92.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
92.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 1 yd to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
94.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 15 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+1
94.4%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-2
94.5%
Jared Murphy run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
94.5%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted DeAndre Farris return for no gain to the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3495% → 95%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
94.7%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Paul Moses for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 25 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by WKent Brandon Doughty , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+13
94.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 13 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
95.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+3
94.7%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds , Fred McRae IV returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
94.8%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-2
94.8%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-1
94.9%
Drew Kummer sacked by Nick Holt for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+1
94.9%
Christian Koch punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 47 , Kylen Towner returns for 1 yd to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:1596% → 98%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
95.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+14
95.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
95.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+23
95.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 23 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
95.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 3:282% → 5%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
97.8%
Leonard Ross run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+11
97.9%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 11 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.7%
Leonard Ross run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
97.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 5 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-5
97.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+37
97.7%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 37 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
97.4%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+12
97.5%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 12 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.6%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
97.6%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:4197% → 98%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
96.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
96.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+17
96.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 17 yds to the MiaOh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.4%
Nicholas Norris run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
98.8%
Billy Bahl sacked by Tj McCollum for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-4
98.8%
Billy Bahl sacked by Gavin Rocker for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
98.8%
Christian Koch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 15 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.7%
Anthony Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+17
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 17 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
98.7%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to HIGBEE, Tyler, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (REID, Tony) 11 yards to the MIAMI6, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Leonard Ross, broken up by Devante DuclosSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Leonard Ross run for no gain to the MiaOh 34 Leonard Ross fumbled, forced by Dejon Brown, recovered by WKent Nick HoltSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:2499% → 99%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
99.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 26 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 4 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
99.3%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+5
99.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Leverick Johnson return for no gain to the MiaOh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+9
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
99.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
99.6%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+24
99.6%
Gus Ragland run for 24 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+6
99.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Chris Hudson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Christian Koch punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 1 yd to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-10
99.7%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Kent Kern for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
99.7%
Jake Collins punt for 37 yds, downed at the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23INT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.7%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete to SHISSO, Sam (IWORAH, Prince), PENALTY WKU roughing passer (DUCLOS, Devante) 15 yards to the WKU39, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-1
99.7%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+9
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 9 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.7%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
99.7%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted De'Andre Simmons return for no gain to the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+32
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 32 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive offside (Billy Bahl) to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 5
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 32 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.8%
Anthony Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+8
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
99.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:420% → 0%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+12
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for 12 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+11
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Chris Hudson for 11 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+20
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Spencer McInnis for 20 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 16 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jimmie Sims) to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 14
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+9
99.9%
Anthony Davis run for 9 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Nelson Fishback pass complete to George Fant for 7 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds , Chris Hudson returns for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Gus Ragland run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+16
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 16 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for 4 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-3
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:31
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 10 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
-2.4
TD · Q2 9:59
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q1 2:23
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com