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RICE

Rice 38 at North Texas 24

UNT
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:25 · James Farrimond punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Home team on offense−2.6Pregame prior−10.9Score differential−1.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 33 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +5.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:41: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +8.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:01: Jack Fox 20 Yd Field Goal — RICE win probability +6.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:33: Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +9.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:55: Luke Turner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +9.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:08RICE 4th & 6 at UNT 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:18UNT 4th & 6 at RICE 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 22 at RICE 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:25UNT 4th & 12 at RICE 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    38.1%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:25RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:33UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:55UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:31RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:42RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:24UNT 4th & 16 at RICE 43, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 11:35RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:59UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:41RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:33RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:55RICE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:01RICE Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00UNT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:42UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1MISSED FG
20 plays · 64 yds · 7:5268% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
31.7%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
31.7%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-6
31.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-5
31.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+20
32.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 20 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
32.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 9 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+5
32.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 5 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
32.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
32.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 5 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
32.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
32.5%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
32.5%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
32.5%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-7
32.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jarrian Roberts and Malik Dilonga for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+8
32.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
34.8%
Jack Fox 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 4:5035% → 39%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
35.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 9 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
35.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
35.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 8 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
35.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
35.5%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Derek Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+17
35.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 17 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
36.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 20 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
36.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+2
35.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
36.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+14
35.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 14 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
36.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 10 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
36.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
36.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
36.1%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
39.3%
Trevor Moore 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 10 yds · 2:1861% → 59%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James MaydenSimilar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.9%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
39.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 7 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
38.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 9 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
37.7%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
37.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
38.8%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-12
38.6%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 45 RICE Penalty, tripping (-15 Yards) to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
39.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jowan DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 40
-5
40.3%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 35
-2
41.2%
James Farrimond punt for 45 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 18 Darvin Kidsy fumbled, forced by Tabari McGaskey, recovered by Rice Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:2961% → 65%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
38.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
38.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 2 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
34.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 13 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 1:3637% → 46%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
37.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 11 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
37.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-1
38.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
37.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 8 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
38.9%
Willy Ivery run for 16 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
39.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete, broken up by Alex LyonsSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
45.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 33 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1857% → 66%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
43.0%
Jowan Davis run for 11 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
42.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
41.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Lance Wright for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
50
-5
40.7%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+25
42.1%
Samuel Stewart run for 10 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 45 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Chad Davis) to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
34.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:1637% → 37%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
37.0%
Andrew McNulty run for 6 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
38.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 5 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Chris LovingSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
37.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 8 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
38.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Thaddeous Thompson for 6 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
39.2%
Willy Ivery run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+10
39.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 10 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
40.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 20
OPP 44
0
37.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 20
OPP 44
+8
37.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 8 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
37.4%
Andrew McNulty run for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 12
OPP 36
+53
37.4%
Trevor Moore 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
36.0%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-4
36.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Fred Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-2
38.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
38.6%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:0038% → 43%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
38.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+10
40.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 25 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 33 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Antoinne Jimmerson) to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
40.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 15 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
42.6%
Willy Ivery run for 20 yds to the Rice 9 Willy Ivery fumbled, forced by Destri White, recovered by Rice Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
7 plays · 88 yds · 1:3663% → 74%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
37.4%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+10
36.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 10 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+43
36.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 43 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
32.7%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+27
32.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 27 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
32.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
26.5%
Jack Fox 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0031% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
30.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
30.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+18
30.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
33.5%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
33.8%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted Zach Espinosa return for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:5172% → 84%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
28.2%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+54
27.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 54 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
26.3%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.5%
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.3%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
19.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 4 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
19.3%
Willy Ivery run for no gain to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
19.1%
Eric Keena punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:0884% → 95%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
16.2%
Austin Walter run for 16 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
15.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James MaydenSimilar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+24
15.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 24 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
14.2%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+25
13.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 25 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
14.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.6%
Luke Turner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
8.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
8.1%
Blake Macek punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:3097% → 99%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
3.5%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
3.4%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
3.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
4.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
3.5%
Jowan Davis run for 11 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
3.4%
Jowan Davis run for 10 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-7
3.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 3 yds to the NoTex 8 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Cole Hunt) to the NoTex 18Similar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 17
OPP 18
-3
3.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 20
OPP 21
+12
3.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 12 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
1.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:012% → 4%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
1.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 27 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
1.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the Rice 37 Antoinne Jimmerson fumbled, forced by Cody Henessee,Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
1.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for 4 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+29
2.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 29 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
1.9%
A.J. Ezzard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.4%
A.J. Ezzard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
2.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
1.9%
Samuel Stewart run for 7 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
1.9%
Samuel Stewart run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
1.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 8 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+16
1.8%
Jowan Davis run for 16 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
1.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Parker Smith for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+2
1.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+8
1.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 8 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
1.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (Driphus Jackson) to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+4
1.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 4 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+9
1.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 9 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
1.8%
Samuel Stewart run for 1 yd to the NoTex 7Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
2.0%
Luke Turner run for no gain to the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
1 play · 93 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
5.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 93 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.7%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
4.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
4.8%
RICE Penalty, false start (Tabari McGaskey) to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
4.8%
James Farrimond punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
4.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
4.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+13
4.7%
Andrew McNulty run for 13 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
5.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+15
5.4%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Tabari McGaskey) to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
5.7%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Parker Hanusa for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
5.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson, broken up by JP ThompsonSimilar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
5.1%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by JT BlasingameSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
5.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Thaddeous ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:2697% → 98%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
3.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
2.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+9
2.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Connor Cella for 9 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
2.1%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
2.1%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
2.0%
Samuel Stewart run for 4 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
2.0%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
2.0%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
2.0%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:33
Samuel Stewart run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q3 6:55
Luke Turner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q2 7:41
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com