Try the model
FIU

Florida International 17 at Louisiana Tech 27

LT
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.8LT 86.5%Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 2:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:19 · Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior+17.8Home team on offense+11.7Garbage-time factor+3.6Score differential+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:13: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +4.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:19: Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +2.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:44: Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +9.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:52: Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +6.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:50: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +7.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:04FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40LT 4th & 13 at FIU 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:37FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40LT 4th & 2 at LT 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51FIU 4th & 8 at LT 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51LT 4th & 13 at LT 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:26FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:13FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:19LT 4th & 11 at FIU 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:36FIU 4th & 7 at LT 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:44LT 4th & 13 at LT 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:52FIU 4th & 6 at LT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:03LT 4th & 19 at FIU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−6.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:03FIU 4th & 20 at FIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−3.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:52FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:36LT 4th & 1 at FIU 11, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−1.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:04LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:13LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:44FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:52LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:50FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:5681% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
81.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
81.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+17
81.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 17 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
81.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+63
81.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 63 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
81.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
81.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the FlaIn 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex McGough , return for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
81.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 8 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
81.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
81.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Paul Turner at the LaTch 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
81.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 11 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
81.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 19 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
81.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+10
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
81.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Carlos Henderson) to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+10
81.3%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
81.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
81.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
81.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
80.9%
McGOUGH, Alex rush for loss of 3 yards to the FIU10 (THOMASON, Nick), PENALTY LATECH offside defense (DORA,Vontarrius) 5 yards to the FIU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 5
OWN 18
-2
80.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+19
80.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 19 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
80.8%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
80.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
80.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
81.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
80.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
80.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 8 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
81.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnightSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+8
80.7%
Logan McPherson punt for 40 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 8 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:1820% → 22%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
80.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 25 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
79.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+7
79.4%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
79.0%
GARDNER, Alex rush for no gain to the LATECH29 (THOMASON, Nick), PENALTY LATECH substitution infraction 5 yards to the LATECH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 5
OPP 24
-4
79.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+1
79.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
79.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
77.6%
Austin Taylor 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
78.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 11 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
78.0%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
77.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
77.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
77.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
77.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
77.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 13:26
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+5
77.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
77.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 3:3877% → 83%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
77.3%
DIXON, Kenneth rush for no gain to the LATECH19 (MCKINNON, J.), PENALTY LATECH holding (DUGAS, O'Shea) 10 yards to the LATECH9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+21
77.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 21 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
77.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+32
77.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 32 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
78.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
78.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+1
78.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+23
83.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 23 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
81.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
82.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Deldrick Canty and Matthew Ydarraga for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
82.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Anthon SamuelSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+2
83.2%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+13
83.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 13 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:5184% → 87%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
83.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+6
84.1%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
84.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Kameron McKnight) to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
83.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Alex WoodallSimilar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
83.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Richard LeonardSimilar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+22
83.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 22 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
84.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
84.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
84.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+1
84.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
83.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
86.5%
Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 1:4314% → 12%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
86.0%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+9
85.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
85.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+3
85.9%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+5
86.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 5 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
86.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
87.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
88.6%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1613% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
87.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
86.8%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
86.4%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
86.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 11 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
86.2%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+3
86.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+12
86.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 12 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
85.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 7 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
85.3%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
86.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
85.3%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+6
85.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
76.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
81.8%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
81.4%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
80.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete, broken up by Darrian DysonSimilar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
79.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
78.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+7
79.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+17
77.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 17 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
76.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
77.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 4 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
78.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:1083% → 84%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
83.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
84.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
83.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
84.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 10 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
84.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+19
84.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Deonte Wilson) to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
85.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
84.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-7
83.8%
Jeff Driskel sacked by Lars Koht for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 28 Jeff Driskel fumbled, recovered by LaTch Jeff Driskel , return for 0 yards LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 19
OPP 28
+45
84.0%
Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0020% → 17%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
80.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Ya'Keem Griner) to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-5
81.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
81.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 20
OWN 18
0
81.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Anthony JonesSimilar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 20
OWN 18
0
82.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 20
OWN 18
0
82.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:4287% → 95%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
87.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
87.4%
Jeff Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
88.0%
Carlos Henderson run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
88.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 12 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
94.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
91.6%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
91.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by C.J. ClevelandSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
91.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+35
92.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LATECH 34 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:5595% → 97%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.7%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+11
94.8%
Jarred Craft run for 11 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.1%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
95.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
94.9%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to TURNER, Paul, PENALTY FIU OF (WAKEFIELD, Mike) 5 yards to the FIU48, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
94.7%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to TURNER, Paul, PENALTY LATECH holding off-setting, PENALTY FIU H0 off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
95.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 28 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
95.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
95.2%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+1
95.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+28
97.4%
Jonathan Barnes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:463% → 11%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
96.7%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+18
96.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 18 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
96.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+17
96.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 17 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
95.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
95.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+4
96.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 4 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
95.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
88.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23END OF GAME
13 plays · 33 yds · 1:4294% → 96%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
93.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
93.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+17
93.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+1
96.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
96.5%
Jeff Driskel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:44
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-9
TD · Q4 3:50
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-7
TD · Q4 12:52
Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com