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MRSH

Marshall 36 at Kent State 29

KENT
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingGarbage-time factorDefense timeoutsScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 41Pregame prior−21.6Home team on offense−0.6Time remaining+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Defense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:32: Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (T. Pittman Run For Two-point Conversion) — MRSH win probability +23.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 4:55: Shane Hynes 33 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +17.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Brice Fackler 12 Yd pass from Colin Reardon (Shane Hynes Kick) — KENT win probability +17.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Davonte Allen 3 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick) — MRSH win probability +33.8 pts (now 51%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Tony Pittman 7 Yd Run (Nick Smith Kick) — MRSH win probability +18.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 12 of 14MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:31KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:41MRSH 4th & 8 at KENT 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:15KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 7, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:54KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 7 at KENT 27, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:23KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:38MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 32, up 1
    Close callPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:36MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:49KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 14, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:43KENT 4th & 4 at MRSH 48, up 6
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:54MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 40, down 6
    Close callPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:57KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:51MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:25KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 12:15MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:51KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 43, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 6:14MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 18, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  20. Q3 3:45MRSH 4th & 4 at KENT 43, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−4.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−2.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 29, up 5
    Close callPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:32KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 11:34MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−2.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:55KENT 4th & 2 at MRSH 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−4.2
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−20.2
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:13KENT 4th & 1 at MRSH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%−14.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−12.8
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:20MRSH 4th & 13 at KENT 46, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.1 ptsPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−3.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:33KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:54MRSH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:40KENT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:05KENT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:51MRSH Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:32MRSH Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    60.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    61.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
24.7%
Raekwon James run for 7 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+4
24.7%
Ernest Calhoun run for 4 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
24.7%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
24.7%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-2
24.7%
Trayion Durham run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+12
24.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 43 , Deandre Reaves returns for 12 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
25.8%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Jordan Italiano return for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:4526% → 28%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
26.3%
Trayion Durham run for 5 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+47
27.6%
Antwan Dixon run for 47 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.1%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.9%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
27.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
27.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 49 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 31 KENT ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
28.0%
Trayion Durham run for 9 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+2
28.1%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
28.1%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
28.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
27.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
27.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
28.8%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
28.7%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
28.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 8 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
28.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
28.7%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 12
50
+4
29.0%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q1 8:41
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
29.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
31.2%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the KntSt 7Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
31.2%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 7
0
30.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
30.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the KntSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:2669% → 72%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
30.8%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+12
30.8%
Tony Pittman run for 12 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
30.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 22 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
28.4%
Tony Pittman run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
29.2%
Ernest Calhoun run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
29.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for no gain to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+7
28.7%
Myles Washington run for 7 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
28.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:0470% → 70%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
29.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
29.0%
Tony Pittman run for 11 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
28.8%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
28.8%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to REAVES, Deandre (ITALIANO, J.), PENALTY KENT pass interference (SIMPSON, Erik) 15 yards to the KENT30, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
28.5%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
28.5%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-5
29.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+6
30.0%
Tony Pittman run for 6 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
30.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
31.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Myles Washington for 11 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
32.0%
Myles Washington run for 5 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-2
32.8%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
31.6%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
31.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 53 yds, downed at the Marsh 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
31.7%
Tony Pittman run for 17 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
31.4%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+9
31.5%
Tony Pittman run for 9 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
31.2%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+14
31.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 54 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 14 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:4933% → 45%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+39
33.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for 39 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
36.1%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Gary Thompson) to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
36.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Myles Washington for 14 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
36.1%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
44.7%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
40.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 7 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
40.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
41.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 52 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
44.1%
Trayion Durham run for 7 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 3
OWN 21
-10
44.3%
DURHAM, Trayion rush for 5 yards to the KENT26 (DILLON, Steve), PENALTY KENT holding (SCOTT, Wayne) 10 yards to the KENT11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+5
44.0%
Trayion Durham run for 5 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+3
43.2%
Myles Washington run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 5
OWN 19
-5
42.5%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Ryan Seibert) to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+6
42.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 6 yds to the KntSt 46 Deandre Reaves fumbled, forced by Clay Miller, recovered by KntSt DeVante Strickland MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
47.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Brice Fackler for 6 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
47.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
46.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
45.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+5
45.3%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+19
45.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 19 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
43.9%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
43.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+3
44.3%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
44.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5149% → 49%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.0%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
48.8%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
48.0%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
49.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.5%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
49.1%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
48.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
50.6%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20END OF HALF
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:4952% → 53%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
51.8%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
51.8%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+16
51.6%
Colin Reardon run for 16 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
53.2%
Myles Washington run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+8
53.1%
Myles Washington run for 8 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
48.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 50 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 1 yd to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.8%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-1
47.1%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
48.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
49.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for 6 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
53.4%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
53.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+2
51.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 6
OWN 20
+12
50.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 34 , Deandre Reaves returns for 12 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 47%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
50.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
50.5%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
52.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
53.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, downed at the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:1055% → 73%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+36
54.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 36 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
58.1%
Myles Washington run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+24
58.0%
Myles Washington run for 24 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
72.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
55.0%
Trayion Durham run for 17 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
57.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
55.4%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the KntSt 37Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
55.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+6
54.0%
Trayion Durham run for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
53.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 50 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for no gain to the Marsh 8 Deandre Reaves fumbled, recovered by Marsh Deandre Reaves , return for 7 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
53.9%
Chase Litton sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 6Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+14
54.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 14 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
53.0%
Chase Litton sacked by Matt Dellinger and Anthony Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
53.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
55.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
56.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
60.0%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+17
58.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for 17 yds Raekwon James fumbled, forced by D.J. Hunter, recovered by Marsh Evan McKelveySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
49.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 6 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
48.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
50.0%
Chase Litton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
51.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:5059% → 60%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
58.5%
Trayion Durham run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+6
58.1%
Trayion Durham run for 6 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+9
58.0%
Trayion Durham run for 9 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.1%
Myles Washington run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
60.2%
Myles Washington run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-1
61.3%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+12
59.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 37 , Deandre Reaves returns for 12 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 31TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:4444% → 74%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
56.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
50
+21
52.3%
Chase Litton run for 6 yds to the KENTST 44 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, player disqualification (Nate Holley) to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
49.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
50.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+11
52.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 11 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
49.7%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 17Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
26.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (T. Pittman Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Antwan DixonSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.5%
Trayion Durham run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
34.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete, broken up by Jarquez SamuelSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+17
33.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 43 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 17 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0071% → 66%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
29.0%
Chase Litton sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+4
31.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
30.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
33.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 34FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:0134% → 57%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Trayion DurhamSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
33.3%
REARDON, Colin sacked for loss of 6 yards to the KENT14 (MCKELVEY, Evan), PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the KENT30, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
33.4%
Trayion Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+21
31.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
50
0
39.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
50
+15
38.3%
Antwan Dixon run for no gain to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
41.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
41.5%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+9
39.0%
Colin Reardon run for 9 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
41.7%
Trayion Durham run for 6 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
41.7%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 2
OPP 16
0
38.6%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+33
56.5%
Shane Hynes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 35INT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0055% → 50%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
45.4%
Tony Pittman run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
43.5%
Chase Litton sacked by Matt Dellinger for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
49.9%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Marcus Elliott return for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 36DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1160% → 57%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
60.0%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
56.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+12
53.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 12 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
57.2%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 37PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:4558% → 50%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
41.6%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+13
42.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 13 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-12
39.7%
Chase Litton sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 12 yards to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 22
OWN 45
0
48.2%
Chase Litton run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 22
OWN 45
+9
49.5%
Tony Pittman run for 9 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
49.6%
Tyler Williams punt for 27 yds, downed at the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 38END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
55.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 39TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Trayion Durham run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
64.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+9
62.4%
Trayion Durham run for 9 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
64.7%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the Marsh 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
82.1%
Brice Fackler 12 Yd pass from Colin Reardon (Shane Hynes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 40TD
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 51%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
80.4%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
81.3%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to ALLEN, Davonte, PENALTY KENT offside defense (JOHNSON, A.) 5 yards to the KENT19, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
79.3%
Tony Pittman run for 4 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
80.4%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
79.3%
Chase Litton run for 3 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+5
83.9%
LITTON, Chase pass incomplete to YURACHEK, Ryan, PENALTY KENT pass interference (REFUGE, Elcee) 5 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.3%
Tony Pittman run for 1 yd to the KntSt 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
79.3%
Tony Pittman run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 3Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.9%
Chase Litton run for no gain to the KntSt 3Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
49.4%
Davonte Allen 3 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 41TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete, broken up by Nate TerhuneSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+18
41.1%
Tony Pittman run for 18 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
22.3%
Tony Pittman 7 Yd Run (Nick Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 42DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0028% → 20%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
28.1%
Trayion Durham run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
28.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for no gain to the Marsh 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
24.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
0
19.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Davonte Allen 3 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick)
-33.8
TD · Q4 12:32
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 17 yds for a TD, (T. Pittman Run For Two-point Conversion)
-23.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com