Try the model
UIW

Incarnate Word 17 at UTEP 27

UTEP
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:11 · Alan Luna punt for 23 yds , Kody Edwards returns for no gain to the InWrd 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Pregame prior+37.0Home team on offense+5.1Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:24: Cody Seidel 32 yd FG GOOD — UIW win probability +0.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:14: Jay Mattox 50 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +0.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Timeout INCARNATEW, clock 00:10 — UTEP win probability +0.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:02: Junior Sessions run for 5 yds to the InWrd 25 INCARNATEW Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah McMeans) to the InWrd 10 — UIW win probability +18.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UIW has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:50: Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke — UIW win probability +0.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7UIW made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:24UIW 4th & 6 at UTEP 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00UIW 4th & 4 at UIW 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:32UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:12UIW 4th & 10 at UTEP 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:10UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:14UTEP 4th & 3 at UIW 33, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:11UTEP 4th & 24 at UIW 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:45UIW 4th & 5 at UIW 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:44UTEP 4th & 4 at UIW 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:44UIW 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:44UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:28UIW 4th & 1 at UTEP 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.3%−5.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00UIW 4th & 20 at UIW 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−5.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:32UIW 4th & 4 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:55UIW 4th & 10 at UIW 44, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:00UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UIWDrive 1FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:363% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.8%
Junior Sessions run for 6 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
96.8%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Cole Wick for 20 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.8%
Junior Sessions run for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
96.8%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Cyril Clarke for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+22
96.5%
Junior Sessions run for 7 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Ishmael Harrison) to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
96.4%
Trent Brittain run for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
96.4%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
96.5%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Junior SessionsSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
96.2%
Cody Seidel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
96.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 11 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
96.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
96.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Jaquan White, broken up by Adrian NorwoodSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+11
96.2%
Alan Luna punt for 57 yds , Kody Edwards returns for 11 yds to the InWrd 45 INCARNATEW Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 3INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+24
96.0%
Kalon Beverly 24 Yd Interception Return (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.0%
Junior Sessions run for 3 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.0%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Junior Sessions for 3 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.0%
Ramon Coto punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 7:32
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-1
95.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.7%
LaQuintus Dowell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
95.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Cedrick Lang for 8 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
95.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
95.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
95.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 8 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.0%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
95.2%
Ramon Coto punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
95.1%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Jamari GilbertSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
95.0%
Junior Sessions run for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
94.9%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+5
94.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
94.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+9
94.7%
Alan Luna punt for 57 yds , Kody Edwards returns for 9 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 8INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
94.5%
Trent Brittain run for 3 yds to the InWrd 36Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
94.4%
Trent Brittain pass intercepted Treyvon Hughes return for no gain to the InWrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4295% → 95%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
94.6%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 41Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+2
94.6%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+6
94.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 6 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+50
94.8%
Jay Mattox 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
94.7%
Broderick Reeves run for 2 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+5
94.6%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 5 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+62
94.6%
Trent Brittain run for 62 yds Trent Brittain fumbled, recovered by UTEPSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:1394% → 94%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
94.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 24 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
94.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
94.7%
Ryan Metz run for 5 yds to the InWrd 47Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
94.7%
Ryan Metz run for 3 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
94.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 5 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
94.8%
Autrey Golden run for 5 yds to the InWrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
94.8%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 0
-5
94.4%
LAUFASA, J. rush left for 8 yards to the UIW23 (Williams, Jamar), PENALTY UTEP holding (LEE, Eric) 9 yards to the UIW40, PENALTY UTEP substitution infraction 5 yards to the UIW45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 14
OPP 38
-10
93.9%
METZ, Ryan sideline pass complete to WHITE, Jaquan for 10 yards to the UIW28 (Hoeferkamp, Sea;Norwood, Adrian), PENALTY UTEP holding (THOMAS, Chris) 10 yards to the UIW48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 24
OPP 48
0
93.8%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 24
OPP 48
0
93.6%
Alan Luna punt for 23 yds , Kody Edwards returns for no gain to the InWrd 25Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+7
93.8%
Ryan Metz run for 7 yds to the InWrd 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to John Oglesby for 13 yds to the InWrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.0%
Trent Brittain run for 3 yds to the InWrd 41Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
92.9%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Kody Edwards for 2 yds to the InWrd 43Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
93.0%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Dorland FieldsSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+1
93.4%
Myke Tavarres run for 1 yd to the InWrd 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Sloan SpillerSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
93.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 2 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+4
93.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Autrey Golden for 4 yds to the InWrd 38Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
93.0%
Alan Luna punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 14TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
92.5%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Cole Wick for 8 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
92.1%
Junior Sessions run for 2 yds to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.3%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Jamari GilbertSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
92.5%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Cyril Clarke for 5 yds to the InWrd 35Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
92.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Broderick Reeves for 6 yds to the InWrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.0%
Broderick Reeves run for 1 yd to the InWrd 42Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
92.0%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Broderick ReevesSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+27
92.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Clint Killough for 27 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
91.1%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Stefon MartinSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-3
91.2%
Trent Brittain sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.2%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-3
78.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:1625% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.2%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Stefon MartinSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
75.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Clint Killough for 9 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
75.0%
Jordan Hicks run for 6 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
74.9%
Junior Sessions run for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
74.9%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Cyril Clarke for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
75.1%
Junior Sessions run for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
71.7%
Ramon Coto 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nik Needham Nik Needham return for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
74.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Autrey Golden for 15 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
76.0%
Kavika Johnson run for 4 yds to the InWrd 49Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-7
76.5%
Cole Freytag run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+4
73.2%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
73.4%
Alan Luna punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 18TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0031% → 50%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.6%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Jordan Hicks, broken up by Roy Robertson-HarrisSimilar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
50.5%
Junior Sessions run for 5 yds to the InWrd 25 INCARNATEW Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah McMeans) to the InWrd 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 0:0051% → 56%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
50.7%
METZ, Ryan sideline pass incomplete to FREYTAG, Cole, QB hurry by McElroy, Jerome, PENALTY UTEP intentional grounding (METZ, Ryan) 9 yards to the UTEP16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 19
OWN 16
+8
50.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
50.4%
Ryan Metz run for 16 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
52.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
51.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Autrey Golden for 16 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
54.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 9 yds to the InWrd 35Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
55.7%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 6 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
55.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for 7 yds to the InWrd 22Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+1
55.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 1 yd to the InWrd 21Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+8
54.8%
Ryan Metz run for 8 yds to the InWrd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
55.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tyler Batson, broken up by Kobie DouglasSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
55.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 3 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 20PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 2:2868% → 73%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
32.0%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Cole Wick, broken up by Kelvin Fisher Jr.Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+15
32.2%
UTEP Penalty, roughing passer (Jimmy Musgrave) to the InWrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
31.8%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Cole WickSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
31.8%
Trent Brittain run for 10 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
29.9%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Jordan HicksSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
30.1%
Junior Sessions run for 4 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-5
30.2%
INCARNATEW Penalty, false start (Junior Sessions) to the InWrd 43Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+10
30.9%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Broderick Reeves for 10 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
32.1%
Broderick Reeves run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
24.1%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Stefon MartinSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
24.2%
Trent Brittain sacked by Alvin Jones and Nick Usher for a loss of 10 yards to the InWrd 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 46
0
25.3%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+51
27.2%
Ramon Coto punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 3 UTEP Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21FG
8 plays · 83 yds · 0:0027% → 32%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
26.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for no gain to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+57
26.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 57 yds to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
31.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 10 yds to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
32.5%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 32Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+13
31.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Hayden Plinke for 13 yds to the InWrd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
32.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden Plinke, broken up by Robert JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
32.5%
Ryan Metz run for 5 yds to the InWrd 14Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
32.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Hayden PlinkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 3:2987% → 95%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Junior Sessions run for no gain to the InWrd 25Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
12.9%
Trent Brittain sacked by Nick Usher and Alvin Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 21Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+23
9.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Junior Sessions for 23 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
8.2%
Junior Sessions run for 4 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
8.2%
Junior Sessions run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 4
50
0
4.4%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Stefon MartinSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 4
50
0
4.6%
Ramon Coto punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
8.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Jaquan White for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+36
8.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tyler Batson for 36 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5896% → 99%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
4.0%
Junior Sessions run for 3 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+25
3.7%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 25 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
3.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to John Oglesby for 4 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
3.4%
Junior Sessions run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-7
3.2%
Trent Brittain sacked by Sky Logan for a loss of 7 yards to the InWrd 44Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
1.3%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Stefon Martin, broken up by Traun RobersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
3.3%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the InWrd 41Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-4
3.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 45Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-2
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+96.8
TD · Q3 9:02
Junior Sessions run for 5 yds to the InWrd 25 INCARNATEW Penalty, Offensive holding (Noah McMeans) to the InWrd 10
-18.1
FG · Q2 14:14
Jay Mattox 50 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com