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CLT

Charlotte 14 at Middle Tennessee 73

MTSU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Arthur Hart punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+12.1Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+29.3Blowout margin+17.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Garbage-time factor+8.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:07: Jordan Parker run for 62 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:11: Jordan Parker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:05: Canon Rooker on-side kick recovered by CHARLOTTE at the MTnSt 0 , Uriah LeMay return for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +2.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 2:54: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 75 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q1 2:33: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:27CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:52CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:07CLT 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:22CLT 4th & 4 at MTSU 18, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:33CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:42MTSU 4th & 3 at CLT 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:24CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:03MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 44, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:18MTSU 4th & 7 at CLT 14, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:18CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 38, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:41MTSU 4th & 2 at CLT 43, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:57MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:06CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 34, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:52MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:07MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:11MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:05CLT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 2:54MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 2:33MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q1 0:00MTSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 10:33MTSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 6:35CLT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:11MTSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:25MTSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:06MTSU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-2
89.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
89.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+21
89.5%
Trevor Owens punt for 37 yds, downed at the MIDDLETENN 22 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, kick catching interference (-16 Yards) to the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
89.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
89.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
89.0%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
89.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:3089% → 89%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
88.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+76
89.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 76 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
89.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
89.0%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
89.0%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
89.1%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:3589% → 90%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
89.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 1 yd to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+62
89.7%
Jordan Parker run for 62 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:4511% → 11%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
50
+3
89.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
89.4%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+10
89.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
89.4%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
89.4%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 3
OPP 30
-1
89.3%
Brooks Barden sacked by Trey Wafford for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+7
89.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Richard Murphy for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
89.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
89.2%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
89.3%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
89.4%
Blake Brewer 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:1190% → 92%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.0%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+3
90.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
89.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+58
90.2%
Jordan Parker run for 58 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
90.2%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 4Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.3%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
91.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 75 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
92.2%
Brooks Barden pass intercepted Jeremy Cutrer return for 31 yds to the Charl 9 Jeremy Cutrer fumbled, forced by Kalif Phillips, recovered by MTnSt Jimal McBrideSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
95.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 12Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Corey Nesmith Jr.Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
95.4%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 15
OWN 12
0
95.5%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 15
OWN 12
-3
95.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 43 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:5095% → 96%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+14
95.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 14 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
95.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+35
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 35 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.6%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
96.3%
Matt Johnson run for 12 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
96.4%
Andrew Buie run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
96.2%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43 Matt Johnson fumbled, forced by Darius Harris, recovered by MTnSt Quay Watt , return for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
95.7%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+6
95.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 6 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
95.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.2%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Richard MurphySimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
97.3%
BARDEN, Brooks pass incomplete, PENALTY MT roughing passer 15 yards to the MT49, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
97.1%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Corey Nesmith Jr. for 10 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-7
97.1%
Brooks Barden sacked by Alex Dale for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 41 Brooks Barden fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Steven Rhodes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
97.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 59 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.0%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.9%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
97.9%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 29 Kalif Phillips fumbled, forced by Steven Rhodes, recovered by MTnSt Jeremy CutrerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
97.6%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+2
97.6%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-14
97.5%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Devon Johnson for a loss of 14 yards to the Charl 37 Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by Charl Jalen Holt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:002% → 2%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
98.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 31 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
98.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 8 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
98.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Richard MurphySimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+22
98.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 22 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.7%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 5 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 9 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
98.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
98.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds Demetrius Frazier fumbled, forced by Desmond Floyd, recovered by Charl Karrington KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Corey Nesmith Jr., broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
98.6%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+3
98.6%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 34 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for no gain to the MTnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
98.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
98.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-8
98.5%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Daquan Lucas and Jalen Holt for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+5
98.5%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to BATTIES, Ed, PENALTY CHA offside (FLEMING, Tanner) 5 yards to the MT42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 15
OWN 42
+7
98.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 8
OWN 49
-5
98.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+24
98.4%
Trevor Owens punt for 37 yds , Corey Nesmith Jr. returns for 24 yds to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
50
-10
98.9%
Brooks Barden sacked by Chris Hale for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+1
99.1%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Danny Book) to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+8
99.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+8
99.1%
Kalif Phillips run for 8 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
99.1%
JOHNSON, Matt pass complete to FORD II, T.L. for loss of 2 yards to the CHA36 (CUTRER, Jeremy;HARRIS, Darius), PENALTY CHA holding 10 yards to the CHA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Andrew Buie run for no gain to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 28
+2
99.2%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds, downed at the MTnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:3199% → 100%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+12
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 13 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the Charl 42 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Larry Ogunjobi) to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 11 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+8
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 8 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.4%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Kalif Phillips run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Wolfgang Zacherl) to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted Jeremy Cutrer return for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
99.6%
Shane Tucker run for 18 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
99.6%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-2
99.7%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-1
99.6%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
99.7%
Cody Clark 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.7%
Kalif Phillips run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Corey Nesmith Jr.Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+7
99.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Richard Murphy for 7 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+12
99.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 12 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Clemons, broken up by Markevis DavisSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 8 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Trevor Owens punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 31INT TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Trent Bostick, broken up by Dontavious HeardSimilar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Corey Nesmith Jr. for 7 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+42
99.9%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted for a TD Darius Harris return for 42 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Bradan Smith run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Bradan Smith for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Lee McNeill pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Arthur Hart punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Trevor Owens punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 34INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
99.9%
Lee McNeill pass intercepted Myles Harges return for 11 yds to the MTnSt 37 CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Uriah LeMay) to the MTnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 35TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 36 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 8 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 9 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 7 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Desmond Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 36PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Garrison Duncan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Nick Cook for 8 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Lee McNeill pass complete to Kyle Hoffman for 5 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Garrison Duncan run for 4 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Charl 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Charl Lee McNeillSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 23
OWN 19
+15
100.0%
Bradan Smith run for 15 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 37END OF GAME
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
100.0%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Tristan Walker for 10 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Austin Grammer run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 5 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
100.0%
Desmond Anderson run for 6 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
Jordan Willis run for 5 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+5
100.0%
Jordan Willis run for 5 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:33
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q1 2:54
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 75 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q1 3:05
Canon Rooker on-side kick recovered by CHARLOTTE at the MTnSt 0 , Uriah LeMay return for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com