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NORF

Norfolk State 7 at Marshall 45

MRSH
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:24 · Tyler Williams punt for 65 yds , James Church returns for no gain to the NflkS 29 NORFOLK ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Deon King) to the NflkS 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+46.0Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:36: Nick Smith 38 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:14: Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:48: Devon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — MRSH win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:28: Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:23: Keion Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5NORF made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 6:36MRSH 4th & 10 at NORF 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:36NORF 4th & 10 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:47NORF 4th & 2 at NORF 11, up 4
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NORF 4th & 3 at NORF 30, down 3
    Close callPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:14NORF 4th & 6 at NORF 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:48NORF 4th & 20 at MRSH 39, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 3 at NORF 40, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:35NORF 4th & 8 at NORF 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:59NORF 4th & 3 at NORF 45, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00NORF 4th & 15 at NORF 7, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:41MRSH 4th & 8 at NORF 41, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:18NORF 4th & 12 at NORF 3, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:22NORF 4th & 4 at NORF 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:45MRSH 4th & 11 at NORF 42, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:25NORF 4th & 9 at NORF 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NORF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:58NORF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:04MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:14MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:48MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:28MRSH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:23MRSH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:22MRSH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NORFDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:021% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+40
99.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 40 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.1%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 10 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
99.1%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2FG
15 plays · 52 yds · 5:2299% → 98%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+13
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 13 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
98.8%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
98.8%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.8%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 10 yds to the NflkS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
98.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the NflkS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.8%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 19Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
98.8%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NflkS 14Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-15
98.8%
LITTON, Chase pass complete to REAVES, Deandre for 6 yards to the NSU8 (HAYNESWORTH,D.), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (BYRD, Emanuel) 15 yards to the NSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 18
OPP 29
+3
98.8%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 26Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+5
98.8%
Chase Litton run for 5 yds to the NflkS 21Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
98.3%
Nick Smith 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Demetreus FerebeeSimilar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.3%
HANKERSON,Greg pass incomplete to FUNDERBURK,Q., dropped pass, PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (MASSAQUOI, Joe) 15 yards to the NSU40, 1ST DOWN NSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
98.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.2%
Gerard Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
98.2%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 10
50
0
98.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre Sangster, broken up by Keith BaxterSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 10
50
0
98.3%
Bo Lomax punt for 35 yds, downed at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
97.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 6 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
97.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Beal for 5 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin Hunt, broken up by D'Metrius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by D'Metrius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Leroy ParkerSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
97.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 65 yds , James Church returns for no gain to the NflkS 29 NORFOLK ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Deon King) to the NflkS 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
97.7%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
97.7%
Quintreil Chung run for 4 yds to the NflkS 7Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+4
97.7%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Isaac White for 4 yds to the NflkS 11Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
97.7%
Bo Lomax punt for 34 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the NflkS 48 Hyleck Foster fumbled, forced by D'Metrius Williams, recovered by Marsh Keith BaxterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:2198% → 98%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
97.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 22 yds to the NflkS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for 13 yds to the NflkS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the NflkS 13Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+10
97.5%
Greg Hankerson run for 10 yds to the NflkS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
97.5%
Quintreil Chung run for 9 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-2
97.4%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Bo Lomax punt for 43 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the Marsh 30 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:3397% → 98%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
97.1%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
97.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 8 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
97.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 11 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
97.2%
Devon Johnson run for 22 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
97.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 36 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.5%
Gerard Johnson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 38Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James Church, broken up by Taj LetmanSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
97.6%
Bo Lomax punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:2797% → 98%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
97.4%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
97.4%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
97.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 4 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
97.5%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
97.5%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Tony Pittman for 8 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+16
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 16 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.6%
Tony Pittman run for no gain to the NflkS 35Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
97.6%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+15
97.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 15 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
97.6%
Devon Johnson run for 11 yds to the NflkS 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
97.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.0%
Gerard Johnson run for 8 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Isaac WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.9%
Greg Hankerson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to James ChurchSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
98.0%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 11 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
97.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Isaac White for 12 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
97.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 11 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
97.7%
HANKERSON,Greg pass incomplete to WHITE,Isaac, QB hurry by WILLIAMS, R., PENALTY NSU holding (HENDERSON,T.) 10 yards to the MARSHALL39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Isaac WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 32 yds, downed at the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
98.1%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+6
98.1%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Devon Johnson for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+2
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-1
97.8%
Chase Litton sacked by Deon King for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 29 yds, fair catch by James Church at the NflkS 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
97.7%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
97.8%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 14Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-1
97.8%
Greg Hankerson sacked by D.J. Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 13Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 8
OWN 13
0
97.8%
Bo Lomax punt for 23 yds, downed at the NflkS 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2398% → 99%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
98.2%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
98.2%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
98.1%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
98.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 11 yds to the NflkS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
98.2%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 11Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
98.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
99.1%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:291% → 1%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 9 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 4 yds to the NflkS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
99.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 36Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+3
99.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 3 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+6
99.0%
Greg Hankerson run for 6 yds to the NflkS 45Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:4499% → 100%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
99.3%
Chase Litton run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.3%
Tony Pittman run for 11 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the NflkS 37Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+10
99.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the NflkS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.3%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the NflkS 24Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+6
99.3%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the NflkS 18Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+13
99.3%
Keion Davis run for 13 yds to the NflkS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.3%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Chase Litton run for no gain to the NflkS 1Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Shakeem Copeland run for 1 yd to the NflkS 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (Gabe Hollins) to the NflkS 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Isaac White for 4 yds to the NflkS 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Greg Hankerson run for no gain to the NflkS 7 Greg Hankerson fumbled, forced by D.J. Hunter,Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Bo Lomax punt for 23 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the NflkS 28 Hyleck Foster fumbled, recovered by NflkS Demetreus FerebeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Greg Hankerson pass intercepted Taj Letman return for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 11 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 8 yds to the NflkS 35Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-10
99.9%
PITTMAN, Tony rush for 10 yards to the NSU25 (GAYLORD,Hadji), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (ADDISON, A.J.) 10 yards to the NSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Chase Litton run for 4 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 36 yds, downed at the NflkS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
99.9%
Shakeem Copeland run for 1 yd to the NflkS 6Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
99.9%
Shakeem Copeland run for no gain to the NflkS 6Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 6
-3
100.0%
Malik Stokes run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 3Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 12
OWN 3
0
100.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 22 yds, downed at the NflkS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
100.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Justin Hunt for 25 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 4 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 2 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Malik Stokes pass incomplete to Isaac White, broken up by Corey NeelySimilar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 24 yds, downed at the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Nick Mathews for 9 yds to the NflkS 46Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe run for 5 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 44Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe run for 2 yds to the NflkS 42Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Nick MathewsSimilar
Q4 7:45
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 18Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 17Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+4
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 4 yds to the NflkS 21Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 37 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for no gain to the Marsh 21 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+34
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass intercepted Sandy Chapman return for 34 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 1 yd to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Shakeem Copeland run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:28
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 4:48
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+0.8
FG · Q1 6:36
Nick Smith 38 yd FG GOOD
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com